TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13111335
Played Sep 11Finished
Volodymyr Kuzmych
Home
2.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
6111171174111311
Denys Maltsev
Away
1.73
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:04 and never touched — 56.0% is still 56.0%
Graded at full timeVolodymyr Kuzmych to win
56.0%
56.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingVolodymyr Kuzmych above · Denys Maltsev below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 4-11
Set 5 · 13-11
Point 92 set 5, 13-11 — our read held Volodymyr Kuzmych at 56.0%
92 points played in total.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:04What took a side0 for · 2 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Maltsev
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Kuzmych 1432 vs Maltsev 1455
Maltsev
Wrong
both rated, 23 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kuzmych 40% vs Maltsev 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kuzmych 40% vs Maltsev 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kuzmych +1 · Maltsev -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
0 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Coin-flip (leans Maltsev) · live re-read · sealed at 44% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Maltsev form (40%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKuzmych 2.00 / Maltsev 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 55%
Edge (Maltsev)+0.8pp
Setka Cup · #13111335
Kuzmych2.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog46% won 12 of 26
Down 0–1, comes back27% 4 of 15
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 7
Maltsev1.73
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite56% won 117 of 211
Up 2–0, closes it86% 75 of 87
Up 1–0, closes it74% 93 of 126
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricKuzmychMaltsevBasisWin rate · lifetime34 / 79 vs 454 / 88543%51.3%34 / 79 vs 454 / 885Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.338.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MaltsevKuzmych 2.00/Maltsev 1.73
Hit
What we said
54.5%
Maltsev · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Kuzmych won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
V. Kuzmych10
WSep 11 · 16:25S. Prus1.80129661V. Kuzmych1.91101111113LSep 11 · 15:25V. Kuzmych2.10148511102I. Fashchevskyi1.671211116123LSep 11 · 14:25D. Palii1.6711119113V. Kuzmych2.10761161LSep 11 · 12:55V. Kuzmych2.00111213562M. Slozka1.737141111113WSep 6 · 10:55V. Kuzmych1.57761111113R. Bihun2.2511118532LSep 6 · 08:55M. Slozka1.731111816113V. Kuzmych2.0097111842WSep 6 · 07:55V. Kuzmych1.531112117113O. Sydorchuk2.3821481192LSep 6 · 06:55S. Prus1.83111120113V. Kuzmych1.83882271WSep 6 · 05:25V. Kuzmych2.631111113T. Gil1.446950LSep 5 · 02:15S. Prus2.00117119123V. Kuzmych1.73811811102
D. Maltsev10
LSep 11 · 17:25I. Fashchevskyi1.91111198113D. Maltsev1.8088111192WSep 11 · 15:55D. Palii1.7371141152D. Maltsev2.00118118113LSep 11 · 13:55M. Slozka2.631112113D. Maltsev1.4461080WSep 11 · 11:55S. Prus3.4011411882D. Maltsev1.30911811113LSep 9 · 10:35D. Maltsev1.8311152972M. Potapov1.838131111113LSep 9 · 09:05D. Maltsev1.91511871Y. Tebenko1.8011511113LSep 9 · 07:35D. Maltsev2.25411861I. Pytsko1.5711811113WSep 9 · 06:05D. Maltsev2.10135411113O. Storozhenko1.67111111972WSep 9 · 04:35D. Maltsev1.80671114113I. Fashchevskyi1.91111151212LSep 8 · 19:05D. Maltsev2.007750O. Storozhenko1.731111113
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