TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13084110
Played Sep 6Finished
Oleh Kuzyshyn
Home
1.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
118811911411––
Ruslan Sopivnyk
Away
2.50
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:03 and never touched — 64.1% is still 64.1%
Graded at full timeOleh Kuzyshyn to win
64.1%
64.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingOleh Kuzyshyn above · Ruslan Sopivnyk below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 4-11
Point 73 set 4, 4-11 — our read held Oleh Kuzyshyn at 64.1%
73 points played in total.
H2H Oleh Kuzyshyn 6–1 Ruslan Sopivnyk Ruslan Sopivnyk has won 1 of their 7 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 19:03What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Kuzyshyn
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-1 in 7
Kuzyshyn
Wrong
gap of 5 in 7, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kuzyshyn 1691 vs Sopivnyk 1647
Kuzyshyn
Wrong
both rated, 44 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kuzyshyn 80% vs Sopivnyk 40%
Kuzyshyn
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kuzyshyn 50% vs Sopivnyk 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kuzyshyn +1 · Sopivnyk -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 64% — Clear lean (leans Kuzyshyn)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kuzyshyn form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (67%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKuzyshyn 1.50 / Sopivnyk 2.50
Signal prob.64% / 36%
Edge (Kuzyshyn)+1.6pp
Setka Cup · #13084110
Kuzyshyn1.50
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite64% won 67 of 105
Up 2–0, closes it95% 39 of 41
Up 1–0, closes it81% 51 of 63
Sopivnyk2.50
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog38% won 63 of 166
Down 0–1, comes back21% 19 of 90
Down 0–2, comes back6% 3 of 49
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 7 meetings
HomeKuzyshyn6wins
AwaySopivnyk1wins
2 of 7 to a deciderKuzyshyn leads 6–1, and 2 of those 7 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKuzyshyn100%5 of 5
AwaySopivnykn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kuzyshyn5Sopivnyk2n = 7Kuzyshyn took 5 of 7
S2Kuzyshyn5Sopivnyk2n = 7Kuzyshyn took 5 of 7
S3Kuzyshyn5Sopivnyk2n = 7Kuzyshyn took 5 of 7
S4Kuzyshyn2Sopivnyk3n = 5Sopivnyk took 3 of 5
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home229%
3–1Four sets, home229%
3–2Decider, home229%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away114%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 7 meetings
MetricKuzyshynSopivnykK − SBasisWins61+5in 7 meetingsFirst set52+3of 7Avg pointsper match39.733.3+6.4per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKuzyshynSopivnykBasisWin rate · lifetime232 / 442 vs 195 / 39052.5%50%232 / 442 vs 195 / 390Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.438.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KuzyshynKuzyshyn 1.50/Sopivnyk 2.50
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
64.1%
Kuzyshyn · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Sopivnyk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
LSep 5 · 10:40O. Kuzyshyn—1071141R. Sopivnyk—12119113
WJul 26 · 10:05O. Kuzyshyn—911118113R. Sopivnyk—11931182
WMay 2 · 15:40O. Kuzyshyn—111473R. Sopivnyk—41220
WApr 22 · 14:40O. Kuzyshyn—111159123R. Sopivnyk—541111102
WApr 15 · 16:40O. Kuzyshyn—1111113R. Sopivnyk—8860
WMar 28 · 15:40O. Kuzyshyn—11611123R. Sopivnyk—3117101
WMar 1 · 09:00O. Kuzyshyn—11119123R. Sopivnyk—9611101
O. Kuzyshyn10
LSep 6 · 10:30O. Zhyrnov1.6712137113O. Kuzyshyn2.10101111101WSep 6 · 08:30O. Kuzyshyn1.401111113Y. Holoborodko2.757790LSep 6 · 07:00O. Kuzyshyn1.61761141A. Droshchynskyi2.2011115113WSep 6 · 05:00O. Kuzyshyn1.501111113O. Varlamov2.506750WSep 5 · 16:40O. Kuzyshyn1.6111114103A. Droshchynskyi2.20731121WSep 5 · 15:10O. Kuzyshyn1.571111113O. Varlamov2.259560LSep 5 · 13:40O. Kuzyshyn2.105780O. Zhyrnov1.671111113LSep 5 · 12:10O. Kuzyshyn1.33118671Y. Holoborodko3.2581111113LSep 5 · 10:40O. Kuzyshyn1.401071141R. Sopivnyk2.7512119113LSep 3 · 16:40O. Zhyrnov1.801112113O. Kuzyshyn1.9181050
R. Sopivnyk10
LSep 6 · 11:30R. Sopivnyk1.803740O. Varlamov1.91111193LSep 6 · 07:30O. Zhyrnov1.5011411113R. Sopivnyk2.50511631WSep 6 · 06:30R. Sopivnyk1.8311811113Y. Holoborodko1.83311941LSep 6 · 05:30A. Droshchynskyi1.531111133R. Sopivnyk2.3876110LSep 5 · 17:10O. Varlamov2.0081111113R. Sopivnyk1.73119361WSep 5 · 16:10Y. Holoborodko1.8055110R. Sopivnyk1.911111133WSep 5 · 12:40O. Zhyrnov1.44118961R. Sopivnyk2.6391111113WSep 5 · 10:40O. Kuzyshyn1.401071141R. Sopivnyk2.7512119113WSep 4 · 11:30R. Sopivnyk1.171111113A. Troyan4.505870LSep 4 · 09:30A. Kotiash2.635141211113R. Sopivnyk1.44111610972
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