TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13072934
Played Sep 4Finished
Ruslan Sopivnyk
Home
1.17
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
115118117––––
Andrey Troyan
Away
4.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:38 and never touched — 83.7% is still 83.7%
Graded at full timeRuslan Sopivnyk to win
83.7%
83.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingRuslan Sopivnyk above · Andrey Troyan below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 11-7
Point 53 set 3, 11-7 — our read held Ruslan Sopivnyk at 83.7%
53 points played in total.
H2H Ruslan Sopivnyk 22–5 Andrey Troyan Andrey Troyan has won 5 of their 27 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 18:38What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.17 (79%)
Sopivnyk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
22-5 in 27
Sopivnyk
Correct
gap of 17 in 27, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sopivnyk 1646 vs Troyan 1564
Sopivnyk
Correct
both rated, 82 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sopivnyk 40% vs Troyan 60%
Troyan
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sopivnyk 50% vs Troyan 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Sopivnyk -1 · Troyan +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 84% — Strong (leans Sopivnyk)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Troyan form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (22%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSopivnyk 1.17 / Troyan 4.50
Signal prob.84% / 16%
Edge (Sopivnyk)+4.3pp
Setka Cup · #13072934
Sopivnyk1.17
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite65% won 68 of 105
Up 2–0, closes it94% 50 of 53
Up 1–0, closes it86% 57 of 66
Troyan4.50
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog30% won 55 of 181
Down 0–1, comes back14% 16 of 112
Down 0–2, comes back4% 3 of 72
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSopivnyk10wins
AwayTroyan0wins
Sopivnyk leads 10–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSopivnyk100%9 of 9
AwayTroyann = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sopivnyk9Troyan1n = 10Sopivnyk took 9 of 10
S2Sopivnyk10Troyan0n = 10Sopivnyk took 10 of 10
S3Sopivnyk9Troyan1n = 10Sopivnyk took 9 of 10
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home880%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricSopivnykTroyanS − TBasisWins100+10in 10 meetingsFirst set91+8of 10Avg pointsper match35.121.6+13.5per matchSweeps80+83–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSopivnykTroyanBasisWin rate · lifetime191 / 383 vs 458 / 97349.9%47.1%191 / 383 vs 458 / 973Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.237.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SopivnykSopivnyk 1.17/Troyan 4.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
83.7%
Sopivnyk · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Sopivnyk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 4 · 11:30R. Sopivnyk—1111113A. Troyan—5870
WAug 28 · 06:30R. Sopivnyk—1111113A. Troyan—9380
WAug 14 · 07:05R. Sopivnyk—1111113A. Troyan—8630
WAug 3 · 09:05R. Sopivnyk—1112113A. Troyan—81070
WJul 14 · 08:35R. Sopivnyk—11118113A. Troyan—361171
WApr 13 · 10:05R. Sopivnyk—1115133A. Troyan—813110
WApr 12 · 10:35R. Sopivnyk—1111113A. Troyan—4430
WMar 17 · 10:30R. Sopivnyk—1111113A. Troyan—6780
WMar 11 · 07:05R. Sopivnyk—61111113A. Troyan—112551
WMar 7 · 09:30R. Sopivnyk—1111113A. Troyan—3890
R. Sopivnyk10
LSep 6 · 11:30R. Sopivnyk1.803740O. Varlamov1.91111193WSep 6 · 09:30O. Kuzyshyn1.50118941R. Sopivnyk2.5081111113LSep 6 · 07:30O. Zhyrnov1.5011411113R. Sopivnyk2.50511631WSep 6 · 06:30R. Sopivnyk1.8311811113Y. Holoborodko1.83311941LSep 6 · 05:30A. Droshchynskyi1.531111133R. Sopivnyk2.3876110LSep 5 · 17:10O. Varlamov2.0081111113R. Sopivnyk1.73119361WSep 5 · 16:10Y. Holoborodko1.8055110R. Sopivnyk1.911111133WSep 5 · 12:40O. Zhyrnov1.44118961R. Sopivnyk2.6391111113WSep 5 · 10:40O. Kuzyshyn1.401071141R. Sopivnyk2.7512119113LSep 4 · 09:30A. Kotiash2.635141211113R. Sopivnyk1.44111610972
A. Troyan10
WSep 7 · 06:00O. Osadchyi5.004690A. Troyan1.141111113WSep 7 · 05:00V. Kolesnykov2.751134101A. Troyan1.4081111123WSep 5 · 10:52A. Troyan1.73118711113Y. Kovshun2.0071111272LSep 5 · 09:50Y. Kovshun1.50314119123A. Troyan2.501112811102LSep 5 · 08:20I. Efimenko1.531111113A. Troyan2.388870WSep 5 · 06:48A. Kotiash2.007240A. Troyan1.731111113LSep 5 · 05:48Y. Volkov1.57512115113A. Troyan2.25111091152WSep 4 · 10:00A. Troyan1.806121111113O. Karpenko1.9111146892LSep 4 · 08:00Y. Kovshun1.401111133A. Troyan2.7588110WSep 4 · 06:00Y. Volkov1.6112811752A. Troyan2.201011811113
Upcoming Matches
R. Sopivnyk
Nothing scheduled
A. Troyan
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