TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13084022
Played Sep 6Finished
Oleksandr Zhyrnov
Home
1.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
113119116––––
Yevhenii Holoborodko
Away
2.50
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:56 and never touched — 66.5% is still 66.5%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Zhyrnov to win
66.5%
66.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOleksandr Zhyrnov above · Yevhenii Holoborodko below
Set 1 · 11-3
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 11-6
Point 51 set 3, 11-6 — our read held Oleksandr Zhyrnov at 66.5%
51 points played in total.
H2H Oleksandr Zhyrnov 35–16 Yevhenii Holoborodko Yevhenii Holoborodko has won 16 of their 51 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 18:56What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Zhyrnov
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
35-16 in 51
Zhyrnov
Correct
gap of 19 in 51, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Zhyrnov 1721 vs Holoborodko 1523
Zhyrnov
Correct
both rated, 198 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Zhyrnov 60% vs Holoborodko 20%
Zhyrnov
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Zhyrnov 70% vs Holoborodko 10%
Zhyrnov
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Zhyrnov +1 · Holoborodko -3
Holoborodko
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 67% — Clear lean (leans Zhyrnov)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Holoborodko form (20%) is below what odds imply (40%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZhyrnov 1.50 / Holoborodko 2.50
Signal prob.67% / 34%
Edge (Zhyrnov)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #13084022
Zhyrnov1.50
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite63% won 117 of 187
Up 2–0, closes it94% 59 of 63
Up 1–0, closes it83% 88 of 106
Holoborodko2.50
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog37% won 67 of 182
Down 0–1, comes back26% 31 of 119
Down 0–2, comes back5% 3 of 62
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeZhyrnov7wins
AwayHoloborodko3wins
3 of 10 to a deciderZhyrnov leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeZhyrnov87.5%7 of 8
AwayHoloborodkon = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Zhyrnov8Holoborodko2n = 10Zhyrnov took 8 of 10
S2Zhyrnov6Holoborodko4n = 10Zhyrnov took 6 of 10
S3Zhyrnov6Holoborodko4n = 10Zhyrnov took 6 of 10
S4Zhyrnov2Holoborodko3n = 5Holoborodko took 3 of 5
S5Zhyrnov2Holoborodko1n = 3Zhyrnov took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home440%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricZhyrnovHoloborodkoZ − HBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match37.933.6+4.3per matchSweeps41+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZhyrnovHoloborodkoBasisWin rate · lifetime382 / 767 vs 313 / 60249.8%52%382 / 767 vs 313 / 602Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.138.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZhyrnovZhyrnov 1.50/Holoborodko 2.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
66.5%
Zhyrnov · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Zhyrnov won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 6 · 04:30O. Zhyrnov—1111113Y. Holoborodko—3960
WSep 5 · 17:40O. Zhyrnov—1111153Y. Holoborodko—86130
WSep 3 · 12:10O. Zhyrnov—119911113Y. Holoborodko—51111762
WSep 2 · 11:40O. Zhyrnov—1110115113Y. Holoborodko—91281162
WAug 30 · 10:00O. Zhyrnov—1111113Y. Holoborodko—8590
LAug 27 · 11:10O. Zhyrnov—71112992Y. Holoborodko—1151011113
LAug 26 · 13:40O. Zhyrnov—118751Y. Holoborodko—71111113
LAug 22 · 11:10O. Zhyrnov—8790Y. Holoborodko—1111113
WAug 16 · 11:00O. Zhyrnov—11116113Y. Holoborodko—971171
WAug 1 · 16:10O. Zhyrnov—1113113Y. Holoborodko—91180
O. Zhyrnov10
WSep 6 · 10:30O. Zhyrnov1.6712137113O. Kuzyshyn2.10101111101WSep 6 · 09:00O. Zhyrnov1.911111113A. Droshchynskyi1.807990WSep 6 · 07:30O. Zhyrnov1.5011411113R. Sopivnyk2.50511631LSep 6 · 06:00O. Zhyrnov1.8079120O. Varlamov1.911111143WSep 5 · 17:40O. Zhyrnov1.571111153Y. Holoborodko2.2586130LSep 5 · 15:40A. Droshchynskyi1.83118116113O. Zhyrnov1.8331161142WSep 5 · 13:40O. Kuzyshyn2.105780O. Zhyrnov1.671111113LSep 5 · 12:40O. Zhyrnov1.44118961R. Sopivnyk2.6391111113WSep 5 · 11:40O. Varlamov1.8351090O. Zhyrnov1.83111292WSep 3 · 16:40O. Zhyrnov1.801112113O. Kuzyshyn1.9181050
Y. Holoborodko10
WSep 6 · 11:00A. Droshchynskyi1.40951181Y. Holoborodko2.7511115113WSep 6 · 10:00O. Varlamov1.73111112822Y. Holoborodko2.00841411113LSep 6 · 08:30O. Kuzyshyn1.401111113Y. Holoborodko2.757790LSep 6 · 06:30R. Sopivnyk1.8311811113Y. Holoborodko1.83311941LSep 5 · 17:40O. Zhyrnov1.571111153Y. Holoborodko2.2586130LSep 5 · 16:10Y. Holoborodko1.8055110R. Sopivnyk1.911111133LSep 5 · 14:10O. Varlamov1.80111142Y. Holoborodko1.919851WSep 5 · 12:10O. Kuzyshyn1.33118671Y. Holoborodko3.2581111113LSep 5 · 11:10A. Droshchynskyi1.501111113Y. Holoborodko2.509760LSep 3 · 17:40O. Nadporozhskyi2.1041112113Y. Holoborodko1.671171091
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