TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13079319
Played Sep 5Finished
Oleh Kuzyshyn
Home
1.62
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
117113411102––
Andrii Droshchynskyi
Away
2.20
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:48 and never touched — 58.9% is still 58.9%
Graded at full timeOleh Kuzyshyn to win
58.9%
58.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOleh Kuzyshyn above · Andrii Droshchynskyi below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 11-3
Set 3 · 4-11
Set 4 · 10-2
Point 59 set 4, 10-2 — our read held Oleh Kuzyshyn at 58.9%
59 points played in total.
H2H Oleh Kuzyshyn 6–3 Andrii Droshchynskyi Andrii Droshchynskyi has won 3 of their 9 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:48What took a side2 for · 4 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Kuzyshyn
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-3 in 9
Kuzyshyn
Correct
gap of 3 in 9, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kuzyshyn 1665 vs Droshchynskyi 1727
Droshchynskyi
Wrong
both rated, 62 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kuzyshyn 20% vs Droshchynskyi 80%
Droshchynskyi
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kuzyshyn 50% vs Droshchynskyi 70%
Droshchynskyi
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kuzyshyn +1 · Droshchynskyi +4
Droshchynskyi
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Kuzyshyn) · live re-read · sealed at 59% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Droshchynskyi form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKuzyshyn 1.61 / Droshchynskyi 2.20
Signal prob.56% / 44%
Edge (Kuzyshyn)-1.6pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13079319
Kuzyshyn1.61
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite64% won 65 of 101
Up 2–0, closes it95% 37 of 39
Up 1–0, closes it82% 49 of 60
Droshchynskyi2.20
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog42% won 18 of 43
Down 0–1, comes back19% 4 of 21
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 9
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 9 meetings
HomeKuzyshyn6wins
AwayDroshchynskyi3wins
3 of 9 to a deciderKuzyshyn leads 6–3, and 3 of those 9 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKuzyshyn100%5 of 5
AwayDroshchynskyi75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 9 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kuzyshyn5Droshchynskyi4n = 9Kuzyshyn took 5 of 9
S2Kuzyshyn5Droshchynskyi4n = 9Kuzyshyn took 5 of 9
S3Kuzyshyn8Droshchynskyi1n = 9Kuzyshyn took 8 of 9
S4Kuzyshyn3Droshchynskyi1n = 4Kuzyshyn took 3 of 4
S5Kuzyshyn1Droshchynskyi2n = 3Droshchynskyi took 2 of 3
How those 9 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 9 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home444%
3–1Four sets, home111%
3–2Decider, home111%
2–3Decider, away222%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away111%
These 9 meetings
MetricKuzyshynDroshchynskyiK − DBasisWins63+3in 9 meetingsFirst set54+1of 9Avg pointsper match37.630.7+6.9per matchSweeps41+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKuzyshynDroshchynskyiBasisWin rate · lifetime229 / 438 vs 113 / 19752.3%57.4%229 / 438 vs 113 / 197Avg sets wonper match2.12.2per matchAvg pointsper match37.438.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KuzyshynKuzyshyn 1.61/Droshchynskyi 2.20
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
56.1%
Kuzyshyn · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Kuzyshyn won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
WAug 22 · 10:40O. Kuzyshyn—11911113A. Droshchynskyi—711571
LJul 25 · 12:10O. Kuzyshyn—6490A. Droshchynskyi—1111113
WJul 18 · 10:40O. Kuzyshyn—461111133A. Droshchynskyi—111167112
WMay 14 · 18:20O. Kuzyshyn—1111113A. Droshchynskyi—7380
WMay 3 · 09:00O. Kuzyshyn—1111113A. Droshchynskyi—9430
WApr 11 · 12:20O. Kuzyshyn—1111113A. Droshchynskyi—8670
LMar 15 · 09:05O. Kuzyshyn—81111992A. Droshchynskyi—113911113
WFeb 22 · 12:00O. Kuzyshyn—1111113A. Droshchynskyi—6570
LFeb 15 · 10:00O. Kuzyshyn—8121111102A. Droshchynskyi—111448123
O. Kuzyshyn10
LSep 6 · 10:30O. Zhyrnov1.6712137113O. Kuzyshyn2.10101111101LSep 6 · 09:30O. Kuzyshyn1.50118941R. Sopivnyk2.5081111113WSep 6 · 08:30O. Kuzyshyn1.401111113Y. Holoborodko2.757790LSep 6 · 07:00O. Kuzyshyn1.61761141A. Droshchynskyi2.2011115113WSep 6 · 05:00O. Kuzyshyn1.501111113O. Varlamov2.506750WSep 5 · 15:10O. Kuzyshyn1.571111113O. Varlamov2.259560LSep 5 · 13:40O. Kuzyshyn2.105780O. Zhyrnov1.671111113LSep 5 · 12:10O. Kuzyshyn1.33118671Y. Holoborodko3.2581111113LSep 5 · 10:40O. Kuzyshyn1.401071141R. Sopivnyk2.7512119113LSep 3 · 16:40O. Zhyrnov1.801112113O. Kuzyshyn1.9181050
A. Droshchynskyi10
LSep 6 · 11:00A. Droshchynskyi1.40951181Y. Holoborodko2.7511115113LSep 6 · 09:00O. Zhyrnov1.911111113A. Droshchynskyi1.807990WSep 6 · 08:00A. Droshchynskyi1.4011511133O. Varlamov2.754111111WSep 6 · 07:00O. Kuzyshyn1.61761141A. Droshchynskyi2.2011115113WSep 6 · 05:30A. Droshchynskyi1.531111133R. Sopivnyk2.3876110WSep 5 · 15:40A. Droshchynskyi1.83118116113O. Zhyrnov1.8331161142WSep 5 · 13:10A. Droshchynskyi1.44111162O. Varlamov2.639860WSep 5 · 11:10A. Droshchynskyi1.501111113Y. Holoborodko2.509760WAug 29 · 16:40V. Merzlikin2.751210671A. Droshchynskyi1.40101211113LAug 29 · 15:40A. Droshchynskyi1.4411961152O. Blashkun2.63711117113
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