TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13088975
Played Sep 7Finished
Oleksandr Osadchyi
Home
1.83
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1161210116––––
Oleh Volynets
Away
1.83
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:20 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Osadchyi to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOleksandr Osadchyi above · Oleh Volynets below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 11-6
Point 56 set 3, 11-6 — our read held Oleksandr Osadchyi at 54.0%
56 points played in total.
H2H Oleksandr Osadchyi 1–1 Oleh Volynets Dead even across their 2 meetings.
Last 2 · 1–1Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 19:20What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Volynets
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-1 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Osadchyi 1560 vs Volynets 1460
Osadchyi
Correct
both rated, 101 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Osadchyi 60% vs Volynets 40%
Osadchyi
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Osadchyi 70% vs Volynets 20%
Osadchyi
Correct
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Osadchyi -2 · Volynets -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Osadchyi)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Volynets form (40%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsOsadchyi 1.83 / Volynets 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Osadchyi)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #13088975
Osadchyi1.83
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
Volynets1.83
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeOsadchyi1wins
AwayVolynets1wins
1 of 2 to a deciderLevel at 1–1, and 1 of those 2 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away1
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricOsadchyiVolynetsO − VBasisWins110in 2 meetingsFirst set110of 2Avg pointsper match44.538.5+6.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricOsadchyiVolynetsBasisWin rate · lifetime436 / 855 vs 339 / 62351%54.4%436 / 855 vs 339 / 623Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.338.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
OsadchyiOsadchyi 1.83/Volynets 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Osadchyi · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Osadchyi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
LAug 27 · 05:05O. Osadchyi—111111862O. Volynets—134711113
WAug 2 · 09:30O. Osadchyi—11911113O. Volynets—711671
O. Osadchyi10
LSep 7 · 06:00O. Osadchyi5.004690A. Troyan1.141111113LSep 3 · 10:30O. Osadchyi1.53117651I. Emets2.3851111113LSep 3 · 09:00O. Osadchyi1.737410D. Khairov2.001111113WSep 3 · 07:30O. Osadchyi1.6781111113A. Kurtenko2.10114571WSep 3 · 06:00O. Osadchyi2.2012511113S. Solomko1.611011731WSep 3 · 04:30O. Osadchyi1.30119118113E. Populovskyi3.4031161172WSep 2 · 11:05O. Osadchyi1.7311711123A. Kurtenko2.006115101WSep 2 · 09:35O. Osadchyi2.3811115113S. Hryhorenko1.53491141WSep 2 · 08:05O. Osadchyi1.731111113O. Lipeiko2.003730LSep 2 · 06:35O. Osadchyi2.25114731S. Solomko1.5721111113
O. Volynets10
WSep 7 · 06:30S. Solomko2.009880O. Volynets1.731111113LSep 2 · 11:30A. Troyan1.801112123O. Volynets1.91910100WSep 2 · 10:00O. Volynets1.5381111113D. Khairov2.38116951LSep 2 · 08:00V. Kolesnykov2.20912119133O. Volynets1.611110511112LSep 2 · 06:00A. Kotiash2.3891111113O. Volynets1.53114881WSep 2 · 05:00I. Emets2.003990O. Volynets1.731111113LAug 31 · 10:30O. Volynets1.571411611112I. Emets2.251261113133LAug 31 · 09:00O. Volynets1.534750D. Khairov2.381111113LAug 31 · 07:30O. Volynets2.6310790V. Bilobrov1.441211113LAug 31 · 06:00O. Volynets1.8351171162A. Troyan1.83118113113
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