TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12367371
Played Aug 6Finished
Oleksii Nadporozhskyi
Home
1.67
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
711118211411––
Ruslan Sopivnyk
Away
2.10
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:30 and never touched — 70.8% is still 70.8%
Graded at full timeRuslan Sopivnyk to win
70.8%
70.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOleksii Nadporozhskyi above · Ruslan Sopivnyk below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 2-11
Set 4 · 4-11
Point 65 set 4, 4-11 — our read held Ruslan Sopivnyk at 70.8%
65 points played in total.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 19:30What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Nadporozhskyi
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Nadporozhskyi 1340 vs Sopivnyk 1641
Sopivnyk
Correct
both rated, 302 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Nadporozhskyi 20% vs Sopivnyk 80%
Sopivnyk
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Nadporozhskyi 10% vs Sopivnyk 70%
Sopivnyk
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Nadporozhskyi -2 · Sopivnyk +3
Sopivnyk
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Slight lean (leans Sopivnyk) · live re-read · sealed at 71% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sopivnyk form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsNadporozhskyi 1.67 / Sopivnyk 2.10
Signal prob.45% / 55%
Edge (Sopivnyk)+11.0pp
Setka Cup · #12367371
Nadporozhskyi1.67
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite
Fewer than 10 matches in this role
Sopivnyk2.10
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog32% won 49 of 152
Down 0–1, comes back17% 15 of 89
Down 0–2, comes back6% 3 of 53
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricNadporozhskyiSopivnykBasisWin rate · lifetime58 / 186 vs 166 / 33831.2%49.1%58 / 186 vs 166 / 338Avg sets wonper match1.72.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.238.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SopivnykNadporozhskyi 1.67/Sopivnyk 2.10
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
55.2%
Sopivnyk · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Sopivnyk won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
O. Nadporozhskyi10
WSep 3 · 17:40O. Nadporozhskyi2.1041112113Y. Holoborodko1.671171091LSep 3 · 15:40O. Kuzyshyn2.2081111113O. Nadporozhskyi1.61116221WSep 3 · 13:40O. Zhyrnov1.6111951282O. Nadporozhskyi2.204111110113LSep 3 · 12:40O. Nadporozhskyi1.836111181D. Habrelyan1.8311613113WSep 3 · 11:40M. Tiutiunnyk2.001211910102O. Nadporozhskyi1.731091112123WAug 6 · 16:40O. Nadporozhskyi1.911111123M. Tiutiunnyk1.8078100LAug 6 · 15:10O. Nadporozhskyi2.007990M. Deineha1.731111113LAug 6 · 13:40O. Nadporozhskyi1.8312911492Y. Holoborodko1.831011411113WAug 6 · 12:10O. Nadporozhskyi1.6712911113Y. Kovshun2.101011591LApr 9 · 17:10O. Nadporozhskyi2.2587110A. Derevianko1.571111133
R. Sopivnyk10
LSep 6 · 11:30R. Sopivnyk1.803740O. Varlamov1.91111193WSep 6 · 09:30O. Kuzyshyn1.50118941R. Sopivnyk2.5081111113LSep 6 · 07:30O. Zhyrnov1.5011411113R. Sopivnyk2.50511631WSep 6 · 06:30R. Sopivnyk1.8311811113Y. Holoborodko1.83311941LSep 6 · 05:30A. Droshchynskyi1.531111133R. Sopivnyk2.3876110LSep 5 · 17:10O. Varlamov2.0081111113R. Sopivnyk1.73119361WSep 5 · 16:10Y. Holoborodko1.8055110R. Sopivnyk1.911111133WSep 5 · 12:40O. Zhyrnov1.44118961R. Sopivnyk2.6391111113WSep 5 · 10:40O. Kuzyshyn1.401071141R. Sopivnyk2.7512119113WSep 4 · 11:30R. Sopivnyk1.171111113A. Troyan4.505870
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