TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13081479
Played Sep 5Finished
Andrii Kotiash
Home
1.91
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
119711711119117
Yaroslav Kovshun
Away
1.80
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
How it is goingAndrii Kotiash above · Yaroslav Kovshun below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 11-9
Set 5 · 11-7
Point 94 set 5, 11-7
94 points played in total.
H2H Andrii Kotiash 5–3 Yaroslav Kovshun Yaroslav Kovshun has won 3 of their 8 meetings.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Kovshun)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kovshun form (40%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKotiash 1.91 / Kovshun 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Kovshun)+2.5pp
Setka Cup · #13081479
Kotiash1.91
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog42% won 63 of 151
Down 0–1, comes back26% 23 of 89
Down 0–2, comes back12% 7 of 58
Kovshun1.80
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite57% won 86 of 151
Up 2–0, closes it94% 43 of 46
Up 1–0, closes it78% 63 of 81
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 8 meetings
HomeKotiash5wins
AwayKovshun3wins
4 of 8 to a deciderKotiash leads 5–3, and 4 of those 8 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKotiash66.7%4 of 6
AwayKovshunn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 8 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kotiash6Kovshun2n = 8Kotiash took 6 of 8
S2Kotiash4Kovshun4n = 8split evenly
S3Kotiash2Kovshun6n = 8Kovshun took 6 of 8
S4Kotiash3Kovshun2n = 5Kotiash took 3 of 5
S5Kotiash3Kovshun1n = 4Kotiash took 3 of 4
How those 8 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 8 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home225%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home338%
2–3Decider, away113%
1–3Four sets, away113%
0–3Straight, away113%
These 8 meetings
MetricKotiashKovshunKotiash − KovshunBasisWins53+2in 8 meetingsFirst set62+4of 8Avg pointsper match37.836.0+1.8per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKotiashKovshunBasisWin rate · lifetime222 / 461 vs 341 / 63848.2%53.5%222 / 461 vs 341 / 638Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.038.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KovshunKotiash 1.91/Kovshun 1.80
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Kovshun · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Kotiash won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record8
LSep 4 · 07:00A. Kotiash—118841Y. Kovshun—91111113
WAug 29 · 09:05A. Kotiash—1111113Y. Kovshun—4530
WAug 28 · 06:00A. Kotiash—1111123Y. Kovshun—68100
LJul 18 · 05:35A. Kotiash—10740Y. Kovshun—1211113
WJul 17 · 11:00A. Kotiash—511911113Y. Kovshun—11811962
WJul 11 · 09:05A. Kotiash—118811113Y. Kovshun—71111642
WJul 9 · 08:00A. Kotiash—111175113Y. Kovshun—49111182
LMay 17 · 11:50A. Kotiash—11851172Y. Kovshun—911117113
A. Kotiash10
LSep 5 · 10:19A. Kotiash3.259115101Y. Volkov1.3311211123LSep 5 · 09:20A. Kotiash4.333640I. Efimenko1.201111113LSep 5 · 06:48A. Kotiash2.007240A. Troyan1.731111113WSep 4 · 10:30Y. Volkov1.25741151A. Kotiash3.7511119113WSep 4 · 09:30A. Kotiash2.635141211113R. Sopivnyk1.44111610972LSep 4 · 08:30A. Kotiash2.00101050O. Karpenko1.731212113LSep 4 · 07:00A. Kotiash1.57118841Y. Kovshun2.2591111113WSep 4 · 05:00A. Kotiash2.10631211153A. Troyan1.671111107132WSep 2 · 10:30A. Kotiash1.831111711113I. Emets1.8381311572WSep 2 · 09:00A. Kotiash1.801111113V. Kolesnykov1.913990
Y. Kovshun10
LSep 5 · 10:52A. Troyan1.73118711113Y. Kovshun2.0071111272WSep 5 · 09:50Y. Kovshun1.50314119123A. Troyan2.501112811102LSep 5 · 08:48Y. Volkov1.731113113Y. Kovshun2.0081170LSep 5 · 06:18I. Efimenko1.36148115113Y. Kovshun3.00121171162LSep 4 · 11:00Y. Kovshun1.8051181182O. Karpenko1.91117116113LSep 4 · 09:00Y. Volkov1.679111111113Y. Kovshun2.1011136912WSep 4 · 08:00Y. Kovshun1.401111133A. Troyan2.7588110WSep 4 · 07:00A. Kotiash1.57118841Y. Kovshun2.2591111113WSep 4 · 05:30Y. Kovshun3.00891111133R. Sopivnyk1.36111188112LAug 29 · 11:35A. Troyan3.00118611113Y. Kovshun1.3661111862
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