TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13079211
Played Sep 5Finished
Andrii Droshchynskyi
Home
1.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
119117116––––
Yevhenii Holoborodko
Away
2.50
At publish
Lost last 7Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 7
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:38 and never touched — 65.7% is still 65.7%
Graded at full timeAndrii Droshchynskyi to win
65.7%
65.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingAndrii Droshchynskyi above · Yevhenii Holoborodko below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 11-6
Point 55 set 3, 11-6 — our read held Andrii Droshchynskyi at 65.7%
55 points played in total.
H2H Andrii Droshchynskyi 16–10 Yevhenii Holoborodko Yevhenii Holoborodko has won 10 of their 26 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:38What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Droshchynskyi
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
16-10 in 26
Droshchynskyi
Correct
gap of 6 in 26, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Droshchynskyi 1696 vs Holoborodko 1551
Droshchynskyi
Correct
both rated, 146 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Droshchynskyi 60% vs Holoborodko 0%
Droshchynskyi
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Droshchynskyi 60% vs Holoborodko 10%
Droshchynskyi
Correct
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Droshchynskyi +1 · Holoborodko -5
Holoborodko
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 66% — Clear lean (leans Droshchynskyi)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Holoborodko form (0%) is below what odds imply (40%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDroshchynskyi 1.50 / Holoborodko 2.50
Signal prob.66% / 34%
Edge (Droshchynskyi)+3.2pp
Setka Cup · #13079211
Droshchynskyi1.50
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite61% won 67 of 110
Up 2–0, closes it88% 43 of 49
Up 1–0, closes it71% 52 of 73
Holoborodko2.50
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 7
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog37% won 66 of 179
Down 0–1, comes back26% 30 of 116
Down 0–2, comes back5% 3 of 60
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeDroshchynskyi5wins
AwayHoloborodko5wins
4 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDroshchynskyi62.5%5 of 8
AwayHoloborodkon = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Droshchynskyi8Holoborodko2n = 10Droshchynskyi took 8 of 10
S2Droshchynskyi5Holoborodko5n = 10split evenly
S3Droshchynskyi5Holoborodko5n = 10split evenly
S4Droshchynskyi2Holoborodko3n = 5Holoborodko took 3 of 5
S5Droshchynskyi1Holoborodko3n = 4Holoborodko took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricDroshchynskyiHoloborodkoD − HBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match38.436.6+1.8per matchSweeps32+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDroshchynskyiHoloborodkoBasisWin rate · lifetime110 / 194 vs 312 / 59656.7%52.4%110 / 194 vs 312 / 596Avg sets wonper match2.22.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.138.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DroshchynskyiDroshchynskyi 1.50/Holoborodko 2.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
65.7%
Droshchynskyi · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Droshchynskyi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 23 · 06:30A. Droshchynskyi—8980Y. Holoborodko—1111113
WAug 22 · 16:10A. Droshchynskyi—1111113Y. Holoborodko—7430
LAug 8 · 12:10A. Droshchynskyi—910100Y. Holoborodko—1112123
WAug 2 · 07:05A. Droshchynskyi—1113113Y. Holoborodko—61190
LJul 25 · 10:40A. Droshchynskyi—111071192Y. Holoborodko—912119113
WJul 18 · 12:10A. Droshchynskyi—1111133Y. Holoborodko—87110
WJul 11 · 11:10A. Droshchynskyi—116116133Y. Holoborodko—711711112
WJun 28 · 05:30A. Droshchynskyi—11116113Y. Holoborodko—981171
LJun 25 · 17:40A. Droshchynskyi—1111111072Y. Holoborodko—491312113
LJun 22 · 22:10A. Droshchynskyi—113121252Y. Holoborodko—3111014113
A. Droshchynskyi10
LSep 6 · 11:00A. Droshchynskyi1.40951181Y. Holoborodko2.7511115113LSep 6 · 09:00O. Zhyrnov1.911111113A. Droshchynskyi1.807990WSep 6 · 08:00A. Droshchynskyi1.4011511133O. Varlamov2.754111111WSep 6 · 07:00O. Kuzyshyn1.61761141A. Droshchynskyi2.2011115113WSep 6 · 05:30A. Droshchynskyi1.531111133R. Sopivnyk2.3876110LSep 5 · 16:40O. Kuzyshyn1.6111114103A. Droshchynskyi2.20731121WSep 5 · 15:40A. Droshchynskyi1.83118116113O. Zhyrnov1.8331161142WSep 5 · 13:10A. Droshchynskyi1.44111162O. Varlamov2.639860WAug 29 · 16:40V. Merzlikin2.751210671A. Droshchynskyi1.40101211113LAug 29 · 15:40A. Droshchynskyi1.4411961152O. Blashkun2.63711117113
Y. Holoborodko10
WSep 6 · 11:00A. Droshchynskyi1.40951181Y. Holoborodko2.7511115113WSep 6 · 10:00O. Varlamov1.73111112822Y. Holoborodko2.00841411113LSep 6 · 08:30O. Kuzyshyn1.401111113Y. Holoborodko2.757790LSep 6 · 06:30R. Sopivnyk1.8311811113Y. Holoborodko1.83311941LSep 6 · 04:30O. Zhyrnov1.501111113Y. Holoborodko2.503960LSep 5 · 17:40O. Zhyrnov1.571111153Y. Holoborodko2.2586130LSep 5 · 16:10Y. Holoborodko1.8055110R. Sopivnyk1.911111133LSep 5 · 14:10O. Varlamov1.80111142Y. Holoborodko1.919851WSep 5 · 12:10O. Kuzyshyn1.33118671Y. Holoborodko3.2581111113LSep 3 · 17:40O. Nadporozhskyi2.1041112113Y. Holoborodko1.671171091
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