TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13066680
Played Sep 3Finished
Ihor Emets
Home
1.67
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
1012711511––––
Dmytro Khairov
Away
2.10
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:29 and never touched — 55.8% is still 55.8%
Graded at full timeIhor Emets to win
55.8%
55.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingIhor Emets above · Dmytro Khairov below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 5-11
Point 56 set 3, 5-11 — our read held Ihor Emets at 55.8%
56 points played in total.
H2H Ihor Emets 7–8 Dmytro Khairov Ihor Emets has won 7 of their 15 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 18:29What took a side1 for · 1 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Emets
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
7-8 in 15
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Emets 1510 vs Khairov 1524
Khairov
Correct
both rated, 14 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Emets 40% vs Khairov 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Emets 40% vs Khairov 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Emets -2 · Khairov +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Emets)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Emets form (40%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsEmets 1.67 / Khairov 2.10
Signal prob.56% / 44%
Edge (Emets)+0.4pp
Setka Cup · #13066680
Emets1.67
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite69% won 75 of 109
Up 2–0, closes it95% 35 of 37
Up 1–0, closes it79% 53 of 67
Khairov2.10
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog37% won 42 of 113
Down 0–1, comes back21% 13 of 62
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 33
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeEmets6wins
AwayKhairov4wins
4 of 10 to a deciderEmets leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeEmets57.1%4 of 7
AwayKhairov33.3%1 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Emets7Khairov3n = 10Emets took 7 of 10
S2Emets4Khairov6n = 10Khairov took 6 of 10
S3Emets7Khairov3n = 10Emets took 7 of 10
S4Emets3Khairov3n = 6split evenly
S5Emets2Khairov2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricEmetsKhairovE − KBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match37.835.9+1.9per matchSweeps31+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricEmetsKhairovBasisWin rate · lifetime258 / 507 vs 196 / 42350.9%46.3%258 / 507 vs 196 / 423Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match36.737.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
EmetsEmets 1.67/Khairov 2.10
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
56.2%
Emets · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Khairov won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 3 · 07:00I. Emets—10750D. Khairov—1211113
WSep 2 · 08:30I. Emets—1211113D. Khairov—10380
WAug 31 · 07:00I. Emets—136118113D. Khairov—111191172
WAug 20 · 07:35I. Emets—571111113D. Khairov—11116482
LAug 18 · 07:35I. Emets—117119122D. Khairov—811811143
LJul 29 · 10:05I. Emets—1110221D. Khairov—81211113
LJul 21 · 11:05I. Emets—111281162D. Khairov—314116113
WJul 4 · 09:30I. Emets—41113113D. Khairov—1191151
WJun 29 · 09:30I. Emets—1111113D. Khairov—5690
WJun 22 · 07:00I. Emets—1111113D. Khairov—6590
I. Emets10
WSep 3 · 10:30O. Osadchyi1.53117651I. Emets2.3851111113WSep 3 · 09:30I. Emets1.53111111113A. Kurtenko2.38133561WSep 3 · 08:30I. Emets1.7341111113E. Populovskyi2.00114581LSep 3 · 05:00I. Emets1.501178101S. Solomko2.5051111123LSep 2 · 10:30A. Kotiash1.831111711113I. Emets1.8381311572WSep 2 · 09:30I. Emets1.441111113A. Troyan2.636860WSep 2 · 08:30I. Emets1.831211113D. Khairov1.8310380LSep 2 · 07:00I. Emets1.9167121182V. Kolesnykov1.801111104113LSep 2 · 05:00I. Emets2.003990O. Volynets1.731111113WAug 31 · 10:30O. Volynets1.571411611112I. Emets2.251261113133
D. Khairov10
WSep 7 · 09:00O. Osadchyi1.8361481182D. Khairov1.831112116113LSep 7 · 08:00D. Khairov2.204580A. Troyan1.611111113WSep 7 · 07:00V. Kolesnykov2.10124591D. Khairov1.67101111113WSep 7 · 05:30D. Khairov1.502011113S. Solomko2.5018880LSep 3 · 11:00D. Khairov1.734111031E. Populovskyi2.0011612113WSep 3 · 09:00O. Osadchyi1.737410D. Khairov2.001111113WSep 3 · 08:00D. Khairov1.50151146113S. Solomko2.50138111142WSep 3 · 05:30D. Khairov1.40111313113A. Kurtenko2.753151151LSep 2 · 11:00V. Kolesnykov2.2551111113D. Khairov1.57119441LSep 2 · 08:30I. Emets1.831211113D. Khairov1.8310380
Upcoming Matches
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D. Khairov
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