TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13067675
Played Sep 3Finished
Oleksii Nadporozhskyi
Home
2.10
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
4111171210119––
Yevhenii Holoborodko
Away
1.67
At publish
Lost last 6Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 6
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:39 and never touched — 55.8% is still 55.8%
Graded at full timeYevhenii Holoborodko to win
55.8%
55.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingOleksii Nadporozhskyi above · Yevhenii Holoborodko below
Set 1 · 4-11
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 12-10
Set 4 · 11-9
Point 75 set 4, 11-9 — our read held Yevhenii Holoborodko at 55.8%
75 points played in total.
H2H Oleksii Nadporozhskyi 0–1 Yevhenii Holoborodko Oleksii Nadporozhskyi has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 22:39What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Holoborodko
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-1 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Nadporozhskyi 1403 vs Holoborodko 1567
Holoborodko
Wrong
both rated, 164 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Nadporozhskyi 60% vs Holoborodko 0%
Nadporozhskyi
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Nadporozhskyi 40% vs Holoborodko 20%
Nadporozhskyi
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Nadporozhskyi -1 · Holoborodko -5
Holoborodko
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Holoborodko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Holoborodko form (0%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsNadporozhskyi 2.10 / Holoborodko 1.67
Signal prob.44% / 56%
Edge (Holoborodko)+0.0pp
Setka Cup · #13067675
Nadporozhskyi2.10
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog
Fewer than 10 matches in this role
Holoborodko1.67
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 6
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite55% won 130 of 236
Up 2–0, closes it92% 54 of 59
Up 1–0, closes it69% 80 of 116
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeNadporozhskyi0wins
AwayHoloborodko1wins
1 of 1 to a deciderHoloborodko leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away1
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricNadporozhskyiHoloborodkoN − HBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match45.047.0−2.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricNadporozhskyiHoloborodkoBasisWin rate · lifetime47 / 146 vs 312 / 59532.2%52.4%47 / 146 vs 312 / 595Avg sets wonper match1.72.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.238.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HoloborodkoNadporozhskyi 2.10/Holoborodko 1.67
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
55.8%
Holoborodko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Nadporozhskyi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LAug 6 · 13:40O. Nadporozhskyi—12911492Y. Holoborodko—1011411113
O. Nadporozhskyi10
LSep 3 · 15:40O. Kuzyshyn2.2081111113O. Nadporozhskyi1.61116221WSep 3 · 13:40O. Zhyrnov1.6111951282O. Nadporozhskyi2.204111110113LSep 3 · 12:40O. Nadporozhskyi1.836111181D. Habrelyan1.8311613113WSep 3 · 11:40M. Tiutiunnyk2.001211910102O. Nadporozhskyi1.731091112123WAug 6 · 16:40O. Nadporozhskyi1.911111123M. Tiutiunnyk1.8078100LAug 6 · 15:10O. Nadporozhskyi2.007990M. Deineha1.731111113LAug 6 · 13:40O. Nadporozhskyi1.8312911492Y. Holoborodko1.831011411113WAug 6 · 12:10O. Nadporozhskyi1.6712911113Y. Kovshun2.101011591LAug 6 · 10:40O. Nadporozhskyi1.67711241R. Sopivnyk2.1011811113LApr 9 · 17:10O. Nadporozhskyi2.2587110A. Derevianko1.571111133
Y. Holoborodko10
WSep 6 · 11:00A. Droshchynskyi1.40951181Y. Holoborodko2.7511115113WSep 6 · 10:00O. Varlamov1.73111112822Y. Holoborodko2.00841411113LSep 6 · 08:30O. Kuzyshyn1.401111113Y. Holoborodko2.757790LSep 6 · 06:30R. Sopivnyk1.8311811113Y. Holoborodko1.83311941LSep 6 · 04:30O. Zhyrnov1.501111113Y. Holoborodko2.503960LSep 5 · 17:40O. Zhyrnov1.571111153Y. Holoborodko2.2586130LSep 5 · 16:10Y. Holoborodko1.8055110R. Sopivnyk1.911111133LSep 5 · 14:10O. Varlamov1.80111142Y. Holoborodko1.919851WSep 5 · 12:10O. Kuzyshyn1.33118671Y. Holoborodko3.2581111113WAug 6 · 13:40O. Nadporozhskyi1.8312911492Y. Holoborodko1.831011411113
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