TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13079138
Played Sep 5Finished
Andrii Droshchynskyi
Home
1.83
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
113811116611114
Oleksandr Zhyrnov
Away
1.83
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:21 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Zhyrnov to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingAndrii Droshchynskyi above · Oleksandr Zhyrnov below
Set 1 · 11-3
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 6-11
Set 5 · 11-4
Point 82 set 5, 11-4 — our read held Oleksandr Zhyrnov at 54.0%
82 points played in total.
H2H Andrii Droshchynskyi 5–9 Oleksandr Zhyrnov Andrii Droshchynskyi has won 5 of their 14 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:21What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Zhyrnov
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-9 in 14
Zhyrnov
Wrong
gap of 4 in 14, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Droshchynskyi 1693 vs Zhyrnov 1731
Zhyrnov
Wrong
both rated, 38 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Droshchynskyi 60% vs Zhyrnov 80%
Zhyrnov
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Droshchynskyi 70% vs Zhyrnov 70%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Droshchynskyi +3 · Zhyrnov +1
Droshchynskyi
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Zhyrnov)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zhyrnov form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDroshchynskyi 1.83 / Zhyrnov 1.83
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Zhyrnov)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #13079138
Droshchynskyi1.83
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Zhyrnov1.83
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
90%takes the first set · 9 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeDroshchynskyi3wins
AwayZhyrnov7wins
3 of 10 to a deciderZhyrnov leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDroshchynskyi40%2 of 5
AwayZhyrnov80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Droshchynskyi5Zhyrnov5n = 10split evenly
S2Droshchynskyi3Zhyrnov7n = 10Zhyrnov took 7 of 10
S3Droshchynskyi6Zhyrnov4n = 10Droshchynskyi took 6 of 10
S4Droshchynskyi4Zhyrnov5n = 9Zhyrnov took 5 of 9
S5Droshchynskyi0Zhyrnov3n = 3Zhyrnov took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricDroshchynskyiZhyrnovD − ZBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match40.742.6−1.9per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDroshchynskyiZhyrnovBasisWin rate · lifetime112 / 196 vs 380 / 76457.1%49.7%112 / 196 vs 380 / 764Avg sets wonper match2.22.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.037.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZhyrnovDroshchynskyi 1.83/Zhyrnov 1.83
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Zhyrnov · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Droshchynskyi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 29 · 14:40A. Droshchynskyi—91212822O. Zhyrnov—1110101173
WAug 22 · 14:40A. Droshchynskyi—12911123O. Zhyrnov—10118101
LJul 18 · 15:10A. Droshchynskyi—981151O. Zhyrnov—11116113
WJul 11 · 16:40A. Droshchynskyi—51111163O. Zhyrnov—1194141
LJun 28 · 11:30A. Droshchynskyi—1197101O. Zhyrnov—61111123
LJun 25 · 12:10A. Droshchynskyi—111511382O. Zhyrnov—8131311113
LJun 14 · 11:30A. Droshchynskyi—1112611102O. Zhyrnov—514118123
WJun 7 · 11:30A. Droshchynskyi—11511113O. Zhyrnov—611991
LMay 31 · 07:00A. Droshchynskyi—108120O. Zhyrnov—1211143
LMay 30 · 15:10A. Droshchynskyi—7141191O. Zhyrnov—11165113
A. Droshchynskyi10
LSep 6 · 11:00A. Droshchynskyi1.40951181Y. Holoborodko2.7511115113LSep 6 · 09:00O. Zhyrnov1.911111113A. Droshchynskyi1.807990WSep 6 · 08:00A. Droshchynskyi1.4011511133O. Varlamov2.754111111WSep 6 · 07:00O. Kuzyshyn1.61761141A. Droshchynskyi2.2011115113WSep 6 · 05:30A. Droshchynskyi1.531111133R. Sopivnyk2.3876110LSep 5 · 16:40O. Kuzyshyn1.6111114103A. Droshchynskyi2.20731121WSep 5 · 13:10A. Droshchynskyi1.44111162O. Varlamov2.639860WSep 5 · 11:10A. Droshchynskyi1.501111113Y. Holoborodko2.509760WAug 29 · 16:40V. Merzlikin2.751210671A. Droshchynskyi1.40101211113LAug 29 · 15:40A. Droshchynskyi1.4411961152O. Blashkun2.63711117113
O. Zhyrnov10
WSep 6 · 10:30O. Zhyrnov1.6712137113O. Kuzyshyn2.10101111101WSep 6 · 09:00O. Zhyrnov1.911111113A. Droshchynskyi1.807990WSep 6 · 07:30O. Zhyrnov1.5011411113R. Sopivnyk2.50511631LSep 6 · 06:00O. Zhyrnov1.8079120O. Varlamov1.911111143WSep 6 · 04:30O. Zhyrnov1.501111113Y. Holoborodko2.503960WSep 5 · 17:40O. Zhyrnov1.571111153Y. Holoborodko2.2586130WSep 5 · 13:40O. Kuzyshyn2.105780O. Zhyrnov1.671111113LSep 5 · 12:40O. Zhyrnov1.44118961R. Sopivnyk2.6391111113WSep 5 · 11:40O. Varlamov1.8351090O. Zhyrnov1.83111292WSep 3 · 16:40O. Zhyrnov1.801112113O. Kuzyshyn1.9181050
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