TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13072911
Played Sep 4Finished
Yurii Volkov
Home
1.67
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 3
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
9111113116119111
Yaroslav Kovshun
Away
2.10
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:28 and never touched — 59.0% is still 59.0%
Graded at full timeYurii Volkov to win
59.0%
59.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightpick shipped
How it is goingYurii Volkov above · Yaroslav Kovshun below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-13
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 11-9
Set 5 · 11-1
Point 93 set 5, 11-1 — our read held Yurii Volkov at 59.0%
93 points played in total.
H2H Yurii Volkov 73–40 Yaroslav Kovshun Yaroslav Kovshun has won 40 of their 113 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 18:28What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Volkov
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
73-40 in 113
Volkov
Correct
gap of 33 in 113, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Volkov 1645 vs Kovshun 1558
Volkov
Correct
both rated, 87 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Volkov 40% vs Kovshun 80%
Kovshun
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Volkov 30% vs Kovshun 50%
Kovshun
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Volkov -3 · Kovshun +3
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and the gate let it through as .
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Volkov)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kovshun form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVolkov 1.67 / Kovshun 2.10
Signal prob.59% / 41%
Edge (Volkov)+3.2pp
Setka Cup · #13072911
Volkov1.67
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite66% won 158 of 240
Up 2–0, closes it96% 81 of 84
Up 1–0, closes it85% 117 of 137
Kovshun2.10
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog40% won 42 of 105
Down 0–1, comes back19% 12 of 64
Down 0–2, comes back8% 3 of 38
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeVolkov4wins
AwayKovshun6wins
4 of 10 to a deciderKovshun leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVolkov75%3 of 4
AwayKovshun83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Volkov4Kovshun6n = 10Kovshun took 6 of 10
S2Volkov4Kovshun6n = 10Kovshun took 6 of 10
S3Volkov7Kovshun3n = 10Volkov took 7 of 10
S4Volkov4Kovshun4n = 8split evenly
S5Volkov1Kovshun3n = 4Kovshun took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricVolkovKovshunV − KBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match38.939.2−0.3per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVolkovKovshunBasisWin rate · lifetime411 / 769 vs 341 / 63553.5%53.7%411 / 769 vs 341 / 635Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.438.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VolkovVolkov 1.67/Kovshun 2.10
Hit
What we said
59%
Volkov · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Volkov won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LJul 31 · 10:19Y. Volkov—511571Y. Kovshun—11511113
WJul 31 · 07:35Y. Volkov—14117113Y. Kovshun—1271141
LJul 28 · 05:05Y. Volkov—111211772Y. Kovshun—514911113
WJul 25 · 11:05Y. Volkov—111111113Y. Kovshun—713481
LJul 24 · 05:05Y. Volkov—118111122Y. Kovshun—131188113
WJul 18 · 12:05Y. Volkov—1111113Y. Kovshun—5670
LJul 17 · 08:30Y. Volkov—9720Y. Kovshun—1111113
LJul 14 · 05:05Y. Volkov—1010111182Y. Kovshun—121285113
LJul 11 · 05:05Y. Volkov—771161Y. Kovshun—11116113
WJul 9 · 10:00Y. Volkov—6111110133Y. Kovshun—118712112
Y. Volkov10
LSep 5 · 11:19I. Efimenko1.8511116113Y. Volkov1.85881191WSep 5 · 10:19A. Kotiash3.259115101Y. Volkov1.3311211123WSep 5 · 08:48Y. Volkov1.731113113Y. Kovshun2.0081170LSep 5 · 07:18Y. Volkov1.67811751I. Efimenko2.1011611113WSep 5 · 05:48Y. Volkov1.57512115113A. Troyan2.25111091152LSep 4 · 10:30Y. Volkov1.25741151A. Kotiash3.7511119113LSep 4 · 07:30Y. Volkov2.2011381192R. Sopivnyk1.61611114113LSep 4 · 06:00Y. Volkov1.6112811752A. Troyan2.201011811113LSep 4 · 04:30Y. Volkov1.3691211872O. Karpenko3.001110211113WAug 29 · 09:35Y. Volkov1.671111113A. Troyan2.108780
Y. Kovshun10
LSep 5 · 10:52A. Troyan1.73118711113Y. Kovshun2.0071111272WSep 5 · 09:50Y. Kovshun1.50314119123A. Troyan2.501112811102LSep 5 · 08:48Y. Volkov1.731113113Y. Kovshun2.0081170LSep 5 · 07:48A. Kotiash1.91117711113Y. Kovshun1.8091111972LSep 5 · 06:18I. Efimenko1.36148115113Y. Kovshun3.00121171162LSep 4 · 11:00Y. Kovshun1.8051181182O. Karpenko1.91117116113WSep 4 · 08:00Y. Kovshun1.401111133A. Troyan2.7588110WSep 4 · 07:00A. Kotiash1.57118841Y. Kovshun2.2591111113WSep 4 · 05:30Y. Kovshun3.00891111133R. Sopivnyk1.36111188112LAug 29 · 11:35A. Troyan3.00118611113Y. Kovshun1.3661111862
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.