TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13089179
Played Sep 7Finished
Oleksandr Osadchyi
Home
5.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
411611911––––
Andrey Troyan
Away
1.14
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:23 and never touched — 83.0% is still 83.0%
Graded at full timeAndrey Troyan to win
83.0%
83.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOleksandr Osadchyi above · Andrey Troyan below
Set 1 · 4-11
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Point 52 set 3, 9-11 — our read held Andrey Troyan at 83.0%
52 points played in total.
H2H Oleksandr Osadchyi 1–7 Andrey Troyan Oleksandr Osadchyi has won 1 of their 8 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:23What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.14 (81%)
Troyan
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-7 in 8
Troyan
Correct
gap of 6 in 8, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Osadchyi 1556 vs Troyan 1584
Troyan
Correct
both rated, 27 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Osadchyi 60% vs Troyan 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Osadchyi 70% vs Troyan 50%
Osadchyi
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Osadchyi +1 · Troyan +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 83% — Strong (leans Troyan)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Troyan form (60%) is below what odds imply (88%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsOsadchyi 5.00 / Troyan 1.14
Signal prob.17% / 83%
Edge (Troyan)+1.6pp
Setka Cup · #13089179
Osadchyi5.00
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog43% won 110 of 254
Down 0–1, comes back21% 27 of 126
Down 0–2, comes back5% 4 of 76
Troyan1.14
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite65% won 177 of 272
Up 2–0, closes it93% 94 of 101
Up 1–0, closes it78% 133 of 170
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 8 meetings
HomeOsadchyi1wins
AwayTroyan7wins
1 of 8 to a deciderTroyan leads 7–1, and 1 of those 8 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeOsadchyi33.3%1 of 3
AwayTroyan100%5 of 5
Set by set, in these 8 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Osadchyi3Troyan5n = 8Troyan took 5 of 8
S2Osadchyi1Troyan7n = 8Troyan took 7 of 8
S3Osadchyi1Troyan7n = 8Troyan took 7 of 8
S4Osadchyi2Troyan2n = 4split evenly
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 8 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 8 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home113%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away113%
1–3Four sets, away225%
0–3Straight, away450%
These 8 meetings
MetricOsadchyiTroyanO − TBasisWins17−6in 8 meetingsFirst set35−2of 8Avg pointsper match26.937.6−10.7per matchSweeps04−43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricOsadchyiTroyanBasisWin rate · lifetime437 / 857 vs 460 / 97551%47.2%437 / 857 vs 460 / 975Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.337.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
TroyanOsadchyi 5.00/Troyan 1.14
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
83%
Troyan · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Troyan won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record8
LSep 7 · 06:00O. Osadchyi—4690A. Troyan—1111113
LAug 11 · 07:00O. Osadchyi—5511101A. Troyan—11112123
LAug 4 · 11:05O. Osadchyi—8490A. Troyan—1111113
LJul 22 · 09:05O. Osadchyi—5940A. Troyan—1111113
LJul 4 · 11:20O. Osadchyi—3350A. Troyan—1111113
LJul 1 · 04:30O. Osadchyi—1110481A. Troyan—81211113
LJun 27 · 17:30O. Osadchyi—11611192A. Troyan—811119113
WJun 21 · 12:50O. Osadchyi—13118123A. Troyan—11911101
O. Osadchyi10
WSep 7 · 04:30O. Osadchyi1.831112113O. Volynets1.8361060LSep 3 · 10:30O. Osadchyi1.53117651I. Emets2.3851111113LSep 3 · 09:00O. Osadchyi1.737410D. Khairov2.001111113WSep 3 · 07:30O. Osadchyi1.6781111113A. Kurtenko2.10114571WSep 3 · 06:00O. Osadchyi2.2012511113S. Solomko1.611011731WSep 3 · 04:30O. Osadchyi1.30119118113E. Populovskyi3.4031161172WSep 2 · 11:05O. Osadchyi1.7311711123A. Kurtenko2.006115101WSep 2 · 09:35O. Osadchyi2.3811115113S. Hryhorenko1.53491141WSep 2 · 08:05O. Osadchyi1.731111113O. Lipeiko2.003730LSep 2 · 06:35O. Osadchyi2.25114731S. Solomko1.5721111113
A. Troyan10
WSep 7 · 05:00V. Kolesnykov2.751134101A. Troyan1.4081111123WSep 5 · 10:52A. Troyan1.73118711113Y. Kovshun2.0071111272LSep 5 · 09:50Y. Kovshun1.50314119123A. Troyan2.501112811102LSep 5 · 08:20I. Efimenko1.531111113A. Troyan2.388870WSep 5 · 06:48A. Kotiash2.007240A. Troyan1.731111113LSep 5 · 05:48Y. Volkov1.57512115113A. Troyan2.25111091152LSep 4 · 11:30R. Sopivnyk1.171111113A. Troyan4.505870WSep 4 · 10:00A. Troyan1.806121111113O. Karpenko1.9111146892LSep 4 · 08:00Y. Kovshun1.401111133A. Troyan2.7588110WSep 4 · 06:00Y. Volkov1.6112811752A. Troyan2.201011811113
Upcoming Matches
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.