TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12472327
Played Aug 22Finished
Vitalii Kryvenko
Home
1.53
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
7116111210117911
Yaroslav Makovka
Away
2.38
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:15 and never touched — 67.8% is still 67.8%
Graded at full timeVitalii Kryvenko to win
67.8%
67.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingVitalii Kryvenko above · Yaroslav Makovka below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 12-10
Set 4 · 11-7
Set 5 · 9-11
Point 95 set 5, 9-11 — our read held Vitalii Kryvenko at 67.8%
95 points played in total.
H2H Vitalii Kryvenko 1–2 Yaroslav Makovka Vitalii Kryvenko has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:15What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Kryvenko
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-2 in 3
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kryvenko 1598 vs Makovka 1505
Kryvenko
Wrong
both rated, 94 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kryvenko 60% vs Makovka 40%
Kryvenko
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kryvenko 60% vs Makovka 30%
Kryvenko
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kryvenko +1 · Makovka +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 63% — Clear lean (leans Kryvenko) · live re-read · sealed at 68% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKryvenko 1.53 / Makovka 2.38
Signal prob.63% / 37%
Edge (Kryvenko)+2.0pp
Setka Cup · #12472327
Kryvenko1.53
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite64% won 43 of 67
Up 2–0, closes it96% 22 of 23
Up 1–0, closes it84% 31 of 37
Makovka2.38
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog33% won 45 of 138
Down 0–1, comes back21% 20 of 94
Down 0–2, comes back5% 3 of 59
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeKryvenko1wins
AwayMakovka2wins
1 of 3 to a deciderMakovka leads 2–1, and 1 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kryvenko1Makovka2n = 3Makovka took 2 of 3
S2Kryvenko1Makovka2n = 3Makovka took 2 of 3
S3Kryvenko1Makovka2n = 3Makovka took 2 of 3
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home133%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away133%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away133%
These 3 meetings
MetricKryvenkoMakovkaK − MBasisWins12−1in 3 meetingsFirst set12−1of 3Avg pointsper match36.035.0+1.0per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKryvenkoMakovkaBasisWin rate · lifetime55 / 93 vs 149 / 36959.1%40.4%55 / 93 vs 149 / 369Avg sets wonper match2.11.7per matchAvg pointsper match37.736.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KryvenkoKryvenko 1.53/Makovka 2.38
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
62.8%
Kryvenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Makovka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
LAug 22 · 07:35V. Kryvenko—76121192Y. Makovka—1111107113
LAug 15 · 07:05V. Kryvenko—8690Y. Makovka—1111113
WMar 21 · 11:35V. Kryvenko—11117113Y. Makovka—341141
V. Kryvenko10
LAug 22 · 11:05I. Efimenko1.671111113V. Kryvenko2.107890WAug 22 · 10:05V. Kryvenko1.5011811113A. Kotiash2.50611781LAug 22 · 09:05V. Kryvenko1.83101251152Y. Volkov1.831210119113WAug 22 · 05:35V. Kryvenko1.4091112113A. Troyan2.751181041LAug 15 · 11:35S. Hryhorenko2.6311711113V. Kryvenko1.44911681WAug 15 · 10:35A. Troyan3.0091141132V. Kryvenko1.36118116113WAug 15 · 09:05Y. Kovshun2.0029130V. Kryvenko1.731111152LAug 15 · 07:05Y. Makovka2.631111113V. Kryvenko1.448690LAug 15 · 05:05Y. Volkov2.251112113V. Kryvenko1.5761090WJul 25 · 11:35V. Vietrov2.50113971V. Kryvenko1.5031111113
Y. Makovka10
WAug 30 · 10:30O. Blashkun1.40561171Y. Makovka2.7511117113WAug 30 · 09:30Y. Makovka3.001111113R. Sopivnyk1.367420LAug 30 · 08:30Y. Makovka2.7510131081Y. Holoborodko1.40121112113LAug 30 · 07:00Y. Makovka2.7511123292V. Merzlikin1.409101111113LAug 30 · 05:00Y. Makovka2.6312115622O. Zhyrnov1.441081111113LAug 29 · 17:40O. Blashkun1.30811911113Y. Makovka3.4011611572LAug 29 · 16:10Y. Makovka2.506870O. Zhyrnov1.501111113LAug 29 · 14:10O. Varlamov1.5711115133Y. Makovka2.257711111LAug 29 · 12:10V. Merzlikin1.44951111113Y. Makovka2.6311114852WAug 15 · 07:05Y. Makovka2.631111113V. Kryvenko1.448690
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