TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13084268
Played Sep 6Finished
Oleh Kuzyshyn
Home
1.40
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
117117119––––
Yevhenii Holoborodko
Away
2.75
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 5
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:40 and never touched — 70.7% is still 70.7%
Graded at full timeOleh Kuzyshyn to win
70.7%
70.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOleh Kuzyshyn above · Yevhenii Holoborodko below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 11-9
Point 56 set 3, 11-9 — our read held Oleh Kuzyshyn at 70.7%
56 points played in total.
H2H Oleh Kuzyshyn 20–7 Yevhenii Holoborodko Yevhenii Holoborodko has won 7 of their 27 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 19:40What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Kuzyshyn
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
20-7 in 27
Kuzyshyn
Correct
gap of 13 in 27, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kuzyshyn 1683 vs Holoborodko 1508
Kuzyshyn
Correct
both rated, 175 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kuzyshyn 60% vs Holoborodko 0%
Kuzyshyn
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kuzyshyn 50% vs Holoborodko 10%
Kuzyshyn
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kuzyshyn -1 · Holoborodko -5
Holoborodko
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 71% — Strong (leans Kuzyshyn)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Holoborodko form (0%) is below what odds imply (36%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKuzyshyn 1.40 / Holoborodko 2.75
Signal prob.71% / 29%
Edge (Kuzyshyn)+4.4pp
Setka Cup · #13084268
Kuzyshyn1.40
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite64% won 67 of 105
Up 2–0, closes it95% 39 of 41
Up 1–0, closes it81% 51 of 63
Holoborodko2.75
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 5
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog37% won 67 of 182
Down 0–1, comes back26% 31 of 119
Down 0–2, comes back5% 3 of 62
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKuzyshyn7wins
AwayHoloborodko3wins
1 of 10 to a deciderKuzyshyn leads 7–3, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKuzyshyn62.5%5 of 8
AwayHoloborodkon = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kuzyshyn8Holoborodko2n = 10Kuzyshyn took 8 of 10
S2Kuzyshyn7Holoborodko3n = 10Kuzyshyn took 7 of 10
S3Kuzyshyn5Holoborodko5n = 10split evenly
S4Kuzyshyn3Holoborodko3n = 6split evenly
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home440%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricKuzyshynHoloborodkoK − HBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match36.529.6+6.9per matchSweeps40+43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKuzyshynHoloborodkoBasisWin rate · lifetime231 / 441 vs 313 / 60352.4%51.9%231 / 441 vs 313 / 603Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.438.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KuzyshynKuzyshyn 1.40/Holoborodko 2.75
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
70.7%
Kuzyshyn · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Kuzyshyn won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 5 · 12:10O. Kuzyshyn—118671Y. Holoborodko—81111113
WSep 3 · 11:10O. Kuzyshyn—1111113Y. Holoborodko—5660
WAug 27 · 12:10O. Kuzyshyn—1111113Y. Holoborodko—7770
LAug 22 · 12:10O. Kuzyshyn—1131061Y. Holoborodko—51112113
WAug 19 · 12:10O. Kuzyshyn—912911113Y. Holoborodko—111011362
WAug 12 · 15:40O. Kuzyshyn—1111113Y. Holoborodko—6380
WJul 26 · 09:05O. Kuzyshyn—11119113Y. Holoborodko—471141
LJul 25 · 16:10O. Kuzyshyn—118491Y. Holoborodko—51111113
WJul 18 · 16:10O. Kuzyshyn—1112113Y. Holoborodko—51070
WMay 22 · 06:20O. Kuzyshyn—101112113Y. Holoborodko—1241081
O. Kuzyshyn10
LSep 6 · 10:30O. Zhyrnov1.6712137113O. Kuzyshyn2.10101111101LSep 6 · 09:30O. Kuzyshyn1.50118941R. Sopivnyk2.5081111113LSep 6 · 07:00O. Kuzyshyn1.61761141A. Droshchynskyi2.2011115113WSep 6 · 05:00O. Kuzyshyn1.501111113O. Varlamov2.506750WSep 5 · 16:40O. Kuzyshyn1.6111114103A. Droshchynskyi2.20731121WSep 5 · 15:10O. Kuzyshyn1.571111113O. Varlamov2.259560LSep 5 · 13:40O. Kuzyshyn2.105780O. Zhyrnov1.671111113LSep 5 · 12:10O. Kuzyshyn1.33118671Y. Holoborodko3.2581111113LSep 5 · 10:40O. Kuzyshyn1.401071141R. Sopivnyk2.7512119113LSep 3 · 16:40O. Zhyrnov1.801112113O. Kuzyshyn1.9181050
Y. Holoborodko10
WSep 6 · 11:00A. Droshchynskyi1.40951181Y. Holoborodko2.7511115113WSep 6 · 10:00O. Varlamov1.73111112822Y. Holoborodko2.00841411113LSep 6 · 06:30R. Sopivnyk1.8311811113Y. Holoborodko1.83311941LSep 6 · 04:30O. Zhyrnov1.501111113Y. Holoborodko2.503960LSep 5 · 17:40O. Zhyrnov1.571111153Y. Holoborodko2.2586130LSep 5 · 16:10Y. Holoborodko1.8055110R. Sopivnyk1.911111133LSep 5 · 14:10O. Varlamov1.80111142Y. Holoborodko1.919851WSep 5 · 12:10O. Kuzyshyn1.33118671Y. Holoborodko3.2581111113LSep 5 · 11:10A. Droshchynskyi1.501111113Y. Holoborodko2.509760LSep 3 · 17:40O. Nadporozhskyi2.1041112113Y. Holoborodko1.671171091
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