TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13081351
Played Sep 5Finished
Andrii Kotiash
Home
2.00
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
711211411––––
Andrey Troyan
Away
1.73
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
How it is goingAndrii Kotiash above · Andrey Troyan below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 2-11
Set 3 · 4-11
Point 46 set 3, 4-11
46 points played in total.
H2H Andrii Kotiash 9–13 Andrey Troyan Andrii Kotiash has won 9 of their 22 meetings.
Signal confidence: 55% — Coin-flip (leans Troyan)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Troyan form (40%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKotiash 2.00 / Troyan 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 55%
Edge (Troyan)+0.8pp
Setka Cup · #13081351
Kotiash2.00
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog41% won 64 of 155
Down 0–1, comes back25% 23 of 92
Down 0–2, comes back12% 7 of 60
Troyan1.73
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite65% won 177 of 272
Up 2–0, closes it93% 94 of 101
Up 1–0, closes it78% 133 of 170
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKotiash4wins
AwayTroyan6wins
4 of 10 to a deciderTroyan leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKotiashn = 1, below the 3 needed
AwayTroyan66.7%6 of 9
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kotiash1Troyan9n = 10Troyan took 9 of 10
S2Kotiash5Troyan5n = 10split evenly
S3Kotiash5Troyan5n = 10split evenly
S4Kotiash4Troyan3n = 7Kotiash took 4 of 7
S5Kotiash2Troyan2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricKotiashTroyanK − TBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set19−8of 10Avg pointsper match37.141.7−4.6per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKotiashTroyanBasisWin rate · lifetime223 / 464 vs 459 / 97448.1%47.1%223 / 464 vs 459 / 974Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.037.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
TroyanKotiash 2.00/Troyan 1.73
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54.5%
Troyan · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Troyan won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 5 · 06:48A. Kotiash—7240A. Troyan—1111113
WSep 4 · 05:00A. Kotiash—631211153A. Troyan—1111107132
WSep 2 · 07:30A. Kotiash—11412143A. Troyan—41110121
LAug 29 · 07:35A. Kotiash—8135111A. Troyan—111111133
LAug 28 · 10:00A. Kotiash—10860A. Troyan—1211113
WAug 26 · 05:35A. Kotiash—611119113A. Troyan—11641182
LAug 22 · 12:05A. Kotiash—7270A. Troyan—1111113
WAug 20 · 05:30A. Kotiash—71116133A. Troyan—11414111
LAug 7 · 05:35A. Kotiash—91111972A. Troyan—117911113
LAug 6 · 05:35A. Kotiash—911121182A. Troyan—118149113
A. Kotiash10
LSep 5 · 10:19A. Kotiash3.259115101Y. Volkov1.3311211123LSep 5 · 09:20A. Kotiash4.333640I. Efimenko1.201111113WSep 5 · 07:48A. Kotiash1.91117711113Y. Kovshun1.8091111972WSep 4 · 10:30Y. Volkov1.25741151A. Kotiash3.7511119113WSep 4 · 09:30A. Kotiash2.635141211113R. Sopivnyk1.44111610972LSep 4 · 08:30A. Kotiash2.00101050O. Karpenko1.731212113LSep 4 · 07:00A. Kotiash1.57118841Y. Kovshun2.2591111113WSep 4 · 05:00A. Kotiash2.10631211153A. Troyan1.671111107132WSep 2 · 10:30A. Kotiash1.831111711113I. Emets1.8381311572WSep 2 · 09:00A. Kotiash1.801111113V. Kolesnykov1.913990
A. Troyan10
WSep 7 · 06:00O. Osadchyi5.004690A. Troyan1.141111113WSep 7 · 05:00V. Kolesnykov2.751134101A. Troyan1.4081111123WSep 5 · 10:52A. Troyan1.73118711113Y. Kovshun2.0071111272LSep 5 · 09:50Y. Kovshun1.50314119123A. Troyan2.501112811102LSep 5 · 08:20I. Efimenko1.531111113A. Troyan2.388870LSep 5 · 05:48Y. Volkov1.57512115113A. Troyan2.25111091152LSep 4 · 11:30R. Sopivnyk1.171111113A. Troyan4.505870WSep 4 · 10:00A. Troyan1.806121111113O. Karpenko1.9111146892LSep 4 · 08:00Y. Kovshun1.401111133A. Troyan2.7588110LSep 4 · 05:00A. Kotiash2.10631211153A. Troyan1.671111107132
Upcoming Matches
A. Kotiash
Nothing scheduled
A. Troyan
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