TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13043840
Played Aug 30Finished
Yaroslav Makovka
Home
3.00
At publish
Lost last 9Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 9
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
117114112––––
Ruslan Sopivnyk
Away
1.36
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:50 and never touched — 72.8% is still 72.8%
Graded at full timeRuslan Sopivnyk to win
72.8%
72.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingYaroslav Makovka above · Ruslan Sopivnyk below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 11-4
Set 3 · 11-2
Point 46 set 3, 11-2 — our read held Ruslan Sopivnyk at 72.8%
46 points played in total.
H2H Yaroslav Makovka 3–6 Ruslan Sopivnyk Yaroslav Makovka has won 3 of their 9 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:50What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.36 (69%)
Sopivnyk
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-6 in 9
Sopivnyk
Wrong
gap of 3 in 9, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Makovka 1432 vs Sopivnyk 1657
Sopivnyk
Wrong
both rated, 225 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Makovka 0% vs Sopivnyk 40%
Sopivnyk
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Makovka 10% vs Sopivnyk 60%
Sopivnyk
Wrong
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Makovka -5 · Sopivnyk +1
Makovka
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 73% — Strong (leans Sopivnyk)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sopivnyk form (40%) is below what odds imply (73%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMakovka 3.00 / Sopivnyk 1.36
Signal prob.27% / 73%
Edge (Sopivnyk)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #13043840
Makovka3.00
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 9
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog33% won 45 of 135
Down 0–1, comes back21% 20 of 94
Down 0–2, comes back5% 3 of 60
Sopivnyk1.36
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite67% won 76 of 114
Up 2–0, closes it96% 54 of 56
Up 1–0, closes it87% 64 of 74
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 9 meetings
HomeMakovka3wins
AwaySopivnyk6wins
3 of 9 to a deciderSopivnyk leads 6–3, and 3 of those 9 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMakovka50%2 of 4
AwaySopivnyk80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 9 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Makovka4Sopivnyk5n = 9Sopivnyk took 5 of 9
S2Makovka5Sopivnyk4n = 9Makovka took 5 of 9
S3Makovka5Sopivnyk4n = 9Makovka took 5 of 9
S4Makovka1Sopivnyk5n = 6Sopivnyk took 5 of 6
S5Makovka1Sopivnyk2n = 3Sopivnyk took 2 of 3
How those 9 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 9 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home222%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home111%
2–3Decider, away222%
1–3Four sets, away333%
0–3Straight, away111%
These 9 meetings
MetricMakovkaSopivnykM − SBasisWins36−3in 9 meetingsFirst set45−1of 9Avg pointsper match38.840.8−2.0per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMakovkaSopivnykBasisWin rate · lifetime147 / 373 vs 185 / 37139.4%49.9%147 / 373 vs 185 / 371Avg sets wonper match1.72.1per matchAvg pointsper match35.938.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SopivnykMakovka 3.00/Sopivnyk 1.36
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
72.8%
Sopivnyk · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Makovka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
LAug 2 · 09:35Y. Makovka—61080R. Sopivnyk—1112113
LJul 26 · 12:05Y. Makovka—13116101R. Sopivnyk—15411123
LJul 24 · 13:00Y. Makovka—81111682R. Sopivnyk—118611113
WJun 6 · 16:40Y. Makovka—1111123R. Sopivnyk—38100
WMay 16 · 11:10Y. Makovka—814112133R. Sopivnyk—1112811122
LMay 2 · 11:40Y. Makovka—1111261R. Sopivnyk—41114113
WApr 19 · 06:30Y. Makovka—1114123R. Sopivnyk—912100
LApr 18 · 13:40Y. Makovka—9121111102R. Sopivnyk—111489123
LMar 1 · 10:00Y. Makovka—11810101R. Sopivnyk—91112123
Y. Makovka10
WAug 30 · 10:30O. Blashkun1.40561171Y. Makovka2.7511117113LAug 30 · 08:30Y. Makovka2.7510131081Y. Holoborodko1.40121112113LAug 30 · 07:00Y. Makovka2.7511123292V. Merzlikin1.409101111113LAug 30 · 05:00Y. Makovka2.6312115622O. Zhyrnov1.441081111113LAug 29 · 17:40O. Blashkun1.30811911113Y. Makovka3.4011611572LAug 29 · 16:10Y. Makovka2.506870O. Zhyrnov1.501111113LAug 29 · 14:10O. Varlamov1.5711115133Y. Makovka2.257711111LAug 29 · 12:10V. Merzlikin1.44951111113Y. Makovka2.6311114852LAug 29 · 11:10A. Droshchynskyi1.201111113Y. Makovka4.333840LAug 22 · 11:35Y. Makovka2.381112481Y. Volkov1.53131011113
R. Sopivnyk10
LSep 6 · 11:30R. Sopivnyk1.803740O. Varlamov1.91111193WSep 6 · 09:30O. Kuzyshyn1.50118941R. Sopivnyk2.5081111113LSep 6 · 07:30O. Zhyrnov1.5011411113R. Sopivnyk2.50511631WSep 6 · 06:30R. Sopivnyk1.8311811113Y. Holoborodko1.83311941LSep 6 · 05:30A. Droshchynskyi1.531111133R. Sopivnyk2.3876110LSep 5 · 17:10O. Varlamov2.0081111113R. Sopivnyk1.73119361WSep 5 · 16:10Y. Holoborodko1.8055110R. Sopivnyk1.911111133WSep 5 · 12:40O. Zhyrnov1.44118961R. Sopivnyk2.6391111113WSep 5 · 10:40O. Kuzyshyn1.401071141R. Sopivnyk2.7512119113WSep 4 · 11:30R. Sopivnyk1.171111113A. Troyan4.505870
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