TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13117679
Played Sep 12Finished
Denys Maltsev
Home
2.25
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1181214117118––
Taras Gil
Away
1.57
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 23:44 and never touched — 63.7% is still 63.7%
Graded at full timeTaras Gil to win
63.7%
63.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingDenys Maltsev above · Taras Gil below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 12-14
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 11-8
Point 82 set 4, 11-8 — our read held Taras Gil at 63.7%
82 points played in total.
H2H Denys Maltsev 14–24 Taras Gil Denys Maltsev has won 14 of their 38 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 23:44What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Gil
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
14-24 in 38
Gil
Wrong
gap of 10 in 38, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Maltsev 1451 vs Gil 1508
Gil
Wrong
both rated, 57 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Maltsev 40% vs Gil 80%
Gil
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Maltsev 40% vs Gil 60%
Gil
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Maltsev +1 · Gil +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Gil) · live re-read · sealed at 64% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Gil form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (64%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMaltsev 2.25 / Gil 1.57
Signal prob.41% / 59%
Edge (Gil)+0.4pp
Setka Cup · #13117679
Maltsev2.25
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog45% won 95 of 212
Down 0–1, comes back20% 18 of 92
Down 0–2, comes back7% 3 of 44
Gil1.57
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite58% won 39 of 67
Up 2–0, closes it92% 22 of 24
Up 1–0, closes it77% 30 of 39
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMaltsev5wins
AwayGil5wins
3 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMaltsev75%3 of 4
AwayGil66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Maltsev4Gil6n = 10Gil took 6 of 10
S2Maltsev3Gil7n = 10Gil took 7 of 10
S3Maltsev4Gil6n = 10Gil took 6 of 10
S4Maltsev4Gil4n = 8split evenly
S5Maltsev3Gil0n = 3Maltsev took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricMaltsevGilM − GBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match37.839.6−1.8per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMaltsevGilBasisWin rate · lifetime456 / 889 vs 124 / 21851.3%56.9%456 / 889 vs 124 / 218Avg sets wonper match2.12.2per matchAvg pointsper match38.137.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
GilMaltsev 2.25/Gil 1.57
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
59.3%
Gil · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Maltsev won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 12 · 06:25D. Maltsev—111211113T. Gil—814781
WJun 30 · 15:05D. Maltsev—1114411113T. Gil—51611862
WJan 25 · 05:55D. Maltsev—1011611113T. Gil—12911492
LJan 24 · 16:55D. Maltsev—9850T. Gil—111163
LJan 18 · 08:55D. Maltsev—371141T. Gil—11115113
WJan 10 · 11:55D. Maltsev—31111123T. Gil—1196101
WJan 3 · 10:25D. Maltsev—1111911113T. Gil—99111332
LJan 1 · 13:25D. Maltsev—1171191T. Gil—13117113
LDec 14 · 06:55D. Maltsev—21390T. Gil—1115113
LDec 13 · 14:25D. Maltsev—118781T. Gil—91111113
D. Maltsev10
LSep 12 · 07:25D. Palii1.8351112113D. Maltsev1.831131041WSep 12 · 05:25V. Kuzmych1.733320D. Maltsev2.001111113LSep 11 · 18:25V. Kuzmych2.00611114133D. Maltsev1.73117711112LSep 11 · 17:25I. Fashchevskyi1.91111198113D. Maltsev1.8088111192WSep 11 · 15:55D. Palii1.7371141152D. Maltsev2.00118118113LSep 11 · 13:55M. Slozka2.631112113D. Maltsev1.4461080WSep 11 · 11:55S. Prus3.4011411882D. Maltsev1.30911811113LSep 9 · 10:35D. Maltsev1.8311152972M. Potapov1.838131111113LSep 9 · 09:05D. Maltsev1.91511871Y. Tebenko1.8011511113LSep 9 · 07:35D. Maltsev2.25411861I. Pytsko1.5711811113
T. Gil10
WSep 12 · 04:25D. Palii2.0011530T. Gil1.731311113WSep 11 · 02:45S. Prus3.0011911652T. Gil1.36911611113LSep 11 · 01:45D. Palii2.501111113T. Gil1.509850WSep 11 · 24:15O. Sydorchuk2.639030T. Gil1.441111113WSep 10 · 22:15I. Fashchevskyi2.7589121192T. Gil1.401111108113LSep 10 · 20:15M. Slozka2.201111113T. Gil1.619990WSep 6 · 11:25T. Gil1.611111113O. Sydorchuk2.206690WSep 6 · 09:25S. Prus2.636940T. Gil1.441111113LSep 6 · 07:25M. Slozka2.25111111113T. Gil1.57713851LSep 6 · 06:25T. Gil1.28119111172R. Bihun3.50411138113
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