TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13084281
Played Sep 6Finished
Andrii Droshchynskyi
Home
1.40
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
911511115811––
Yevhenii Holoborodko
Away
2.75
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:49 and never touched — 69.5% is still 69.5%
Graded at full timeAndrii Droshchynskyi to win
69.5%
69.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingAndrii Droshchynskyi above · Yevhenii Holoborodko below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 11-5
Set 4 · 8-11
Point 71 set 4, 8-11 — our read held Andrii Droshchynskyi at 69.5%
71 points played in total.
H2H Andrii Droshchynskyi 17–10 Yevhenii Holoborodko Yevhenii Holoborodko has won 10 of their 27 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 19:49What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Droshchynskyi
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
17-10 in 27
Droshchynskyi
Wrong
gap of 7 in 27, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Droshchynskyi 1723 vs Holoborodko 1514
Droshchynskyi
Wrong
both rated, 209 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Droshchynskyi 60% vs Holoborodko 20%
Droshchynskyi
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Droshchynskyi 70% vs Holoborodko 20%
Droshchynskyi
Wrong
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Droshchynskyi -1 · Holoborodko +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 70% — Clear lean (leans Droshchynskyi)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Holoborodko form (20%) is below what odds imply (36%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDroshchynskyi 1.40 / Holoborodko 2.75
Signal prob.70% / 31%
Edge (Droshchynskyi)+3.2pp
Setka Cup · #13084281
Droshchynskyi1.40
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite62% won 69 of 112
Up 2–0, closes it88% 44 of 50
Up 1–0, closes it72% 54 of 75
Holoborodko2.75
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
10%takes the first set · 1 of 10
As underdog37% won 67 of 182
Down 0–1, comes back26% 31 of 119
Down 0–2, comes back5% 3 of 62
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeDroshchynskyi6wins
AwayHoloborodko4wins
3 of 10 to a deciderDroshchynskyi leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDroshchynskyi75%6 of 8
AwayHoloborodkon = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Droshchynskyi8Holoborodko2n = 10Droshchynskyi took 8 of 10
S2Droshchynskyi6Holoborodko4n = 10Droshchynskyi took 6 of 10
S3Droshchynskyi5Holoborodko5n = 10split evenly
S4Droshchynskyi2Holoborodko2n = 4split evenly
S5Droshchynskyi1Holoborodko2n = 3Holoborodko took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home440%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricDroshchynskyiHoloborodkoD − HBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match37.433.9+3.5per matchSweeps42+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDroshchynskyiHoloborodkoBasisWin rate · lifetime116 / 202 vs 314 / 60557.4%51.9%116 / 202 vs 314 / 605Avg sets wonper match2.22.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.938.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DroshchynskyiDroshchynskyi 1.40/Holoborodko 2.75
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
69.5%
Droshchynskyi · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Holoborodko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 5 · 11:10A. Droshchynskyi—1111113Y. Holoborodko—9760
LAug 23 · 06:30A. Droshchynskyi—8980Y. Holoborodko—1111113
WAug 22 · 16:10A. Droshchynskyi—1111113Y. Holoborodko—7430
LAug 8 · 12:10A. Droshchynskyi—910100Y. Holoborodko—1112123
WAug 2 · 07:05A. Droshchynskyi—1113113Y. Holoborodko—61190
LJul 25 · 10:40A. Droshchynskyi—111071192Y. Holoborodko—912119113
WJul 18 · 12:10A. Droshchynskyi—1111133Y. Holoborodko—87110
WJul 11 · 11:10A. Droshchynskyi—116116133Y. Holoborodko—711711112
WJun 28 · 05:30A. Droshchynskyi—11116113Y. Holoborodko—981171
LJun 25 · 17:40A. Droshchynskyi—1111111072Y. Holoborodko—491312113
A. Droshchynskyi10
LSep 6 · 09:00O. Zhyrnov1.911111113A. Droshchynskyi1.807990WSep 6 · 08:00A. Droshchynskyi1.4011511133O. Varlamov2.754111111WSep 6 · 07:00O. Kuzyshyn1.61761141A. Droshchynskyi2.2011115113WSep 6 · 05:30A. Droshchynskyi1.531111133R. Sopivnyk2.3876110LSep 5 · 16:40O. Kuzyshyn1.6111114103A. Droshchynskyi2.20731121WSep 5 · 15:40A. Droshchynskyi1.83118116113O. Zhyrnov1.8331161142WSep 5 · 13:10A. Droshchynskyi1.44111162O. Varlamov2.639860WSep 5 · 11:10A. Droshchynskyi1.501111113Y. Holoborodko2.509760WAug 29 · 16:40V. Merzlikin2.751210671A. Droshchynskyi1.40101211113LAug 29 · 15:40A. Droshchynskyi1.4411961152O. Blashkun2.63711117113
Y. Holoborodko10
WSep 6 · 10:00O. Varlamov1.73111112822Y. Holoborodko2.00841411113LSep 6 · 08:30O. Kuzyshyn1.401111113Y. Holoborodko2.757790LSep 6 · 06:30R. Sopivnyk1.8311811113Y. Holoborodko1.83311941LSep 6 · 04:30O. Zhyrnov1.501111113Y. Holoborodko2.503960LSep 5 · 17:40O. Zhyrnov1.571111153Y. Holoborodko2.2586130LSep 5 · 16:10Y. Holoborodko1.8055110R. Sopivnyk1.911111133LSep 5 · 14:10O. Varlamov1.80111142Y. Holoborodko1.919851WSep 5 · 12:10O. Kuzyshyn1.33118671Y. Holoborodko3.2581111113LSep 5 · 11:10A. Droshchynskyi1.501111113Y. Holoborodko2.509760LSep 3 · 17:40O. Nadporozhskyi2.1041112113Y. Holoborodko1.671171091
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