TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12472235
Played Aug 22Finished
Ivan Efimenko
Home
1.67
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
2–2Last 4Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
117118119––––
Vitalii Kryvenko
Away
2.10
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:34 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeIvan Efimenko to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingIvan Efimenko above · Vitalii Kryvenko below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 11-9
Point 57 set 3, 11-9 — our read held Ivan Efimenko at 54.0%
57 points played in total.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:34What took a side1 for · 0 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Efimenko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Form (L5)
Efimenko 50% vs Kryvenko 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Efimenko 50% vs Kryvenko 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Efimenko -1 · Kryvenko +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Efimenko) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Efimenko form (50%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsEfimenko 1.67 / Kryvenko 2.10
Signal prob.56% / 44%
Edge (Efimenko)+0.0pp
Setka Cup · #12472235
Efimenko1.67
50%won 2 of 4 · last 10
oldest → newest
75%takes the first set · 3 of 4
Kryvenko2.10
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog46% won 11 of 24
Down 0–1, comes back20% 3 of 15
Down 0–2, comes back10% 1 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricEfimenkoKryvenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime6 / 10 vs 55 / 9260%59.8%6 / 10 vs 55 / 92Avg sets wonper match2.22.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
EfimenkoEfimenko 1.67/Kryvenko 2.10
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
55.8%
Efimenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Efimenko won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
I. Efimenko10
WSep 5 · 11:19I. Efimenko1.8511116113Y. Volkov1.85881191WSep 5 · 09:20A. Kotiash4.333640I. Efimenko1.201111113WSep 5 · 08:20I. Efimenko1.531111113A. Troyan2.388870WSep 5 · 07:18Y. Volkov1.67811751I. Efimenko2.1011611113WSep 5 · 06:18I. Efimenko1.36148115113Y. Kovshun3.00121171162LAug 29 · 12:05I. Efimenko1.3391040A. Melchenko3.251112113WAug 29 · 10:05A. Kotiash3.755660I. Efimenko1.251111113LAug 29 · 08:05Y. Volkov1.83114911113I. Efimenko1.8311111992WAug 29 · 07:05I. Efimenko1.3691111143Y. Kovshun3.001199121LAug 29 · 06:05A. Troyan3.401111113I. Efimenko1.308680
V. Kryvenko10
WAug 22 · 10:05V. Kryvenko1.5011811113A. Kotiash2.50611781LAug 22 · 09:05V. Kryvenko1.83101251152Y. Volkov1.831210119113LAug 22 · 07:35V. Kryvenko1.5376121192Y. Makovka2.381111107113WAug 22 · 05:35V. Kryvenko1.4091112113A. Troyan2.751181041LAug 15 · 11:35S. Hryhorenko2.6311711113V. Kryvenko1.44911681WAug 15 · 10:35A. Troyan3.0091141132V. Kryvenko1.36118116113WAug 15 · 09:05Y. Kovshun2.0029130V. Kryvenko1.731111152LAug 15 · 07:05Y. Makovka2.631111113V. Kryvenko1.448690LAug 15 · 05:05Y. Volkov2.251112113V. Kryvenko1.5761090WJul 25 · 11:35V. Vietrov2.50113971V. Kryvenko1.5031111113
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