TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13078914
Played Sep 5Finished
Oleksandr Tymofeev
Home
1.44
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1171171012118––
Serhii Solomko
Away
2.63
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:31 and never touched — 62.1% is still 62.1%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Tymofeev to win
62.1%
62.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOleksandr Tymofeev above · Serhii Solomko below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 10-12
Set 4 · 11-8
Point 77 set 4, 11-8 — our read held Oleksandr Tymofeev at 62.1%
77 points played in total.
H2H Oleksandr Tymofeev 6–4 Serhii Solomko Serhii Solomko has won 4 of their 10 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 19:31What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Tymofeev
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-4 in 10
Tymofeev
Correct
gap of 2 in 10, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Tymofeev 1401 vs Solomko 1534
Solomko
Wrong
both rated, 134 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Tymofeev 20% vs Solomko 40%
Solomko
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Tymofeev 30% vs Solomko 50%
Solomko
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Tymofeev -1 · Solomko -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 62% — Clear lean (leans Tymofeev)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Tymofeev form (20%) is below what odds imply (69%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsTymofeev 1.44 / Solomko 2.63
Signal prob.62% / 38%
Edge (Tymofeev)-2.4pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13078914
Tymofeev1.44
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite71% won 89 of 125
Up 2–0, closes it92% 44 of 48
Up 1–0, closes it89% 64 of 72
Solomko2.63
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog48% won 133 of 277
Down 0–1, comes back25% 38 of 151
Down 0–2, comes back6% 5 of 85
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeTymofeev6wins
AwaySolomko4wins
3 of 10 to a deciderTymofeev leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeTymofeev100%5 of 5
AwaySolomko80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Tymofeev5Solomko5n = 10split evenly
S2Tymofeev6Solomko4n = 10Tymofeev took 6 of 10
S3Tymofeev8Solomko2n = 10Tymofeev took 8 of 10
S4Tymofeev4Solomko4n = 8split evenly
S5Tymofeev1Solomko2n = 3Solomko took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricTymofeevSolomkoT − SBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match39.037.0+2.0per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricTymofeevSolomkoBasisWin rate · lifetime272 / 527 vs 520 / 101751.6%51.1%272 / 527 vs 520 / 1017Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.137.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
TymofeevTymofeev 1.44/Solomko 2.63
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
62.1%
Tymofeev · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Tymofeev won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 30 · 12:50O. Tymofeev—71111872S. Solomko—116611113
LAug 29 · 13:30O. Tymofeev—97131132S. Solomko—1111117113
WAug 24 · 11:00O. Tymofeev—71111123S. Solomko—1184101
WAug 4 · 17:40O. Tymofeev—111211123S. Solomko—8144101
LAug 2 · 08:00O. Tymofeev—7511111S. Solomko—11119133
WJul 26 · 07:50O. Tymofeev—1111113S. Solomko—7280
WJul 21 · 17:40O. Tymofeev—111164113S. Solomko—57111152
WJul 19 · 10:50O. Tymofeev—1212113S. Solomko—101090
WJul 18 · 14:00O. Tymofeev—11811113S. Solomko—711771
LJul 12 · 12:50O. Tymofeev—613651S. Solomko—111111113
O. Tymofeev10
LSep 5 · 17:00V. Smyk2.501111113O. Tymofeev1.506770WSep 5 · 15:00A. Kurtenko2.10851251O. Tymofeev1.6711111073LSep 5 · 13:00D. Patalakha3.50111149123O. Tymofeev1.28191111102LAug 30 · 12:50O. Tymofeev1.4071111872S. Solomko2.75116611113LAug 30 · 10:50D. Khairov1.73711127123O. Tymofeev2.001151011102LAug 30 · 08:50O. Osadchyi1.801111113O. Tymofeev1.919980WAug 30 · 07:50O. Tymofeev2.2011119113E. Populovskyi1.61591171LAug 30 · 06:50S. Hryhorenko1.8061111123O. Tymofeev1.911189101WAug 29 · 19:00E. Populovskyi2.2078111132O. Tymofeev1.61111169113LAug 29 · 17:30O. Tymofeev1.80431171O. Osadchyi1.911111883
S. Solomko10
LSep 7 · 06:30S. Solomko2.009880O. Volynets1.731111113LSep 7 · 05:30D. Khairov1.502011113S. Solomko2.5018880WSep 6 · 12:50A. Kovalenko1.83381111S. Solomko1.831111393WSep 6 · 11:20S. Solomko1.251211113M. Stetsenko3.7510670LSep 6 · 09:20O. Lipeiko1.91611611153S. Solomko1.80111118132WSep 6 · 07:20D. Patalakha1.73119391S. Solomko2.0071111113WSep 6 · 06:20E. Populovskyi3.25117971S. Solomko1.3381111113LSep 5 · 17:30S. Solomko1.919790F. Voinarovskyi1.801111113LSep 5 · 15:30D. Patalakha1.8311112S. Solomko1.83690WAug 30 · 12:50O. Tymofeev1.4071111872S. Solomko2.75116611113
Upcoming Matches
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S. Solomko
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