TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13089211
Played Sep 7Finished
Valerii Kolesnykov
Home
2.10
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
611119118117––
Oleh Volynets
Away
1.67
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:31 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeOleh Volynets to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingValerii Kolesnykov above · Oleh Volynets below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 11-7
Point 74 set 4, 11-7 — our read held Oleh Volynets at 54.0%
74 points played in total.
H2H Valerii Kolesnykov 12–16 Oleh Volynets Valerii Kolesnykov has won 12 of their 28 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:31What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Volynets
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
12-16 in 28
Volynets
Wrong
gap of 4 in 28, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kolesnykov 1533 vs Volynets 1467
Kolesnykov
Correct
both rated, 66 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kolesnykov 40% vs Volynets 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kolesnykov 50% vs Volynets 30%
Kolesnykov
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kolesnykov -2 · Volynets +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Volynets)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Volynets form (40%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKolesnykov 2.10 / Volynets 1.67
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Volynets)-1.8pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13089211
Kolesnykov2.10
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog44% won 37 of 84
Down 0–1, comes back28% 13 of 46
Down 0–2, comes back12% 3 of 25
Volynets1.67
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite50% won 87 of 173
Up 2–0, closes it79% 38 of 48
Up 1–0, closes it65% 56 of 86
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKolesnykov5wins
AwayVolynets5wins
7 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 7 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKolesnykov60%3 of 5
AwayVolynets60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kolesnykov5Volynets5n = 10split evenly
S2Kolesnykov5Volynets5n = 10split evenly
S3Kolesnykov4Volynets6n = 10Volynets took 6 of 10
S4Kolesnykov1Volynets7n = 8Volynets took 7 of 8
S5Kolesnykov5Volynets2n = 7Kolesnykov took 5 of 7
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home550%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricKolesnykovVolynetsK − VBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match38.642.4−3.8per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKolesnykovVolynetsBasisWin rate · lifetime355 / 668 vs 339 / 62353.1%54.4%355 / 668 vs 339 / 623Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.838.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VolynetsKolesnykov 2.10/Volynets 1.67
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Volynets · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Kolesnykov won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 2 · 08:00V. Kolesnykov—912119133O. Volynets—1110511112
WAug 27 · 07:05V. Kolesnykov—961111113O. Volynets—11118992
LJun 16 · 08:30V. Kolesnykov—71111792O. Volynets—118511113
WJun 8 · 09:05V. Kolesnykov—111131113O. Volynets—46111172
LMay 7 · 06:05V. Kolesnykov—115431O. Volynets—41111113
LApr 30 · 05:05V. Kolesnykov—7690O. Volynets—1111113
WMar 17 · 09:00V. Kolesnykov—127127113O. Volynets—1011101172
WMar 12 · 10:35V. Kolesnykov—1111107113O. Volynets—87121182
LMar 10 · 17:40V. Kolesnykov—6760O. Volynets—1111113
LMar 5 · 11:30V. Kolesnykov—11115572O. Volynets—661111113
V. Kolesnykov10
LSep 7 · 07:00V. Kolesnykov2.10124591D. Khairov1.67101111113LSep 7 · 05:00V. Kolesnykov2.751134101A. Troyan1.4081111123WSep 2 · 11:00V. Kolesnykov2.2551111113D. Khairov1.57119441LSep 2 · 09:00A. Kotiash1.801111113V. Kolesnykov1.913990WSep 2 · 08:00V. Kolesnykov2.20912119133O. Volynets1.611110511112WSep 2 · 07:00I. Emets1.9167121182V. Kolesnykov1.801111104113LSep 2 · 05:30V. Kolesnykov2.75781171A. Troyan1.4011116113LAug 31 · 11:05V. Kolesnykov1.57107111142S. Skhabitskiy2.25121188113WAug 31 · 09:35V. Kolesnykov1.6711114113A. Kovalenko2.10961191WAug 31 · 08:05V. Kolesnykov1.67101111113A. Martyniuk2.10127861
O. Volynets10
WSep 7 · 06:30S. Solomko2.009880O. Volynets1.731111113LSep 7 · 04:30O. Osadchyi1.831112113O. Volynets1.8361060LSep 2 · 11:30A. Troyan1.801112123O. Volynets1.91910100WSep 2 · 10:00O. Volynets1.5381111113D. Khairov2.38116951LSep 2 · 08:00V. Kolesnykov2.20912119133O. Volynets1.611110511112LSep 2 · 06:00A. Kotiash2.3891111113O. Volynets1.53114881WSep 2 · 05:00I. Emets2.003990O. Volynets1.731111113LAug 31 · 10:30O. Volynets1.571411611112I. Emets2.251261113133LAug 31 · 09:00O. Volynets1.534750D. Khairov2.381111113LAug 31 · 07:30O. Volynets2.6310790V. Bilobrov1.441211113
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