TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13067233
Played Sep 3Finished
Oleksandr Zhyrnov
Home
1.80
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1181210115––––
Oleh Kuzyshyn
Away
1.91
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:57 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Zhyrnov to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOleksandr Zhyrnov above · Oleh Kuzyshyn below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 11-5
Point 57 set 3, 11-5 — our read held Oleksandr Zhyrnov at 54.0%
57 points played in total.
H2H Oleksandr Zhyrnov 13–13 Oleh Kuzyshyn Dead even across their 26 meetings.
Last 10 · 4–6Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:57What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Zhyrnov
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
13-13 in 26
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Zhyrnov 1707 vs Kuzyshyn 1692
Zhyrnov
Correct
both rated, 15 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Zhyrnov 60% vs Kuzyshyn 80%
Kuzyshyn
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Zhyrnov 80% vs Kuzyshyn 90%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Zhyrnov +1 · Kuzyshyn +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Zhyrnov)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kuzyshyn form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZhyrnov 1.80 / Kuzyshyn 1.91
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Zhyrnov)+2.5pp
Setka Cup · #13067233
Zhyrnov1.80
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
90%takes the first set · 9 of 10
As favourite62% won 113 of 181
Up 2–0, closes it93% 56 of 60
Up 1–0, closes it84% 84 of 100
Kuzyshyn1.91
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog46% won 37 of 81
Down 0–1, comes back28% 10 of 36
Down 0–2, comes back8% 1 of 13
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeZhyrnov4wins
AwayKuzyshyn6wins
3 of 10 to a deciderKuzyshyn leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeZhyrnov57.1%4 of 7
AwayKuzyshyn100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Zhyrnov7Kuzyshyn3n = 10Zhyrnov took 7 of 10
S2Zhyrnov4Kuzyshyn6n = 10Kuzyshyn took 6 of 10
S3Zhyrnov4Kuzyshyn6n = 10Kuzyshyn took 6 of 10
S4Zhyrnov2Kuzyshyn4n = 6Kuzyshyn took 4 of 6
S5Zhyrnov1Kuzyshyn2n = 3Kuzyshyn took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricZhyrnovKuzyshynZ − KBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match33.736.4−2.7per matchSweeps2203–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZhyrnovKuzyshynBasisWin rate · lifetime377 / 760 vs 228 / 43349.6%52.7%377 / 760 vs 228 / 433Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.137.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZhyrnovZhyrnov 1.80/Kuzyshyn 1.91
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Zhyrnov · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Zhyrnov won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 27 · 16:40O. Zhyrnov—61040O. Kuzyshyn—1112113
LAug 22 · 16:40O. Zhyrnov—61114972O. Kuzyshyn—115121193
LJul 26 · 07:35O. Zhyrnov—11116162O. Kuzyshyn—471111113
WJul 19 · 10:30O. Zhyrnov—1111113O. Kuzyshyn—6890
WJul 18 · 17:10O. Zhyrnov—119611113O. Kuzyshyn—71111972
LMay 8 · 11:50O. Zhyrnov—116781O. Kuzyshyn—61111113
LMay 7 · 17:20O. Zhyrnov—118821O. Kuzyshyn—91111113
WMay 3 · 06:00O. Zhyrnov—1211113O. Kuzyshyn—10590
WMay 2 · 16:40O. Zhyrnov—111011113O. Kuzyshyn—712461
LApr 22 · 16:40O. Zhyrnov—21220O. Kuzyshyn—1114113
O. Zhyrnov10
WSep 6 · 10:30O. Zhyrnov1.6712137113O. Kuzyshyn2.10101111101WSep 6 · 09:00O. Zhyrnov1.911111113A. Droshchynskyi1.807990WSep 6 · 07:30O. Zhyrnov1.5011411113R. Sopivnyk2.50511631LSep 6 · 06:00O. Zhyrnov1.8079120O. Varlamov1.911111143WSep 6 · 04:30O. Zhyrnov1.501111113Y. Holoborodko2.503960WSep 5 · 17:40O. Zhyrnov1.571111153Y. Holoborodko2.2586130LSep 5 · 15:40A. Droshchynskyi1.83118116113O. Zhyrnov1.8331161142WSep 5 · 13:40O. Kuzyshyn2.105780O. Zhyrnov1.671111113LSep 5 · 12:40O. Zhyrnov1.44118961R. Sopivnyk2.6391111113WSep 5 · 11:40O. Varlamov1.8351090O. Zhyrnov1.83111292
O. Kuzyshyn10
LSep 6 · 10:30O. Zhyrnov1.6712137113O. Kuzyshyn2.10101111101LSep 6 · 09:30O. Kuzyshyn1.50118941R. Sopivnyk2.5081111113WSep 6 · 08:30O. Kuzyshyn1.401111113Y. Holoborodko2.757790LSep 6 · 07:00O. Kuzyshyn1.61761141A. Droshchynskyi2.2011115113WSep 6 · 05:00O. Kuzyshyn1.501111113O. Varlamov2.506750WSep 5 · 16:40O. Kuzyshyn1.6111114103A. Droshchynskyi2.20731121WSep 5 · 15:10O. Kuzyshyn1.571111113O. Varlamov2.259560LSep 5 · 13:40O. Kuzyshyn2.105780O. Zhyrnov1.671111113LSep 5 · 12:10O. Kuzyshyn1.33118671Y. Holoborodko3.2581111113LSep 5 · 10:40O. Kuzyshyn1.401071141R. Sopivnyk2.7512119113
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