TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13084135
Played Sep 6Finished
Serhii Solomko
Home
1.25
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1210116117––––
Maksym Stetsenko
Away
3.75
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:11 and never touched — 77.8% is still 77.8%
Graded at full timeSerhii Solomko to win
77.8%
77.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingSerhii Solomko above · Maksym Stetsenko below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 11-7
Point 57 set 3, 11-7 — our read held Serhii Solomko at 77.8%
57 points played in total.
H2H Serhii Solomko 2–0 Maksym Stetsenko Maksym Stetsenko has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 19:11What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.25 (75%)
Solomko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-0 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Solomko 1529 vs Stetsenko 1334
Solomko
Correct
both rated, 195 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Solomko 40% vs Stetsenko 20%
Solomko
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Solomko 50% vs Stetsenko 20%
Solomko
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Solomko -1 · Stetsenko -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 78% — Strong (leans Solomko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Solomko form (40%) is below what odds imply (80%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSolomko 1.25 / Stetsenko 3.75
Signal prob.78% / 22%
Edge (Solomko)+2.8pp
Setka Cup · #13084135
Solomko1.25
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite63% won 129 of 205
Up 2–0, closes it91% 64 of 70
Up 1–0, closes it81% 92 of 114
Stetsenko3.75
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog44% won 98 of 221
Down 0–1, comes back24% 30 of 123
Down 0–2, comes back7% 4 of 61
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeSolomko2wins
AwayStetsenko0wins
Solomko leads 2–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home2
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricSolomkoStetsenkoSolomko − StetsenkoBasisWins20+2in 2 meetingsFirst set20+2of 2Avg pointsper match33.020.0+13.0per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSolomkoStetsenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime522 / 1021 vs 436 / 83651.1%52.2%522 / 1021 vs 436 / 836Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.237.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SolomkoSolomko 1.25/Stetsenko 3.75
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
77.8%
Solomko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Solomko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
WMar 19 · 07:20S. Solomko—1111113M. Stetsenko—5570
WFeb 16 · 11:20S. Solomko—1111113M. Stetsenko—7970
S. Solomko10
LSep 7 · 06:30S. Solomko2.009880O. Volynets1.731111113LSep 7 · 05:30D. Khairov1.502011113S. Solomko2.5018880WSep 6 · 12:50A. Kovalenko1.83381111S. Solomko1.831111393LSep 6 · 09:20O. Lipeiko1.91611611153S. Solomko1.80111118132WSep 6 · 07:20D. Patalakha1.73119391S. Solomko2.0071111113WSep 6 · 06:20E. Populovskyi3.25117971S. Solomko1.3381111113LSep 5 · 19:00O. Tymofeev1.44111110113S. Solomko2.63771281LSep 5 · 17:30S. Solomko1.919790F. Voinarovskyi1.801111113LSep 5 · 15:30D. Patalakha1.8311112S. Solomko1.83690WSep 5 · 13:30A. Kurtenko1.831112651S. Solomko1.83131011113
M. Stetsenko10
WSep 7 · 05:50V. Korniichuk2.7511470M. Stetsenko1.401311113WSep 6 · 12:20O. Lipeiko1.571171091M. Stetsenko2.2511112113LSep 6 · 09:50E. Populovskyi1.301111113M. Stetsenko3.406890LSep 6 · 07:50A. Kovalenko1.4012711113M. Stetsenko2.751011791WSep 6 · 05:50D. Patalakha1.61781171M. Stetsenko2.2011114113LSep 4 · 11:05M. Stetsenko2.6368120K. Klymenko1.441111143LSep 4 · 09:35M. Stetsenko1.73611831V. Melnykov2.0011311113LSep 4 · 08:05M. Stetsenko2.631111171A. Kovalenko1.4411813113WSep 4 · 06:35M. Stetsenko1.4411714113O. Mytsyk2.636111241LSep 4 · 05:05M. Stetsenko3.406116111E. Populovskyi1.3011911133
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