TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13088717
Played Sep 7Finished
Oleksandr Osadchyi
Home
1.83
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
6111412811116811
Dmytro Khairov
Away
1.83
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:13 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeDmytro Khairov to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOleksandr Osadchyi above · Dmytro Khairov below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 14-12
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 11-6
Set 5 · 8-11
Point 98 set 5, 8-11 — our read held Dmytro Khairov at 54.0%
98 points played in total.
H2H Oleksandr Osadchyi 3–0 Dmytro Khairov Dmytro Khairov has won 0 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 18:13What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Khairov
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-0 in 3
Osadchyi
Wrong
gap of 3 in 3, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Osadchyi 1544 vs Khairov 1538
Osadchyi
Wrong
both rated, 6 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Osadchyi 20% vs Khairov 60%
Khairov
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Osadchyi 60% vs Khairov 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Osadchyi -2 · Khairov -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Khairov)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Osadchyi form (20%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsOsadchyi 1.83 / Khairov 1.83
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Khairov)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #13088717
Osadchyi1.83
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
Khairov1.83
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeOsadchyi3wins
AwayKhairov0wins
1 of 3 to a deciderOsadchyi leads 3–0, and 1 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Osadchyi2Khairov1n = 3Osadchyi took 2 of 3
S2Osadchyi3Khairov0n = 3Osadchyi took 3 of 3
S3Osadchyi3Khairov0n = 3Osadchyi took 3 of 3
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home267%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home133%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricOsadchyiKhairovO − KBasisWins30+3in 3 meetingsFirst set21+1of 3Avg pointsper match38.330.0+8.3per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricOsadchyiKhairovBasisWin rate · lifetime437 / 858 vs 196 / 41850.9%46.9%437 / 858 vs 196 / 418Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match36.337.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KhairovOsadchyi 1.83/Khairov 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Khairov · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Khairov won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
WAug 24 · 05:00O. Osadchyi—1311133D. Khairov—117110
WAug 15 · 15:00O. Osadchyi—1111113D. Khairov—9990
WJul 29 · 12:05O. Osadchyi—711115113D. Khairov—11341152
O. Osadchyi10
LSep 7 · 07:30O. Osadchyi2.25111110832S. Solomko1.57861211113LSep 7 · 06:00O. Osadchyi5.004690A. Troyan1.141111113WSep 7 · 04:30O. Osadchyi1.831112113O. Volynets1.8361060LSep 3 · 10:30O. Osadchyi1.53117651I. Emets2.3851111113LSep 3 · 09:00O. Osadchyi1.737410D. Khairov2.001111113WSep 3 · 07:30O. Osadchyi1.6781111113A. Kurtenko2.10114571WSep 3 · 06:00O. Osadchyi2.2012511113S. Solomko1.611011731WSep 3 · 04:30O. Osadchyi1.30119118113E. Populovskyi3.4031161172WSep 2 · 11:05O. Osadchyi1.7311711123A. Kurtenko2.006115101WSep 2 · 09:35O. Osadchyi2.3811115113S. Hryhorenko1.53491141
D. Khairov10
LSep 7 · 08:00D. Khairov2.204580A. Troyan1.611111113WSep 7 · 07:00V. Kolesnykov2.10124591D. Khairov1.67101111113WSep 7 · 05:30D. Khairov1.502011113S. Solomko2.5018880LSep 3 · 11:00D. Khairov1.734111031E. Populovskyi2.0011612113WSep 3 · 09:00O. Osadchyi1.737410D. Khairov2.001111113WSep 3 · 08:00D. Khairov1.50151146113S. Solomko2.50138111142WSep 3 · 07:00I. Emets1.6710750D. Khairov2.101211113WSep 3 · 05:30D. Khairov1.40111313113A. Kurtenko2.753151151LSep 2 · 11:00V. Kolesnykov2.2551111113D. Khairov1.57119441LSep 2 · 10:00O. Volynets1.5381111113D. Khairov2.38116951
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