TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13061137
Played Sep 2Finished
Oleksandr Osadchyi
Home
1.73
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
113117113––––
Oleksandr Lipeiko
Away
2.00
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:55 and never touched — 57.7% is still 57.7%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Osadchyi to win
57.7%
57.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightpick shipped
How it is goingOleksandr Osadchyi above · Oleksandr Lipeiko below
Set 1 · 11-3
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 11-3
Point 46 set 3, 11-3 — our read held Oleksandr Osadchyi at 57.7%
46 points played in total.
H2H Oleksandr Osadchyi 8–4 Oleksandr Lipeiko Oleksandr Lipeiko has won 4 of their 12 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 21:55What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Osadchyi
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
8-4 in 12
Osadchyi
Correct
gap of 4 in 12, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Osadchyi 1534 vs Lipeiko 1425
Osadchyi
Correct
both rated, 109 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Osadchyi 60% vs Lipeiko 20%
Osadchyi
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Osadchyi 60% vs Lipeiko 40%
Osadchyi
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Osadchyi -1 · Lipeiko -3
Lipeiko
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and the gate let it through as .
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Osadchyi)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Lipeiko form (20%) is below what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsOsadchyi 1.73 / Lipeiko 2.00
Signal prob.58% / 42%
Edge (Osadchyi)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #13061137
Osadchyi1.73
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite70% won 114 of 163
Up 2–0, closes it97% 64 of 66
Up 1–0, closes it88% 86 of 98
Lipeiko2.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog41% won 55 of 133
Down 0–1, comes back27% 19 of 71
Down 0–2, comes back8% 3 of 36
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeOsadchyi7wins
AwayLipeiko3wins
1 of 10 to a deciderOsadchyi leads 7–3, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeOsadchyi100%6 of 6
AwayLipeiko75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Osadchyi6Lipeiko4n = 10Osadchyi took 6 of 10
S2Osadchyi4Lipeiko6n = 10Lipeiko took 6 of 10
S3Osadchyi7Lipeiko3n = 10Osadchyi took 7 of 10
S4Osadchyi4Lipeiko2n = 6Osadchyi took 4 of 6
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricOsadchyiLipeikoO − LBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match36.432.2+4.2per matchSweeps2203–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricOsadchyiLipeikoBasisWin rate · lifetime434 / 856 vs 242 / 49950.7%48.5%434 / 856 vs 242 / 499Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.337.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
OsadchyiOsadchyi 1.73/Lipeiko 2.00
Hit
What we said
57.7%
Osadchyi · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Osadchyi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 8 · 17:30O. Osadchyi—11911113O. Lipeiko—411471
LJul 25 · 18:30O. Osadchyi—861251O. Lipeiko—111110113
WJun 28 · 07:50O. Osadchyi—81111113O. Lipeiko—117871
WJun 14 · 18:20O. Osadchyi—1111113O. Lipeiko—5850
WJun 11 · 08:50O. Osadchyi—111215113O. Lipeiko—6141371
WJun 1 · 08:20O. Osadchyi—11911113O. Lipeiko—311881
LMay 18 · 09:20O. Osadchyi—11890O. Lipeiko—1311113
WApr 13 · 07:00O. Osadchyi—1111133O. Lipeiko—58110
LJan 8 · 10:20O. Osadchyi—4870O. Lipeiko—1111113
WJan 7 · 22:20O. Osadchyi—111156113O. Lipeiko—86111142
O. Osadchyi10
LSep 7 · 06:00O. Osadchyi5.004690A. Troyan1.141111113WSep 7 · 04:30O. Osadchyi1.831112113O. Volynets1.8361060LSep 3 · 10:30O. Osadchyi1.53117651I. Emets2.3851111113LSep 3 · 09:00O. Osadchyi1.737410D. Khairov2.001111113WSep 3 · 07:30O. Osadchyi1.6781111113A. Kurtenko2.10114571WSep 3 · 06:00O. Osadchyi2.2012511113S. Solomko1.611011731WSep 3 · 04:30O. Osadchyi1.30119118113E. Populovskyi3.4031161172WSep 2 · 11:05O. Osadchyi1.7311711123A. Kurtenko2.006115101WSep 2 · 09:35O. Osadchyi2.3811115113S. Hryhorenko1.53491141LSep 2 · 06:35O. Osadchyi2.25114731S. Solomko1.5721111113
O. Lipeiko10
LSep 7 · 06:05O. Lipeiko2.508460O. Shyshman1.501111113LSep 6 · 12:20O. Lipeiko1.571171091M. Stetsenko2.2511112113LSep 6 · 10:20D. Patalakha1.73291111113O. Lipeiko2.0011117652WSep 6 · 09:20O. Lipeiko1.91611611153S. Solomko1.80111118132WSep 6 · 08:20E. Populovskyi2.202390O. Lipeiko1.611111113LSep 6 · 06:50O. Lipeiko1.83109100A. Kovalenko1.831211123LSep 2 · 12:05O. Lipeiko1.83111011852S. Solomko1.83812711113LSep 2 · 10:05A. Kurtenko1.8091111113O. Lipeiko1.91119861LSep 2 · 07:05O. Lipeiko1.5315413372E. Populovskyi2.3813111111113LSep 2 · 06:05S. Hryhorenko1.531111113O. Lipeiko2.386690
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