TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13084263
Played Sep 6Finished
Oleksandr Zhyrnov
Home
1.67
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
121013117111110––
Oleh Kuzyshyn
Away
2.10
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:39 and never touched — 58.9% is still 58.9%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Zhyrnov to win
58.9%
58.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOleksandr Zhyrnov above · Oleh Kuzyshyn below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 13-11
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 11-10
Point 85 set 4, 11-10 — our read held Oleksandr Zhyrnov at 58.9%
85 points played in total.
H2H Oleksandr Zhyrnov 15–13 Oleh Kuzyshyn Oleh Kuzyshyn has won 13 of their 28 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 19:39What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Zhyrnov
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
15-13 in 28
Zhyrnov
Correct
gap of 2 in 28, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Zhyrnov 1733 vs Kuzyshyn 1677
Zhyrnov
Correct
both rated, 56 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Zhyrnov 80% vs Kuzyshyn 60%
Zhyrnov
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Zhyrnov 70% vs Kuzyshyn 40%
Zhyrnov
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Zhyrnov +2 · Kuzyshyn -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Zhyrnov) · live re-read · sealed at 59% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kuzyshyn form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZhyrnov 1.67 / Kuzyshyn 2.10
Signal prob.56% / 44%
Edge (Zhyrnov)+0.0pp
Setka Cup · #13084263
Zhyrnov1.67
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite63% won 117 of 187
Up 2–0, closes it94% 59 of 63
Up 1–0, closes it83% 88 of 106
Kuzyshyn2.10
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog45% won 38 of 84
Down 0–1, comes back28% 11 of 39
Down 0–2, comes back7% 1 of 15
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeZhyrnov5wins
AwayKuzyshyn5wins
3 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeZhyrnov62.5%5 of 8
AwayKuzyshynn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Zhyrnov8Kuzyshyn2n = 10Zhyrnov took 8 of 10
S2Zhyrnov6Kuzyshyn4n = 10Zhyrnov took 6 of 10
S3Zhyrnov5Kuzyshyn5n = 10split evenly
S4Zhyrnov1Kuzyshyn4n = 5Kuzyshyn took 4 of 5
S5Zhyrnov1Kuzyshyn2n = 3Kuzyshyn took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home440%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricZhyrnovKuzyshynZ − KBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match34.534.2+0.3per matchSweeps41+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZhyrnovKuzyshynBasisWin rate · lifetime384 / 770 vs 232 / 44349.9%52.4%384 / 770 vs 232 / 443Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.137.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZhyrnovZhyrnov 1.67/Kuzyshyn 2.10
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
55.8%
Zhyrnov · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Zhyrnov won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 5 · 13:40O. Zhyrnov—1111113O. Kuzyshyn—5780
WSep 3 · 16:40O. Zhyrnov—1112113O. Kuzyshyn—81050
LAug 27 · 16:40O. Zhyrnov—61040O. Kuzyshyn—1112113
LAug 22 · 16:40O. Zhyrnov—61114972O. Kuzyshyn—115121193
LJul 26 · 07:35O. Zhyrnov—11116162O. Kuzyshyn—471111113
WJul 19 · 10:30O. Zhyrnov—1111113O. Kuzyshyn—6890
WJul 18 · 17:10O. Zhyrnov—119611113O. Kuzyshyn—71111972
LMay 8 · 11:50O. Zhyrnov—116781O. Kuzyshyn—61111113
LMay 7 · 17:20O. Zhyrnov—118821O. Kuzyshyn—91111113
WMay 3 · 06:00O. Zhyrnov—1211113O. Kuzyshyn—10590
O. Zhyrnov10
WSep 6 · 09:00O. Zhyrnov1.911111113A. Droshchynskyi1.807990WSep 6 · 07:30O. Zhyrnov1.5011411113R. Sopivnyk2.50511631LSep 6 · 06:00O. Zhyrnov1.8079120O. Varlamov1.911111143WSep 6 · 04:30O. Zhyrnov1.501111113Y. Holoborodko2.503960WSep 5 · 17:40O. Zhyrnov1.571111153Y. Holoborodko2.2586130LSep 5 · 15:40A. Droshchynskyi1.83118116113O. Zhyrnov1.8331161142WSep 5 · 13:40O. Kuzyshyn2.105780O. Zhyrnov1.671111113LSep 5 · 12:40O. Zhyrnov1.44118961R. Sopivnyk2.6391111113WSep 5 · 11:40O. Varlamov1.8351090O. Zhyrnov1.83111292WSep 3 · 16:40O. Zhyrnov1.801112113O. Kuzyshyn1.9181050
O. Kuzyshyn10
LSep 6 · 09:30O. Kuzyshyn1.50118941R. Sopivnyk2.5081111113WSep 6 · 08:30O. Kuzyshyn1.401111113Y. Holoborodko2.757790LSep 6 · 07:00O. Kuzyshyn1.61761141A. Droshchynskyi2.2011115113WSep 6 · 05:00O. Kuzyshyn1.501111113O. Varlamov2.506750WSep 5 · 16:40O. Kuzyshyn1.6111114103A. Droshchynskyi2.20731121WSep 5 · 15:10O. Kuzyshyn1.571111113O. Varlamov2.259560LSep 5 · 13:40O. Kuzyshyn2.105780O. Zhyrnov1.671111113LSep 5 · 12:10O. Kuzyshyn1.33118671Y. Holoborodko3.2581111113LSep 5 · 10:40O. Kuzyshyn1.401071141R. Sopivnyk2.7512119113LSep 3 · 16:40O. Zhyrnov1.801112113O. Kuzyshyn1.9181050
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.