TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13078931
Played Sep 5Finished
Oleh Kuzyshyn
Home
2.10
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 3
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
511711811––––
Oleksandr Zhyrnov
Away
1.67
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:41 and never touched — 55.8% is still 55.8%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Zhyrnov to win
55.8%
55.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOleh Kuzyshyn above · Oleksandr Zhyrnov below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 8-11
Point 53 set 3, 8-11 — our read held Oleksandr Zhyrnov at 55.8%
53 points played in total.
H2H Oleh Kuzyshyn 13–14 Oleksandr Zhyrnov Oleh Kuzyshyn has won 13 of their 27 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 19:41What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Zhyrnov
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
13-14 in 27
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kuzyshyn 1666 vs Zhyrnov 1701
Zhyrnov
Correct
both rated, 35 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kuzyshyn 40% vs Zhyrnov 60%
Zhyrnov
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kuzyshyn 60% vs Zhyrnov 70%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kuzyshyn -3 · Zhyrnov -1
Kuzyshyn
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Zhyrnov) · live re-read · sealed at 56% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKuzyshyn 2.10 / Zhyrnov 1.67
Signal prob.43% / 57%
Edge (Zhyrnov)+0.8pp
Setka Cup · #13078931
Kuzyshyn2.10
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog46% won 38 of 83
Down 0–1, comes back29% 11 of 38
Down 0–2, comes back7% 1 of 14
Zhyrnov1.67
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
90%takes the first set · 9 of 10
As favourite63% won 117 of 186
Up 2–0, closes it94% 58 of 62
Up 1–0, closes it84% 87 of 104
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKuzyshyn5wins
AwayZhyrnov5wins
3 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKuzyshynn = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayZhyrnov62.5%5 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kuzyshyn2Zhyrnov8n = 10Zhyrnov took 8 of 10
S2Kuzyshyn5Zhyrnov5n = 10split evenly
S3Kuzyshyn5Zhyrnov5n = 10split evenly
S4Kuzyshyn4Zhyrnov2n = 6Kuzyshyn took 4 of 6
S5Kuzyshyn2Zhyrnov1n = 3Kuzyshyn took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricKuzyshynZhyrnovK − ZBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match35.135.5−0.4per matchSweeps13−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKuzyshynZhyrnovBasisWin rate · lifetime228 / 436 vs 379 / 76352.3%49.7%228 / 436 vs 379 / 763Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.537.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZhyrnovKuzyshyn 2.10/Zhyrnov 1.67
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
56.6%
Zhyrnov · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Zhyrnov won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 3 · 16:40O. Kuzyshyn—81050O. Zhyrnov—1112113
WAug 27 · 16:40O. Kuzyshyn—1112113O. Zhyrnov—61040
WAug 22 · 16:40O. Kuzyshyn—115121193O. Zhyrnov—61114972
WJul 26 · 07:35O. Kuzyshyn—471111113O. Zhyrnov—11116162
LJul 19 · 10:30O. Kuzyshyn—6890O. Zhyrnov—1111113
LJul 18 · 17:10O. Kuzyshyn—71111972O. Zhyrnov—119611113
WMay 8 · 11:50O. Kuzyshyn—61111113O. Zhyrnov—116781
WMay 7 · 17:20O. Kuzyshyn—91111113O. Zhyrnov—118821
LMay 3 · 06:00O. Kuzyshyn—10590O. Zhyrnov—1211113
LMay 2 · 16:40O. Kuzyshyn—712461O. Zhyrnov—111011113
O. Kuzyshyn10
LSep 6 · 10:30O. Zhyrnov1.6712137113O. Kuzyshyn2.10101111101LSep 6 · 09:30O. Kuzyshyn1.50118941R. Sopivnyk2.5081111113WSep 6 · 08:30O. Kuzyshyn1.401111113Y. Holoborodko2.757790LSep 6 · 07:00O. Kuzyshyn1.61761141A. Droshchynskyi2.2011115113WSep 6 · 05:00O. Kuzyshyn1.501111113O. Varlamov2.506750WSep 5 · 16:40O. Kuzyshyn1.6111114103A. Droshchynskyi2.20731121WSep 5 · 15:10O. Kuzyshyn1.571111113O. Varlamov2.259560LSep 5 · 12:10O. Kuzyshyn1.33118671Y. Holoborodko3.2581111113LSep 5 · 10:40O. Kuzyshyn1.401071141R. Sopivnyk2.7512119113LSep 3 · 16:40O. Zhyrnov1.801112113O. Kuzyshyn1.9181050
O. Zhyrnov10
WSep 6 · 10:30O. Zhyrnov1.6712137113O. Kuzyshyn2.10101111101WSep 6 · 09:00O. Zhyrnov1.911111113A. Droshchynskyi1.807990WSep 6 · 07:30O. Zhyrnov1.5011411113R. Sopivnyk2.50511631LSep 6 · 06:00O. Zhyrnov1.8079120O. Varlamov1.911111143WSep 6 · 04:30O. Zhyrnov1.501111113Y. Holoborodko2.503960WSep 5 · 17:40O. Zhyrnov1.571111153Y. Holoborodko2.2586130LSep 5 · 15:40A. Droshchynskyi1.83118116113O. Zhyrnov1.8331161142LSep 5 · 12:40O. Zhyrnov1.44118961R. Sopivnyk2.6391111113WSep 5 · 11:40O. Varlamov1.8351090O. Zhyrnov1.83111292WSep 3 · 16:40O. Zhyrnov1.801112113O. Kuzyshyn1.9181050
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