TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13079287
Played Sep 5Finished
Oleksandr Zhyrnov
Home
1.44
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 3
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
119811911611––
Ruslan Sopivnyk
Away
2.63
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:41 and never touched — 66.9% is still 66.9%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Zhyrnov to win
66.9%
66.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingOleksandr Zhyrnov above · Ruslan Sopivnyk below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 6-11
Point 76 set 4, 6-11 — our read held Oleksandr Zhyrnov at 66.9%
76 points played in total.
H2H Oleksandr Zhyrnov 14–5 Ruslan Sopivnyk Ruslan Sopivnyk has won 5 of their 19 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:41What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Zhyrnov
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
14-5 in 19
Zhyrnov
Wrong
gap of 9 in 19, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Zhyrnov 1728 vs Sopivnyk 1650
Zhyrnov
Wrong
both rated, 78 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Zhyrnov 80% vs Sopivnyk 80%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Zhyrnov 80% vs Sopivnyk 70%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Zhyrnov +3 · Sopivnyk +2
Zhyrnov
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 67% — Clear lean (leans Zhyrnov)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sopivnyk form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (38%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZhyrnov 1.44 / Sopivnyk 2.63
Signal prob.67% / 33%
Edge (Zhyrnov)+2.4pp
Setka Cup · #13079287
Zhyrnov1.44
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest90%takes the first set · 9 of 10
As favourite63% won 117 of 186
Up 2–0, closes it94% 58 of 62
Up 1–0, closes it84% 87 of 104
Sopivnyk2.63
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog37% won 60 of 163
Down 0–1, comes back20% 18 of 89
Down 0–2, comes back6% 3 of 49
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeZhyrnov9wins
AwaySopivnyk1wins
2 of 10 to a deciderZhyrnov leads 9–1, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeZhyrnov100%6 of 6
AwaySopivnyk25%1 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Zhyrnov6Sopivnyk4n = 10Zhyrnov took 6 of 10
S2Zhyrnov7Sopivnyk3n = 10Zhyrnov took 7 of 10
S3Zhyrnov8Sopivnyk2n = 10Zhyrnov took 8 of 10
S4Zhyrnov4Sopivnyk1n = 5Zhyrnov took 4 of 5
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home440%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricZhyrnovSopivnykZ − SBasisWins91+8in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match39.031.3+7.7per matchSweeps41+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZhyrnovSopivnykBasisWin rate · lifetime379 / 762 vs 192 / 38449.7%50%379 / 762 vs 192 / 384Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.138.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZhyrnovZhyrnov 1.44/Sopivnyk 2.63
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
66.9%
Zhyrnov · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Sopivnyk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 30 · 11:30O. Zhyrnov—1112113R. Sopivnyk—81080
WAug 1 · 10:40O. Zhyrnov—11611113R. Sopivnyk—611671
WJul 26 · 06:05O. Zhyrnov—911114113R. Sopivnyk—11771132
WJul 9 · 10:40O. Zhyrnov—1111173R. Sopivnyk—67150
WJun 27 · 14:40O. Zhyrnov—1116103R. Sopivnyk—61480
WJun 10 · 14:40O. Zhyrnov—115711113R. Sopivnyk—61111592
LMay 31 · 05:00O. Zhyrnov—131080R. Sopivnyk—1512113
WMay 30 · 10:40O. Zhyrnov—61111123R. Sopivnyk—1174101
WMay 23 · 10:40O. Zhyrnov—1111113R. Sopivnyk—4650
WMay 13 · 13:10O. Zhyrnov—111111133R. Sopivnyk—1356111
O. Zhyrnov10
WSep 6 · 10:30O. Zhyrnov1.6712137113O. Kuzyshyn2.10101111101WSep 6 · 09:00O. Zhyrnov1.911111113A. Droshchynskyi1.807990WSep 6 · 07:30O. Zhyrnov1.5011411113R. Sopivnyk2.50511631LSep 6 · 06:00O. Zhyrnov1.8079120O. Varlamov1.911111143WSep 6 · 04:30O. Zhyrnov1.501111113Y. Holoborodko2.503960WSep 5 · 17:40O. Zhyrnov1.571111153Y. Holoborodko2.2586130LSep 5 · 15:40A. Droshchynskyi1.83118116113O. Zhyrnov1.8331161142WSep 5 · 13:40O. Kuzyshyn2.105780O. Zhyrnov1.671111113WSep 5 · 11:40O. Varlamov1.8351090O. Zhyrnov1.83111292WSep 3 · 16:40O. Zhyrnov1.801112113O. Kuzyshyn1.9181050
R. Sopivnyk10
LSep 6 · 11:30R. Sopivnyk1.803740O. Varlamov1.91111193WSep 6 · 09:30O. Kuzyshyn1.50118941R. Sopivnyk2.5081111113LSep 6 · 07:30O. Zhyrnov1.5011411113R. Sopivnyk2.50511631WSep 6 · 06:30R. Sopivnyk1.8311811113Y. Holoborodko1.83311941LSep 6 · 05:30A. Droshchynskyi1.531111133R. Sopivnyk2.3876110LSep 5 · 17:10O. Varlamov2.0081111113R. Sopivnyk1.73119361WSep 5 · 16:10Y. Holoborodko1.8055110R. Sopivnyk1.911111133WSep 5 · 10:40O. Kuzyshyn1.401071141R. Sopivnyk2.7512119113WSep 4 · 11:30R. Sopivnyk1.171111113A. Troyan4.505870LSep 4 · 09:30A. Kotiash2.635141211113R. Sopivnyk1.44111610972
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.