TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13084108
Played Sep 6Finished
Oleksandr Zhyrnov
Home
1.91
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
117119119––––
Andrii Droshchynskyi
Away
1.80
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:03 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeAndrii Droshchynskyi to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingOleksandr Zhyrnov above · Andrii Droshchynskyi below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 11-9
Point 58 set 3, 11-9 — our read held Andrii Droshchynskyi at 54.0%
58 points played in total.
H2H Oleksandr Zhyrnov 9–6 Andrii Droshchynskyi Andrii Droshchynskyi has won 6 of their 15 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 19:03What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Droshchynskyi
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
9-6 in 15
Zhyrnov
Correct
gap of 3 in 15, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Zhyrnov 1718 vs Droshchynskyi 1738
Droshchynskyi
Wrong
both rated, 20 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Zhyrnov 60% vs Droshchynskyi 80%
Droshchynskyi
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Zhyrnov 70% vs Droshchynskyi 70%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Zhyrnov +1 · Droshchynskyi +3
Droshchynskyi
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Droshchynskyi)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Droshchynskyi form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZhyrnov 1.91 / Droshchynskyi 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Droshchynskyi)+2.5pp
Setka Cup · #13084108
Zhyrnov1.91
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog41% won 70 of 170
Down 0–1, comes back19% 18 of 93
Down 0–2, comes back9% 5 of 56
Droshchynskyi1.80
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite62% won 69 of 112
Up 2–0, closes it88% 44 of 50
Up 1–0, closes it72% 54 of 75
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeZhyrnov6wins
AwayDroshchynskyi4wins
4 of 10 to a deciderZhyrnov leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeZhyrnov75%3 of 4
AwayDroshchynskyi50%3 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Zhyrnov4Droshchynskyi6n = 10Droshchynskyi took 6 of 10
S2Zhyrnov7Droshchynskyi3n = 10Zhyrnov took 7 of 10
S3Zhyrnov4Droshchynskyi6n = 10Droshchynskyi took 6 of 10
S4Zhyrnov5Droshchynskyi4n = 9Zhyrnov took 5 of 9
S5Zhyrnov3Droshchynskyi1n = 4Zhyrnov took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricZhyrnovDroshchynskyiZ − DBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match41.841.3+0.5per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZhyrnovDroshchynskyiBasisWin rate · lifetime383 / 769 vs 116 / 20149.8%57.7%383 / 769 vs 116 / 201Avg sets wonper match2.02.2per matchAvg pointsper match37.138.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DroshchynskyiZhyrnov 1.91/Droshchynskyi 1.80
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Droshchynskyi · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Zhyrnov won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 5 · 15:40O. Zhyrnov—31161142A. Droshchynskyi—118116113
WAug 29 · 14:40O. Zhyrnov—1110101173A. Droshchynskyi—91212822
LAug 22 · 14:40O. Zhyrnov—10118101A. Droshchynskyi—12911123
WJul 18 · 15:10O. Zhyrnov—11116113A. Droshchynskyi—981151
LJul 11 · 16:40O. Zhyrnov—1194141A. Droshchynskyi—51111163
WJun 28 · 11:30O. Zhyrnov—61111123A. Droshchynskyi—1197101
WJun 25 · 12:10O. Zhyrnov—8131311113A. Droshchynskyi—111511382
WJun 14 · 11:30O. Zhyrnov—514118123A. Droshchynskyi—1112611102
LJun 7 · 11:30O. Zhyrnov—611991A. Droshchynskyi—11511113
WMay 31 · 07:00O. Zhyrnov—1211143A. Droshchynskyi—108120
O. Zhyrnov10
WSep 6 · 10:30O. Zhyrnov1.6712137113O. Kuzyshyn2.10101111101WSep 6 · 07:30O. Zhyrnov1.5011411113R. Sopivnyk2.50511631LSep 6 · 06:00O. Zhyrnov1.8079120O. Varlamov1.911111143WSep 6 · 04:30O. Zhyrnov1.501111113Y. Holoborodko2.503960WSep 5 · 17:40O. Zhyrnov1.571111153Y. Holoborodko2.2586130LSep 5 · 15:40A. Droshchynskyi1.83118116113O. Zhyrnov1.8331161142WSep 5 · 13:40O. Kuzyshyn2.105780O. Zhyrnov1.671111113LSep 5 · 12:40O. Zhyrnov1.44118961R. Sopivnyk2.6391111113WSep 5 · 11:40O. Varlamov1.8351090O. Zhyrnov1.83111292WSep 3 · 16:40O. Zhyrnov1.801112113O. Kuzyshyn1.9181050
A. Droshchynskyi10
LSep 6 · 11:00A. Droshchynskyi1.40951181Y. Holoborodko2.7511115113WSep 6 · 08:00A. Droshchynskyi1.4011511133O. Varlamov2.754111111WSep 6 · 07:00O. Kuzyshyn1.61761141A. Droshchynskyi2.2011115113WSep 6 · 05:30A. Droshchynskyi1.531111133R. Sopivnyk2.3876110LSep 5 · 16:40O. Kuzyshyn1.6111114103A. Droshchynskyi2.20731121WSep 5 · 15:40A. Droshchynskyi1.83118116113O. Zhyrnov1.8331161142WSep 5 · 13:10A. Droshchynskyi1.44111162O. Varlamov2.639860WSep 5 · 11:10A. Droshchynskyi1.501111113Y. Holoborodko2.509760WAug 29 · 16:40V. Merzlikin2.751210671A. Droshchynskyi1.40101211113LAug 29 · 15:40A. Droshchynskyi1.4411961152O. Blashkun2.63711117113
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