TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13072872
Played Sep 4Finished
Yurii Volkov
Home
2.20
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
116311811114911
Ruslan Sopivnyk
Away
1.62
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:28 and never touched — 56.7% is still 56.7%
Graded at full timeRuslan Sopivnyk to win
56.7%
56.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingYurii Volkov above · Ruslan Sopivnyk below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 3-11
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 11-4
Set 5 · 9-11
Point 85 set 5, 9-11 — our read held Ruslan Sopivnyk at 56.7%
85 points played in total.
H2H Yurii Volkov 6–15 Ruslan Sopivnyk Yurii Volkov has won 6 of their 21 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 18:28What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Sopivnyk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-15 in 21
Sopivnyk
Correct
gap of 9 in 21, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Volkov 1668 vs Sopivnyk 1649
Volkov
Wrong
both rated, 19 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Volkov 60% vs Sopivnyk 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Volkov 30% vs Sopivnyk 50%
Sopivnyk
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Volkov -2 · Sopivnyk +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Sopivnyk) · live re-read · sealed at 57% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Volkov form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVolkov 2.20 / Sopivnyk 1.61
Signal prob.41% / 59%
Edge (Sopivnyk)+1.6pp
Setka Cup · #13072872
Volkov2.20
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog47% won 56 of 120
Down 0–1, comes back29% 16 of 56
Down 0–2, comes back12% 4 of 34
Sopivnyk1.61
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite64% won 71 of 111
Up 2–0, closes it91% 52 of 57
Up 1–0, closes it83% 59 of 71
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeVolkov1wins
AwaySopivnyk9wins
3 of 10 to a deciderSopivnyk leads 9–1, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVolkov25%1 of 4
AwaySopivnyk100%6 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Volkov4Sopivnyk6n = 10Sopivnyk took 6 of 10
S2Volkov2Sopivnyk8n = 10Sopivnyk took 8 of 10
S3Volkov2Sopivnyk8n = 10Sopivnyk took 8 of 10
S4Volkov4Sopivnyk3n = 7Volkov took 4 of 7
S5Volkov0Sopivnyk3n = 3Sopivnyk took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricVolkovSopivnykV − SBasisWins19−8in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match33.039.2−6.2per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVolkovSopivnykBasisWin rate · lifetime415 / 776 vs 194 / 38853.5%50%415 / 776 vs 194 / 388Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.438.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SopivnykVolkov 2.20/Sopivnyk 1.61
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
59.3%
Sopivnyk · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Sopivnyk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 4 · 07:30Y. Volkov—11381192R. Sopivnyk—611114113
WAug 3 · 10:44Y. Volkov—11119123R. Sopivnyk—3611101
LAug 3 · 08:05Y. Volkov—81171172R. Sopivnyk—118119113
LJul 18 · 06:05Y. Volkov—7790R. Sopivnyk—1111113
LJul 17 · 09:30Y. Volkov—8570R. Sopivnyk—1111113
LJul 14 · 09:35Y. Volkov—113591R. Sopivnyk—81111113
LJun 16 · 07:30Y. Volkov—1181161R. Sopivnyk—13119113
LApr 13 · 08:05Y. Volkov—571181R. Sopivnyk—11118113
LApr 12 · 06:35Y. Volkov—11360R. Sopivnyk—1311113
LMar 14 · 07:00Y. Volkov—11691162R. Sopivnyk—711112113
Y. Volkov10
LSep 5 · 11:19I. Efimenko1.8511116113Y. Volkov1.85881191WSep 5 · 10:19A. Kotiash3.259115101Y. Volkov1.3311211123WSep 5 · 08:48Y. Volkov1.731113113Y. Kovshun2.0081170LSep 5 · 07:18Y. Volkov1.67811751I. Efimenko2.1011611113WSep 5 · 05:48Y. Volkov1.57512115113A. Troyan2.25111091152LSep 4 · 10:30Y. Volkov1.25741151A. Kotiash3.7511119113WSep 4 · 09:00Y. Volkov1.679111111113Y. Kovshun2.1011136912LSep 4 · 06:00Y. Volkov1.6112811752A. Troyan2.201011811113LSep 4 · 04:30Y. Volkov1.3691211872O. Karpenko3.001110211113WAug 29 · 09:35Y. Volkov1.671111113A. Troyan2.108780
R. Sopivnyk10
LSep 6 · 11:30R. Sopivnyk1.803740O. Varlamov1.91111193WSep 6 · 09:30O. Kuzyshyn1.50118941R. Sopivnyk2.5081111113LSep 6 · 07:30O. Zhyrnov1.5011411113R. Sopivnyk2.50511631WSep 6 · 06:30R. Sopivnyk1.8311811113Y. Holoborodko1.83311941LSep 6 · 05:30A. Droshchynskyi1.531111133R. Sopivnyk2.3876110LSep 5 · 17:10O. Varlamov2.0081111113R. Sopivnyk1.73119361WSep 5 · 16:10Y. Holoborodko1.8055110R. Sopivnyk1.911111133WSep 5 · 12:40O. Zhyrnov1.44118961R. Sopivnyk2.6391111113WSep 5 · 10:40O. Kuzyshyn1.401071141R. Sopivnyk2.7512119113WSep 4 · 11:30R. Sopivnyk1.171111113A. Troyan4.505870
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