TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13043748
Played Aug 30Finished
Dmytro Khairov
Home
1.73
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
71111512107111210
Oleksandr Tymofeev
Away
2.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:16 and never touched — 54.1% is still 54.1%
Graded at full timeDmytro Khairov to win
54.1%
54.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingDmytro Khairov above · Oleksandr Tymofeev below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 12-10
Set 4 · 7-11
Set 5 · 12-10
Point 96 set 5, 12-10 — our read held Dmytro Khairov at 54.1%
96 points played in total.
H2H Dmytro Khairov 25–19 Oleksandr Tymofeev Oleksandr Tymofeev has won 19 of their 44 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:16What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Khairov
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
25-19 in 44
Khairov
Correct
gap of 6 in 44, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Khairov 1518 vs Tymofeev 1490
Khairov
Correct
both rated, 27 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Khairov 40% vs Tymofeev 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Khairov 50% vs Tymofeev 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Khairov +1 · Tymofeev -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Khairov)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Khairov form (40%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKhairov 1.73 / Tymofeev 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Khairov)+0.4pp
Setka Cup · #13043748
Khairov1.73
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite61% won 51 of 84
Up 2–0, closes it89% 23 of 26
Up 1–0, closes it82% 36 of 44
Tymofeev2.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog35% won 38 of 109
Down 0–1, comes back18% 11 of 60
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 35
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKhairov5wins
AwayTymofeev5wins
2 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKhairov83.3%5 of 6
AwayTymofeev100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Khairov6Tymofeev4n = 10Khairov took 6 of 10
S2Khairov2Tymofeev8n = 10Tymofeev took 8 of 10
S3Khairov5Tymofeev5n = 10split evenly
S4Khairov4Tymofeev1n = 5Khairov took 4 of 5
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricKhairovTymofeevK − TBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match33.434.3−0.9per matchSweeps23−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKhairovTymofeevBasisWin rate · lifetime189 / 412 vs 275 / 53245.9%51.7%189 / 412 vs 275 / 532Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.337.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KhairovKhairov 1.73/Tymofeev 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54.1%
Khairov · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Khairov won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 25 · 12:40D. Khairov—111111113O. Tymofeev—613551
LAug 24 · 08:00D. Khairov—6640O. Tymofeev—1111113
LAug 15 · 13:00D. Khairov—3960O. Tymofeev—1111113
WJun 13 · 12:05D. Khairov—1111123O. Tymofeev—77100
LJun 7 · 12:05D. Khairov—1213101132O. Tymofeev—1015129113
LMay 16 · 08:35D. Khairov—8860O. Tymofeev—1111113
WMay 12 · 13:10D. Khairov—12111113O. Tymofeev—1011891
WApr 5 · 06:05D. Khairov—1111113O. Tymofeev—7290
LJan 25 · 15:10D. Khairov—8111181O. Tymofeev—11135113
WNov 21 · 20:20D. Khairov—117611103O. Tymofeev—81111262
D. Khairov10
WSep 7 · 07:00V. Kolesnykov2.10124591D. Khairov1.67101111113WSep 7 · 05:30D. Khairov1.502011113S. Solomko2.5018880LSep 3 · 11:00D. Khairov1.734111031E. Populovskyi2.0011612113WSep 3 · 09:00O. Osadchyi1.737410D. Khairov2.001111113WSep 3 · 08:00D. Khairov1.50151146113S. Solomko2.50138111142WSep 3 · 07:00I. Emets1.6710750D. Khairov2.101211113WSep 3 · 05:30D. Khairov1.40111313113A. Kurtenko2.753151151LSep 2 · 11:00V. Kolesnykov2.2551111113D. Khairov1.57119441LSep 2 · 10:00O. Volynets1.5381111113D. Khairov2.38116951LSep 2 · 08:30I. Emets1.831211113D. Khairov1.8310380
O. Tymofeev10
WSep 5 · 19:00O. Tymofeev1.44111110113S. Solomko2.63771281LSep 5 · 17:00V. Smyk2.501111113O. Tymofeev1.506770WSep 5 · 15:00A. Kurtenko2.10851251O. Tymofeev1.6711111073LSep 5 · 13:00D. Patalakha3.50111149123O. Tymofeev1.28191111102LAug 30 · 12:50O. Tymofeev1.4071111872S. Solomko2.75116611113LAug 30 · 08:50O. Osadchyi1.801111113O. Tymofeev1.919980WAug 30 · 07:50O. Tymofeev2.2011119113E. Populovskyi1.61591171LAug 30 · 06:50S. Hryhorenko1.8061111123O. Tymofeev1.911189101WAug 29 · 19:00E. Populovskyi2.2078111132O. Tymofeev1.61111169113LAug 29 · 17:30O. Tymofeev1.80431171O. Osadchyi1.911111883
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