TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13081585
Played Sep 5Finished
Andrii Kotiash
Home
4.33
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
311611411––––
Ivan Efimenko
Away
1.20
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:08 and never touched — 78.3% is still 78.3%
Graded at full timeIvan Efimenko to win
78.3%
78.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingAndrii Kotiash above · Ivan Efimenko below
Set 1 · 3-11
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 4-11
Point 46 set 3, 4-11 — our read held Ivan Efimenko at 78.3%
46 points played in total.
H2H Andrii Kotiash 0–3 Ivan Efimenko Andrii Kotiash has won 0 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 08:08What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.20 (78%)
Efimenko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-3 in 3
Efimenko
Correct
gap of 3 in 3, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kotiash 1577 vs Efimenko 1716
Efimenko
Correct
both rated, 138 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kotiash 60% vs Efimenko 80%
Efimenko
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kotiash 70% vs Efimenko 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kotiash +1 · Efimenko +3
Efimenko
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 78% — Strong (leans Efimenko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kotiash form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (23%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKotiash 4.33 / Efimenko 1.20
Signal prob.22% / 78%
Edge (Efimenko)-0.0pp
Setka Cup · #13081585
Kotiash4.33
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog42% won 63 of 151
Down 0–1, comes back26% 23 of 89
Down 0–2, comes back12% 7 of 58
Efimenko1.20
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite
Fewer than 10 matches in this role
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeKotiash0wins
AwayEfimenko3wins
Efimenko leads 3–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKotiashn = 0, below the 3 needed
AwayEfimenko100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kotiash0Efimenko3n = 3Efimenko took 3 of 3
S2Kotiash0Efimenko3n = 3Efimenko took 3 of 3
S3Kotiash0Efimenko3n = 3Efimenko took 3 of 3
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away3100%
These 3 meetings
MetricKotiashEfimenkoK − EBasisWins03−3in 3 meetingsFirst set03−3of 3Avg pointsper match16.033.0−17.0per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKotiashEfimenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime223 / 463 vs 9 / 1448.2%64.3%223 / 463 vs 9 / 14Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.034.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
EfimenkoKotiash 4.33/Efimenko 1.20
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
78.3%
Efimenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Efimenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
LSep 5 · 09:20A. Kotiash—3640I. Efimenko—1111113
LAug 29 · 10:05A. Kotiash—5660I. Efimenko—1111113
LAug 22 · 08:05A. Kotiash—7380I. Efimenko—1111113
A. Kotiash10
LSep 5 · 10:19A. Kotiash3.259115101Y. Volkov1.3311211123WSep 5 · 07:48A. Kotiash1.91117711113Y. Kovshun1.8091111972LSep 5 · 06:48A. Kotiash2.007240A. Troyan1.731111113WSep 4 · 10:30Y. Volkov1.25741151A. Kotiash3.7511119113WSep 4 · 09:30A. Kotiash2.635141211113R. Sopivnyk1.44111610972LSep 4 · 08:30A. Kotiash2.00101050O. Karpenko1.731212113LSep 4 · 07:00A. Kotiash1.57118841Y. Kovshun2.2591111113WSep 4 · 05:00A. Kotiash2.10631211153A. Troyan1.671111107132WSep 2 · 10:30A. Kotiash1.831111711113I. Emets1.8381311572WSep 2 · 09:00A. Kotiash1.801111113V. Kolesnykov1.913990
I. Efimenko10
WSep 5 · 11:19I. Efimenko1.8511116113Y. Volkov1.85881191WSep 5 · 08:20I. Efimenko1.531111113A. Troyan2.388870WSep 5 · 07:18Y. Volkov1.67811751I. Efimenko2.1011611113WSep 5 · 06:18I. Efimenko1.36148115113Y. Kovshun3.00121171162LAug 29 · 12:05I. Efimenko1.3391040A. Melchenko3.251112113WAug 29 · 10:05A. Kotiash3.755660I. Efimenko1.251111113LAug 29 · 08:05Y. Volkov1.83114911113I. Efimenko1.8311111992WAug 29 · 07:05I. Efimenko1.3691111143Y. Kovshun3.001199121LAug 29 · 06:05A. Troyan3.401111113I. Efimenko1.308680WAug 22 · 11:05I. Efimenko1.671111113V. Kryvenko2.107890
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