TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13060613
Played Sep 2Finished
Andrii Kotiash
Home
1.80
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
113119119––––
Valerii Kolesnykov
Away
1.91
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:57 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeAndrii Kotiash to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingAndrii Kotiash above · Valerii Kolesnykov below
Set 1 · 11-3
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 11-9
Point 54 set 3, 11-9 — our read held Andrii Kotiash at 54.0%
54 points played in total.
H2H Andrii Kotiash 7–9 Valerii Kolesnykov Andrii Kotiash has won 7 of their 16 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 19:57What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Kotiash
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
7-9 in 16
Kolesnykov
Wrong
gap of 2 in 16, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kotiash 1559 vs Kolesnykov 1544
Kotiash
Correct
both rated, 16 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kotiash 60% vs Kolesnykov 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kotiash 50% vs Kolesnykov 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kotiash +3 · Kolesnykov +1
Kotiash
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Kotiash)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKotiash 1.80 / Kolesnykov 1.91
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Kotiash)+2.5pp
Setka Cup · #13060613
Kotiash1.80
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite70% won 51 of 73
Up 2–0, closes it92% 22 of 24
Up 1–0, closes it87% 34 of 39
Kolesnykov1.91
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog44% won 37 of 85
Down 0–1, comes back24% 11 of 45
Down 0–2, comes back12% 3 of 26
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKotiash5wins
AwayKolesnykov5wins
4 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKotiash60%3 of 5
AwayKolesnykov60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kotiash5Kolesnykov5n = 10split evenly
S2Kotiash5Kolesnykov5n = 10split evenly
S3Kotiash8Kolesnykov2n = 10Kotiash took 8 of 10
S4Kotiash4Kolesnykov4n = 8split evenly
S5Kotiash1Kolesnykov3n = 4Kolesnykov took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricKotiashKolesnykovKotiash − KolesnykovBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match39.139.6−0.5per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKotiashKolesnykovBasisWin rate · lifetime217 / 453 vs 358 / 67047.9%53.4%217 / 453 vs 358 / 670Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.037.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KotiashKotiash 1.80/Kolesnykov 1.91
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Kotiash · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Kotiash won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WJul 3 · 18:00A. Kotiash—881111113V. Kolesnykov—11117792
LApr 16 · 07:00A. Kotiash—11511792V. Kolesnykov—911711113
WMar 30 · 09:35A. Kotiash—1111113V. Kolesnykov—8970
WMar 29 · 09:50A. Kotiash—12186113V. Kolesnykov—10161171
LMar 13 · 08:35A. Kotiash—39111132V. Kolesnykov—111195113
LJan 15 · 08:35A. Kotiash—101111692V. Kolesnykov—126711113
LDec 25 · 17:40A. Kotiash—114531V. Kolesnykov—71111113
WSep 13 · 16:20A. Kotiash—1111113V. Kolesnykov—9970
WSep 4 · 08:30A. Kotiash—51113113V. Kolesnykov—1131161
LAug 30 · 17:50A. Kotiash—8111191V. Kolesnykov—11139113
A. Kotiash10
LSep 5 · 10:19A. Kotiash3.259115101Y. Volkov1.3311211123LSep 5 · 09:20A. Kotiash4.333640I. Efimenko1.201111113WSep 5 · 07:48A. Kotiash1.91117711113Y. Kovshun1.8091111972LSep 5 · 06:48A. Kotiash2.007240A. Troyan1.731111113WSep 4 · 10:30Y. Volkov1.25741151A. Kotiash3.7511119113WSep 4 · 09:30A. Kotiash2.635141211113R. Sopivnyk1.44111610972LSep 4 · 08:30A. Kotiash2.00101050O. Karpenko1.731212113LSep 4 · 07:00A. Kotiash1.57118841Y. Kovshun2.2591111113WSep 4 · 05:00A. Kotiash2.10631211153A. Troyan1.671111107132WSep 2 · 10:30A. Kotiash1.831111711113I. Emets1.8381311572
V. Kolesnykov10
LSep 7 · 07:00V. Kolesnykov2.10124591D. Khairov1.67101111113LSep 7 · 05:00V. Kolesnykov2.751134101A. Troyan1.4081111123WSep 2 · 11:00V. Kolesnykov2.2551111113D. Khairov1.57119441WSep 2 · 08:00V. Kolesnykov2.20912119133O. Volynets1.611110511112WSep 2 · 07:00I. Emets1.9167121182V. Kolesnykov1.801111104113LSep 2 · 05:30V. Kolesnykov2.75781171A. Troyan1.4011116113LAug 31 · 11:05V. Kolesnykov1.57107111142S. Skhabitskiy2.25121188113WAug 31 · 09:35V. Kolesnykov1.6711114113A. Kovalenko2.10961191WAug 31 · 08:05V. Kolesnykov1.67101111113A. Martyniuk2.10127861WAug 31 · 06:35V. Kolesnykov1.73118611113S. Solomko2.0061111892
Upcoming Matches
A. Kotiash
Nothing scheduled
V. Kolesnykov
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