TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13066899
Played Sep 3Finished
Oleksandr Osadchyi
Home
2.20
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 4
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1210511117113––
Serhii Solomko
Away
1.62
At publish
Won last 9Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 9
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:28 and never touched — 58.1% is still 58.1%
Graded at full timeSerhii Solomko to win
58.1%
58.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongpick shipped
How it is goingOleksandr Osadchyi above · Serhii Solomko below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 11-3
Point 70 set 4, 11-3 — our read held Serhii Solomko at 58.1%
70 points played in total.
H2H Oleksandr Osadchyi 62–92 Serhii Solomko Oleksandr Osadchyi has won 62 of their 154 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 19:28What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Solomko
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
62-92 in 154
Solomko
Wrong
gap of 30 in 154, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Osadchyi 1571 vs Solomko 1596
Solomko
Wrong
both rated, 25 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Osadchyi 80% vs Solomko 100%
Solomko
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Osadchyi 80% vs Solomko 90%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Osadchyi +4 · Solomko +5
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and the gate let it through as .
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Solomko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Solomko form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsOsadchyi 2.20 / Solomko 1.61
Signal prob.42% / 58%
Edge (Solomko)+0.4pp
Setka Cup · #13066899
Osadchyi2.20
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog44% won 113 of 258
Down 0–1, comes back23% 29 of 129
Down 0–2, comes back6% 5 of 78
Solomko1.61
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Won last 9
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite63% won 131 of 208
Up 2–0, closes it91% 64 of 70
Up 1–0, closes it80% 93 of 117
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeOsadchyi3wins
AwaySolomko7wins
2 of 10 to a deciderSolomko leads 7–3, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeOsadchyi25%1 of 4
AwaySolomko66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Osadchyi4Solomko6n = 10Solomko took 6 of 10
S2Osadchyi4Solomko6n = 10Solomko took 6 of 10
S3Osadchyi5Solomko5n = 10split evenly
S4Osadchyi2Solomko6n = 8Solomko took 6 of 8
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away550%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricOsadchyiSolomkoO − SBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match34.738.9−4.2per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricOsadchyiSolomkoBasisWin rate · lifetime438 / 860 vs 521 / 101850.9%51.2%438 / 860 vs 521 / 1018Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.437.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SolomkoOsadchyi 2.20/Solomko 1.61
Miss
What we said
58.1%
Solomko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Osadchyi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 2 · 06:35O. Osadchyi—114731S. Solomko—21111113
WAug 30 · 07:20O. Osadchyi—91111113S. Solomko—119551
LAug 29 · 12:00O. Osadchyi—118961S. Solomko—91111113
LAug 27 · 06:35O. Osadchyi—9111181S. Solomko—11138113
LAug 24 · 08:30O. Osadchyi—10320S. Solomko—1211113
WAug 5 · 11:05O. Osadchyi—1191111113S. Solomko—13118992
WAug 2 · 05:00O. Osadchyi—1111113S. Solomko—3850
LAug 1 · 18:30O. Osadchyi—1011621S. Solomko—12411113
LJul 29 · 10:35O. Osadchyi—1333101S. Solomko—111111123
LJul 28 · 10:40O. Osadchyi—91215842S. Solomko—11101311113
O. Osadchyi10
LSep 7 · 07:30O. Osadchyi2.25111110832S. Solomko1.57861211113LSep 7 · 06:00O. Osadchyi5.004690A. Troyan1.141111113WSep 7 · 04:30O. Osadchyi1.831112113O. Volynets1.8361060LSep 3 · 10:30O. Osadchyi1.53117651I. Emets2.3851111113LSep 3 · 09:00O. Osadchyi1.737410D. Khairov2.001111113WSep 3 · 07:30O. Osadchyi1.6781111113A. Kurtenko2.10114571WSep 3 · 04:30O. Osadchyi1.30119118113E. Populovskyi3.4031161172WSep 2 · 11:05O. Osadchyi1.7311711123A. Kurtenko2.006115101WSep 2 · 09:35O. Osadchyi2.3811115113S. Hryhorenko1.53491141WSep 2 · 08:05O. Osadchyi1.731111113O. Lipeiko2.003730
S. Solomko10
WSep 7 · 07:30O. Osadchyi2.25111110832S. Solomko1.57861211113LSep 7 · 06:30S. Solomko2.009880O. Volynets1.731111113LSep 7 · 05:30D. Khairov1.502011113S. Solomko2.5018880WSep 6 · 12:50A. Kovalenko1.83381111S. Solomko1.831111393WSep 6 · 11:20S. Solomko1.251211113M. Stetsenko3.7510670LSep 6 · 09:20O. Lipeiko1.91611611153S. Solomko1.80111118132WSep 6 · 07:20D. Patalakha1.73119391S. Solomko2.0071111113WSep 6 · 06:20E. Populovskyi3.25117971S. Solomko1.3381111113LSep 5 · 19:00O. Tymofeev1.44111110113S. Solomko2.63771281LSep 5 · 17:30S. Solomko1.919790F. Voinarovskyi1.801111113
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