TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13088940
Played Sep 7Finished
Dmytro Khairov
Home
2.20
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
411511811––––
Andrey Troyan
Away
1.62
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:10 and never touched — 58.1% is still 58.1%
Graded at full timeAndrey Troyan to win
58.1%
58.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingDmytro Khairov above · Andrey Troyan below
Set 1 · 4-11
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 8-11
Point 50 set 3, 8-11 — our read held Andrey Troyan at 58.1%
50 points played in total.
H2H Dmytro Khairov 26–43 Andrey Troyan Dmytro Khairov has won 26 of their 69 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 19:10What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Troyan
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
26-43 in 69
Troyan
Correct
gap of 17 in 69, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Khairov 1550 vs Troyan 1584
Troyan
Correct
both rated, 33 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Khairov 80% vs Troyan 60%
Khairov
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Khairov 60% vs Troyan 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Khairov +2 · Troyan +3
Troyan
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Troyan)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Khairov form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKhairov 2.20 / Troyan 1.61
Signal prob.42% / 58%
Edge (Troyan)+0.4pp
Setka Cup · #13088940
Khairov2.20
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog37% won 42 of 113
Down 0–1, comes back21% 13 of 62
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 33
Troyan1.61
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite65% won 177 of 272
Up 2–0, closes it93% 94 of 101
Up 1–0, closes it78% 133 of 170
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKhairov8wins
AwayTroyan2wins
3 of 10 to a deciderKhairov leads 8–2, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKhairov100%5 of 5
AwayTroyan40%2 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Khairov5Troyan5n = 10split evenly
S2Khairov7Troyan3n = 10Khairov took 7 of 10
S3Khairov6Troyan4n = 10Khairov took 6 of 10
S4Khairov4Troyan3n = 7Khairov took 4 of 7
S5Khairov3Troyan0n = 3Khairov took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricKhairovTroyanK − TBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match41.436.7+4.7per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKhairovTroyanBasisWin rate · lifetime196 / 418 vs 460 / 97546.9%47.2%196 / 418 vs 460 / 975Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.437.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
TroyanKhairov 2.20/Troyan 1.61
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
58.1%
Troyan · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Troyan won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 2 · 06:30D. Khairov—711149123A. Troyan—1181211102
WAug 31 · 08:00D. Khairov—51111123A. Troyan—1166101
LAug 26 · 08:35D. Khairov—9159101A. Troyan—111311123
WJul 21 · 08:05D. Khairov—12118113A. Troyan—1071181
WJul 20 · 10:35D. Khairov—131111113A. Troyan—153841
WJun 29 · 11:30D. Khairov—1111113A. Troyan—8990
LJun 28 · 05:35D. Khairov—10890A. Troyan—1211113
WJun 20 · 10:35D. Khairov—128115113A. Troyan—101171142
WJun 3 · 12:05D. Khairov—1111711113A. Troyan—61311842
WMay 19 · 07:30D. Khairov—1111113A. Troyan—8880
D. Khairov10
WSep 7 · 09:00O. Osadchyi1.8361481182D. Khairov1.831112116113WSep 7 · 07:00V. Kolesnykov2.10124591D. Khairov1.67101111113WSep 7 · 05:30D. Khairov1.502011113S. Solomko2.5018880LSep 3 · 11:00D. Khairov1.734111031E. Populovskyi2.0011612113WSep 3 · 09:00O. Osadchyi1.737410D. Khairov2.001111113WSep 3 · 08:00D. Khairov1.50151146113S. Solomko2.50138111142WSep 3 · 07:00I. Emets1.6710750D. Khairov2.101211113WSep 3 · 05:30D. Khairov1.40111313113A. Kurtenko2.753151151LSep 2 · 11:00V. Kolesnykov2.2551111113D. Khairov1.57119441LSep 2 · 10:00O. Volynets1.5381111113D. Khairov2.38116951
A. Troyan10
WSep 7 · 06:00O. Osadchyi5.004690A. Troyan1.141111113WSep 7 · 05:00V. Kolesnykov2.751134101A. Troyan1.4081111123WSep 5 · 10:52A. Troyan1.73118711113Y. Kovshun2.0071111272LSep 5 · 09:50Y. Kovshun1.50314119123A. Troyan2.501112811102LSep 5 · 08:20I. Efimenko1.531111113A. Troyan2.388870WSep 5 · 06:48A. Kotiash2.007240A. Troyan1.731111113LSep 5 · 05:48Y. Volkov1.57512115113A. Troyan2.25111091152LSep 4 · 11:30R. Sopivnyk1.171111113A. Troyan4.505870WSep 4 · 10:00A. Troyan1.806121111113O. Karpenko1.9111146892LSep 4 · 08:00Y. Kovshun1.401111133A. Troyan2.7588110
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