TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13081724
Played Sep 5Finished
Yurii Volkov
Home
1.73
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1181311117––––
Yaroslav Kovshun
Away
2.00
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 4
How it is goingYurii Volkov above · Yaroslav Kovshun below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 13-11
Set 3 · 11-7
Point 61 set 3, 11-7
61 points played in total.
H2H Yurii Volkov 74–42 Yaroslav Kovshun Yaroslav Kovshun has won 42 of their 116 meetings.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Volkov)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kovshun form (20%) is below what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVolkov 1.73 / Kovshun 2.00
Signal prob.57% / 43%
Edge (Volkov)+3.2pp
Setka Cup · #13081724
Volkov1.73
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite65% won 159 of 244
Up 2–0, closes it96% 81 of 84
Up 1–0, closes it85% 117 of 138
Kovshun2.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog41% won 44 of 108
Down 0–1, comes back21% 14 of 66
Down 0–2, comes back10% 4 of 39
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeVolkov4wins
AwayKovshun6wins
3 of 10 to a deciderKovshun leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVolkov75%3 of 4
AwayKovshun83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Volkov4Kovshun6n = 10Kovshun took 6 of 10
S2Volkov4Kovshun6n = 10Kovshun took 6 of 10
S3Volkov6Kovshun4n = 10Volkov took 6 of 10
S4Volkov4Kovshun4n = 8split evenly
S5Volkov1Kovshun2n = 3Kovshun took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricVolkovKovshunV − KBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match37.738.1−0.4per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVolkovKovshunBasisWin rate · lifetime413 / 773 vs 341 / 63953.4%53.4%413 / 773 vs 341 / 639Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.438.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VolkovVolkov 1.73/Kovshun 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
56.9%
Volkov · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Volkov won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 4 · 09:00Y. Volkov—9111111113Y. Kovshun—11136912
LAug 29 · 05:05Y. Volkov—881191Y. Kovshun—11119113
LAug 15 · 11:05Y. Volkov—4116101Y. Kovshun—11911123
LJul 31 · 10:19Y. Volkov—511571Y. Kovshun—11511113
WJul 31 · 07:35Y. Volkov—14117113Y. Kovshun—1271141
LJul 28 · 05:05Y. Volkov—111211772Y. Kovshun—514911113
WJul 25 · 11:05Y. Volkov—111111113Y. Kovshun—713481
LJul 24 · 05:05Y. Volkov—118111122Y. Kovshun—131188113
WJul 18 · 12:05Y. Volkov—1111113Y. Kovshun—5670
LJul 17 · 08:30Y. Volkov—9720Y. Kovshun—1111113
Y. Volkov10
LSep 5 · 11:19I. Efimenko1.8511116113Y. Volkov1.85881191WSep 5 · 10:19A. Kotiash3.259115101Y. Volkov1.3311211123LSep 5 · 07:18Y. Volkov1.67811751I. Efimenko2.1011611113WSep 5 · 05:48Y. Volkov1.57512115113A. Troyan2.25111091152LSep 4 · 10:30Y. Volkov1.25741151A. Kotiash3.7511119113WSep 4 · 09:00Y. Volkov1.679111111113Y. Kovshun2.1011136912LSep 4 · 07:30Y. Volkov2.2011381192R. Sopivnyk1.61611114113LSep 4 · 06:00Y. Volkov1.6112811752A. Troyan2.201011811113LSep 4 · 04:30Y. Volkov1.3691211872O. Karpenko3.001110211113WAug 29 · 09:35Y. Volkov1.671111113A. Troyan2.108780
Y. Kovshun10
LSep 5 · 10:52A. Troyan1.73118711113Y. Kovshun2.0071111272WSep 5 · 09:50Y. Kovshun1.50314119123A. Troyan2.501112811102LSep 5 · 07:48A. Kotiash1.91117711113Y. Kovshun1.8091111972LSep 5 · 06:18I. Efimenko1.36148115113Y. Kovshun3.00121171162LSep 4 · 11:00Y. Kovshun1.8051181182O. Karpenko1.91117116113LSep 4 · 09:00Y. Volkov1.679111111113Y. Kovshun2.1011136912WSep 4 · 08:00Y. Kovshun1.401111133A. Troyan2.7588110WSep 4 · 07:00A. Kotiash1.57118841Y. Kovshun2.2591111113WSep 4 · 05:30Y. Kovshun3.00891111133R. Sopivnyk1.36111188112LAug 29 · 11:35A. Troyan3.00118611113Y. Kovshun1.3661111862
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