TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12435883
Played Aug 15Finished
Yaroslav Kovshun
Home
2.00
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 2
Final
0 – 2
Set by set
2119111315––––
Vitalii Kryvenko
Away
1.73
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:27 and never touched — 62.8% is still 62.8%
Graded at full timeVitalii Kryvenko to win
62.8%
62.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightpick shipped
How it is goingYaroslav Kovshun above · Vitalii Kryvenko below
Set 1 · 2-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 13-13
Point 59 set 3, 13-13 — our read held Vitalii Kryvenko at 62.8%
59 points drawn · the score is 2 ahead; the rest land in a moment.
H2H Yaroslav Kovshun 3–3 Vitalii Kryvenko Dead even across their 6 meetings.
Last 6 · 3–3Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 19:27What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Kryvenko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-3 in 6
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kovshun 1588 vs Kryvenko 1661
Kryvenko
Correct
both rated, 73 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kovshun 40% vs Kryvenko 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kovshun 30% vs Kryvenko 50%
Kryvenko
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kovshun +2 · Kryvenko -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and the gate let it through as .
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Kryvenko) · live re-read · sealed at 63% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kryvenko form (40%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKovshun 2.00 / Kryvenko 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Kryvenko)+0.3pp
Setka Cup · #12435883
Kovshun2.00
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog43% won 38 of 89
Down 0–1, comes back21% 12 of 57
Down 0–2, comes back9% 3 of 33
Kryvenko1.73
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite67% won 39 of 58
Up 2–0, closes it96% 21 of 22
Up 1–0, closes it82% 28 of 34
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomeKovshun3wins
AwayKryvenko3wins
3 of 6 to a deciderLevel at 3–3, and 3 of those 6 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKovshun66.7%2 of 3
AwayKryvenko66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kovshun3Kryvenko3n = 6split evenly
S2Kovshun3Kryvenko3n = 6split evenly
S3Kovshun5Kryvenko1n = 6Kovshun took 5 of 6
S4Kovshun2Kryvenko3n = 5Kryvenko took 3 of 5
S5Kovshun1Kryvenko2n = 3Kryvenko took 2 of 3
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home117%
3–1Four sets, home117%
3–2Decider, home117%
2–3Decider, away233%
1–3Four sets, away117%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 6 meetings
MetricKovshunKryvenkoKovshun − KryvenkoBasisWins330in 6 meetingsFirst set330of 6Avg pointsper match39.740.8−1.1per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKovshunKryvenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime364 / 669 vs 51 / 8554.4%60%364 / 669 vs 51 / 85Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.037.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KryvenkoKovshun 2.00/Kryvenko 1.73
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Kryvenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–2
Kryvenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
WJul 25 · 09:05Y. Kovshun—101111123V. Kryvenko—1287101
LJul 18 · 10:35Y. Kovshun—133961V. Kryvenko—111111113
WJun 30 · 12:10Y. Kovshun—1112113V. Kryvenko—91030
WJun 26 · 07:35Y. Kovshun—1151111113V. Kryvenko—51151392
LJun 7 · 11:05Y. Kovshun—61311322V. Kryvenko—1111411113
LMay 31 · 05:35Y. Kovshun—79121162V. Kryvenko—1111108113
Y. Kovshun10
LSep 5 · 10:52A. Troyan1.73118711113Y. Kovshun2.0071111272WSep 5 · 09:50Y. Kovshun1.50314119123A. Troyan2.501112811102LSep 5 · 08:48Y. Volkov1.731113113Y. Kovshun2.0081170LSep 5 · 07:48A. Kotiash1.91117711113Y. Kovshun1.8091111972LSep 5 · 06:18I. Efimenko1.36148115113Y. Kovshun3.00121171162LSep 4 · 11:00Y. Kovshun1.8051181182O. Karpenko1.91117116113LSep 4 · 09:00Y. Volkov1.679111111113Y. Kovshun2.1011136912WSep 4 · 08:00Y. Kovshun1.401111133A. Troyan2.7588110WSep 4 · 07:00A. Kotiash1.57118841Y. Kovshun2.2591111113WSep 4 · 05:30Y. Kovshun3.00891111133R. Sopivnyk1.36111188112
V. Kryvenko10
LAug 22 · 11:05I. Efimenko1.671111113V. Kryvenko2.107890WAug 22 · 10:05V. Kryvenko1.5011811113A. Kotiash2.50611781LAug 22 · 09:05V. Kryvenko1.83101251152Y. Volkov1.831210119113LAug 22 · 07:35V. Kryvenko1.5376121192Y. Makovka2.381111107113WAug 22 · 05:35V. Kryvenko1.4091112113A. Troyan2.751181041LAug 15 · 11:35S. Hryhorenko2.6311711113V. Kryvenko1.44911681WAug 15 · 10:35A. Troyan3.0091141132V. Kryvenko1.36118116113LAug 15 · 07:05Y. Makovka2.631111113V. Kryvenko1.448690LAug 15 · 05:05Y. Volkov2.251112113V. Kryvenko1.5761090WJul 25 · 11:35V. Vietrov2.50113971V. Kryvenko1.5031111113
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