TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13048873
Played Aug 31Finished
Valerii Kolesnykov
Home
1.57
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 3
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1012711118118411
Sergii Skhabitskiy
Away
2.25
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:34 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeValerii Kolesnykov to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongpick shipped
How it is goingValerii Kolesnykov above · Sergii Skhabitskiy below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 11-8
Set 5 · 4-11
Point 93 set 5, 4-11 — our read held Valerii Kolesnykov at 54.0%
93 points played in total.
H2H Valerii Kolesnykov 37–54 Sergii Skhabitskiy Valerii Kolesnykov has won 37 of their 91 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 18:34What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Kolesnykov
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
37-54 in 91
Skhabitskiy
Correct
gap of 17 in 91, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kolesnykov 1559 vs Skhabitskiy 1430
Kolesnykov
Wrong
both rated, 129 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kolesnykov 60% vs Skhabitskiy 40%
Kolesnykov
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kolesnykov 70% vs Skhabitskiy 30%
Kolesnykov
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kolesnykov +3 · Skhabitskiy -2
Kolesnykov
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and the gate let it through as .
Signal confidence: 62% — Slight lean (leans Kolesnykov) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKolesnykov 1.57 / Skhabitskiy 2.25
Signal prob.62% / 38%
Edge (Kolesnykov)+2.8pp
Setka Cup · #13048873
Kolesnykov1.57
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite57% won 101 of 178
Up 2–0, closes it90% 44 of 49
Up 1–0, closes it72% 66 of 92
Skhabitskiy2.25
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog40% won 111 of 275
Down 0–1, comes back23% 33 of 142
Down 0–2, comes back6% 5 of 84
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKolesnykov6wins
AwaySkhabitskiy4wins
1 of 10 to a deciderKolesnykov leads 6–4, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKolesnykov100%5 of 5
AwaySkhabitskiy80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kolesnykov5Skhabitskiy5n = 10split evenly
S2Kolesnykov7Skhabitskiy3n = 10Kolesnykov took 7 of 10
S3Kolesnykov6Skhabitskiy4n = 10Kolesnykov took 6 of 10
S4Kolesnykov2Skhabitskiy4n = 6Skhabitskiy took 4 of 6
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricKolesnykovSkhabitskiyK − SBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match34.634.8−0.2per matchSweeps31+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKolesnykovSkhabitskiyBasisWin rate · lifetime361 / 675 vs 487 / 110053.5%44.3%361 / 675 vs 487 / 1100Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.836.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KolesnykovKolesnykov 1.57/Skhabitskiy 2.25
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
61.7%
Kolesnykov · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Skhabitskiy won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WJul 10 · 05:50V. Kolesnykov—12611113S. Skhabitskiy—1011891
WMay 26 · 07:30V. Kolesnykov—114118143S. Skhabitskiy—911911122
WApr 21 · 12:10V. Kolesnykov—1111123S. Skhabitskiy—59100
LApr 16 · 08:00V. Kolesnykov—713791S. Skhabitskiy—111111113
WApr 10 · 08:50V. Kolesnykov—51211113S. Skhabitskiy—1110641
LApr 1 · 06:35V. Kolesnykov—611951S. Skhabitskiy—11811113
WMar 26 · 05:30V. Kolesnykov—1111113S. Skhabitskiy—6780
WMar 23 · 06:05V. Kolesnykov—1111113S. Skhabitskiy—7940
LMar 19 · 06:05V. Kolesnykov—1111731S. Skhabitskiy—13911113
LJan 9 · 06:35V. Kolesnykov—5870S. Skhabitskiy—1111113
V. Kolesnykov10
WSep 7 · 08:30V. Kolesnykov2.1061111113O. Volynets1.67119871LSep 7 · 07:00V. Kolesnykov2.10124591D. Khairov1.67101111113LSep 7 · 05:00V. Kolesnykov2.751134101A. Troyan1.4081111123WSep 2 · 11:00V. Kolesnykov2.2551111113D. Khairov1.57119441LSep 2 · 09:00A. Kotiash1.801111113V. Kolesnykov1.913990WSep 2 · 08:00V. Kolesnykov2.20912119133O. Volynets1.611110511112WSep 2 · 07:00I. Emets1.9167121182V. Kolesnykov1.801111104113LSep 2 · 05:30V. Kolesnykov2.75781171A. Troyan1.4011116113WAug 31 · 09:35V. Kolesnykov1.6711114113A. Kovalenko2.10961191WAug 31 · 08:05V. Kolesnykov1.67101111113A. Martyniuk2.10127861
S. Skhabitskiy10
LAug 31 · 10:05S. Skhabitskiy3.2512311762A. Martyniuk1.331011911113LAug 31 · 09:05S. Skhabitskiy2.5099130E. Populovskyi1.501111153WAug 31 · 07:35S. Skhabitskiy2.7511411113A. Kovalenko1.40511391WAug 31 · 05:35S. Skhabitskiy2.2513117123S. Solomko1.5711611101LAug 30 · 18:30O. Leonenko2.001111113S. Skhabitskiy1.737470LAug 30 · 17:30M. Stetsenko1.8371111113S. Skhabitskiy1.83119831LAug 30 · 16:00B. Zaika1.441011811113S. Skhabitskiy2.6312511782WAug 30 · 14:00O. Ovsiienko2.633990S. Skhabitskiy1.441111113LAug 30 · 12:00A. Kurtenko1.441111113S. Skhabitskiy2.637960LAug 28 · 12:05O. Mytsyk1.6191S. Skhabitskiy2.2030
Upcoming Matches
V. Kolesnykov
S. Skhabitskiy
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