TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13116866
Played Sep 12Finished
Dmytro Palii
Home
2.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
1113511311––––
Taras Gil
Away
1.73
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:18 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeTaras Gil to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingDmytro Palii above · Taras Gil below
Set 1 · 11-13
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 3-11
Point 54 set 3, 3-11 — our read held Taras Gil at 54.0%
54 points played in total.
H2H Dmytro Palii 3–3 Taras Gil Dead even across their 6 meetings.
Last 6 · 3–3Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:18What took a side2 for · 0 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Gil
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-3 in 6
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Palii 1501 vs Gil 1509
Gil
Correct
both rated, 8 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Palii 60% vs Gil 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Palii 50% vs Gil 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Palii +1 · Gil +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Gil)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPalii 2.00 / Gil 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Gil)+0.3pp
Setka Cup · #13116866
Palii2.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog46% won 17 of 37
Down 0–1, comes back30% 6 of 20
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 8
Gil1.73
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite58% won 39 of 67
Up 2–0, closes it92% 22 of 24
Up 1–0, closes it77% 30 of 39
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomePalii3wins
AwayGil3wins
1 of 6 to a deciderLevel at 3–3, and 1 of those 6 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePaliin = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayGil50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Palii2Gil4n = 6Gil took 4 of 6
S2Palii3Gil3n = 6split evenly
S3Palii4Gil2n = 6Palii took 4 of 6
S4Palii2Gil1n = 3Palii took 2 of 3
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home117%
3–1Four sets, home233%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away117%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away233%
These 6 meetings
MetricPaliiGilP − GBasisWins330in 6 meetingsFirst set24−2of 6Avg pointsper match31.233.2−2.0per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPaliiGilBasisWin rate · lifetime104 / 181 vs 123 / 21657.5%56.9%104 / 181 vs 123 / 216Avg sets wonper match2.12.2per matchAvg pointsper match36.137.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
GilPalii 2.00/Gil 1.73
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Gil · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Gil won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
WSep 11 · 01:45D. Palii—1111113T. Gil—9850
LFeb 22 · 05:25D. Palii—4500T. Gil—1111113
WFeb 21 · 13:25D. Palii—81111103T. Gil—119971
LDec 20 · 14:25D. Palii—11611962T. Gil—511911103
WDec 6 · 12:55D. Palii—81111113T. Gil—116181
LNov 15 · 17:55D. Palii—12900T. Gil—1411113
D. Palii10
WSep 11 · 17:55S. Prus2.0087120D. Palii1.731111143LSep 11 · 16:55D. Palii2.2541111652M. Slozka1.57118911113LSep 11 · 15:55D. Palii1.7371141152D. Maltsev2.00118118113WSep 11 · 14:25D. Palii1.6711119113V. Kuzmych2.10761161WSep 11 · 12:25D. Palii2.10121265163I. Fashchevskyi1.6710101111142LSep 11 · 03:15I. Fashchevskyi1.731111113D. Palii2.007970WSep 11 · 01:45D. Palii2.501111113T. Gil1.509850WSep 10 · 23:45S. Prus1.8385111162D. Palii1.83111197113LSep 10 · 21:45M. Slozka1.8311119113D. Palii1.83681131LSep 10 · 20:45O. Sydorchuk2.6311155113D. Palii1.448131181
T. Gil10
WSep 11 · 02:45S. Prus3.0011911652T. Gil1.36911611113LSep 11 · 01:45D. Palii2.501111113T. Gil1.509850WSep 11 · 24:15O. Sydorchuk2.639030T. Gil1.441111113WSep 10 · 22:15I. Fashchevskyi2.7589121192T. Gil1.401111108113LSep 10 · 20:15M. Slozka2.201111113T. Gil1.619990WSep 6 · 11:25T. Gil1.611111113O. Sydorchuk2.206690WSep 6 · 09:25S. Prus2.636940T. Gil1.441111113LSep 6 · 07:25M. Slozka2.25111111113T. Gil1.57713851LSep 6 · 06:25T. Gil1.28119111172R. Bihun3.50411138113LSep 6 · 05:25V. Kuzmych2.631111113T. Gil1.446950
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