TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13116947
Played Sep 12Finished
Volodymyr Kuzmych
Home
1.73
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
311311211––––
Denys Maltsev
Away
2.00
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:18 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeVolodymyr Kuzmych to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingVolodymyr Kuzmych above · Denys Maltsev below
Set 1 · 3-11
Set 2 · 3-11
Set 3 · 2-11
Point 41 set 3, 2-11 — our read held Volodymyr Kuzmych at 54.0%
41 points played in total.
Same-day rematch · 11h before this match
Kuzmych beat Maltsev 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:18What took a side2 for · 0 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Kuzmych
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Kuzmych 1444 vs Maltsev 1443
Kuzmych
Wrong
both rated, 0 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kuzmych 40% vs Maltsev 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kuzmych 50% vs Maltsev 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kuzmych +2 · Maltsev -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Kuzmych)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kuzmych form (40%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKuzmych 1.73 / Maltsev 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Kuzmych)+0.3pp
Setka Cup · #13116947
Kuzmych1.73
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite28% won 5 of 18
Maltsev2.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog45% won 95 of 212
Down 0–1, comes back20% 18 of 92
Down 0–2, comes back7% 3 of 44
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricKuzmychMaltsevBasisWin rate · lifetime35 / 79 vs 454 / 88644.3%51.2%35 / 79 vs 454 / 886Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.638.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KuzmychKuzmych 1.73/Maltsev 2.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Kuzmych · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Maltsev won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
V. Kuzmych10
WSep 11 · 18:25V. Kuzmych2.00611114133D. Maltsev1.73117711112WSep 11 · 16:25S. Prus1.80129661V. Kuzmych1.91101111113LSep 11 · 15:25V. Kuzmych2.10148511102I. Fashchevskyi1.671211116123LSep 11 · 14:25D. Palii1.6711119113V. Kuzmych2.10761161LSep 11 · 12:55V. Kuzmych2.00111213562M. Slozka1.737141111113WSep 6 · 10:55V. Kuzmych1.57761111113R. Bihun2.2511118532LSep 6 · 08:55M. Slozka1.731111816113V. Kuzmych2.0097111842WSep 6 · 07:55V. Kuzmych1.531112117113O. Sydorchuk2.3821481192LSep 6 · 06:55S. Prus1.83111120113V. Kuzmych1.83882271WSep 6 · 05:25V. Kuzmych2.631111113T. Gil1.446950
D. Maltsev10
LSep 11 · 18:25V. Kuzmych2.00611114133D. Maltsev1.73117711112LSep 11 · 17:25I. Fashchevskyi1.91111198113D. Maltsev1.8088111192WSep 11 · 15:55D. Palii1.7371141152D. Maltsev2.00118118113LSep 11 · 13:55M. Slozka2.631112113D. Maltsev1.4461080WSep 11 · 11:55S. Prus3.4011411882D. Maltsev1.30911811113LSep 9 · 10:35D. Maltsev1.8311152972M. Potapov1.838131111113LSep 9 · 09:05D. Maltsev1.91511871Y. Tebenko1.8011511113LSep 9 · 07:35D. Maltsev2.25411861I. Pytsko1.5711811113WSep 9 · 06:05D. Maltsev2.10135411113O. Storozhenko1.67111111972WSep 9 · 04:35D. Maltsev1.80671114113I. Fashchevskyi1.91111151212
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