TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13081259
Played Sep 5Finished
Ivan Efimenko
Home
1.36
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1412811117511116
Yaroslav Kovshun
Away
3.00
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
How it is goingIvan Efimenko above · Yaroslav Kovshun below
Set 1 · 14-12
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 5-11
Set 5 · 11-6
Point 96 set 5, 11-6
96 points played in total.
H2H Ivan Efimenko 2–0 Yaroslav Kovshun Yaroslav Kovshun has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
Signal confidence: 72% — Strong (leans Efimenko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kovshun form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (33%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsEfimenko 1.36 / Kovshun 3.00
Signal prob.72% / 28%
Edge (Efimenko)+2.8pp
Setka Cup · #13081259
Efimenko1.36
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite69% won 9 of 13
Up 2–0, closes it100% 6 of 6
Up 1–0, closes it89% 8 of 9
Kovshun3.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog40% won 44 of 111
Down 0–1, comes back20% 14 of 69
Down 0–2, comes back10% 4 of 40
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeEfimenko2wins
AwayKovshun0wins
1 of 2 to a deciderEfimenko leads 2–0, and 1 of those 2 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home1
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricEfimenkoKovshunE − KBasisWins20+2in 2 meetingsFirst set110of 2Avg pointsper match47.044.0+3.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricEfimenkoKovshunBasisWin rate · lifetime10 / 15 vs 339 / 63666.7%53.3%10 / 15 vs 339 / 636Avg sets wonper match2.22.1per matchAvg pointsper match34.638.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
EfimenkoEfimenko 1.36/Kovshun 3.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
71.6%
Efimenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Efimenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
WSep 5 · 06:18I. Efimenko—148115113Y. Kovshun—121171162
WAug 29 · 07:05I. Efimenko—91111143Y. Kovshun—1199121
I. Efimenko10
WSep 5 · 11:19I. Efimenko1.8511116113Y. Volkov1.85881191WSep 5 · 09:20A. Kotiash4.333640I. Efimenko1.201111113WSep 5 · 08:20I. Efimenko1.531111113A. Troyan2.388870WSep 5 · 07:18Y. Volkov1.67811751I. Efimenko2.1011611113LAug 29 · 12:05I. Efimenko1.3391040A. Melchenko3.251112113WAug 29 · 10:05A. Kotiash3.755660I. Efimenko1.251111113LAug 29 · 08:05Y. Volkov1.83114911113I. Efimenko1.8311111992WAug 29 · 07:05I. Efimenko1.3691111143Y. Kovshun3.001199121LAug 29 · 06:05A. Troyan3.401111113I. Efimenko1.308680WAug 22 · 11:05I. Efimenko1.671111113V. Kryvenko2.107890
Y. Kovshun10
LSep 5 · 10:52A. Troyan1.73118711113Y. Kovshun2.0071111272WSep 5 · 09:50Y. Kovshun1.50314119123A. Troyan2.501112811102LSep 5 · 08:48Y. Volkov1.731113113Y. Kovshun2.0081170LSep 5 · 07:48A. Kotiash1.91117711113Y. Kovshun1.8091111972LSep 4 · 11:00Y. Kovshun1.8051181182O. Karpenko1.91117116113LSep 4 · 09:00Y. Volkov1.679111111113Y. Kovshun2.1011136912WSep 4 · 08:00Y. Kovshun1.401111133A. Troyan2.7588110WSep 4 · 07:00A. Kotiash1.57118841Y. Kovshun2.2591111113WSep 4 · 05:30Y. Kovshun3.00891111133R. Sopivnyk1.36111188112LAug 29 · 07:05I. Efimenko1.3691111143Y. Kovshun3.001199121
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