TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13060589
Played Sep 2Finished
Andrii Kurtenko
Home
1.80
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 3
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
911119118116––
Oleksandr Lipeiko
Away
1.91
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 5
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:54 and never touched — 54.7% is still 54.7%
Graded at full timeAndrii Kurtenko to win
54.7%
54.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightpick shipped
How it is goingAndrii Kurtenko above · Oleksandr Lipeiko below
Set 1 · 9-9
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 11-6
Point 36 set 4, 11-6 — our read held Andrii Kurtenko at 54.7%
36 points drawn · the score is 40 ahead; the rest land in a moment.
H2H Andrii Kurtenko 12–7 Oleksandr Lipeiko Oleksandr Lipeiko has won 7 of their 19 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 19:54What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Kurtenko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
12-7 in 19
Kurtenko
Correct
gap of 5 in 19, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kurtenko 1453 vs Lipeiko 1405
Kurtenko
Correct
both rated, 48 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kurtenko 20% vs Lipeiko 0%
Kurtenko
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kurtenko 50% vs Lipeiko 30%
Kurtenko
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kurtenko -3 · Lipeiko -5
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and the gate let it through as .
Signal confidence: 55% — Coin-flip (leans Kurtenko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Lipeiko form (0%) is below what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKurtenko 1.80 / Lipeiko 1.91
Signal prob.55% / 45%
Edge (Kurtenko)+3.2pp
Setka Cup · #13060589
Kurtenko1.80
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite60% won 158 of 262
Up 2–0, closes it90% 94 of 104
Up 1–0, closes it80% 121 of 152
Lipeiko1.91
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 5
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog41% won 55 of 133
Down 0–1, comes back27% 19 of 71
Down 0–2, comes back8% 3 of 36
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKurtenko5wins
AwayLipeiko5wins
5 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKurtenko66.7%4 of 6
AwayLipeiko75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kurtenko6Lipeiko4n = 10Kurtenko took 6 of 10
S2Kurtenko4Lipeiko6n = 10Lipeiko took 6 of 10
S3Kurtenko2Lipeiko8n = 10Lipeiko took 8 of 10
S4Kurtenko5Lipeiko2n = 7Kurtenko took 5 of 7
S5Kurtenko3Lipeiko2n = 5Kurtenko took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricKurtenkoLipeikoK − LBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match40.841.0−0.2per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKurtenkoLipeikoBasisWin rate · lifetime334 / 634 vs 242 / 50152.7%48.3%334 / 634 vs 242 / 501Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.037.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KurtenkoKurtenko 1.80/Lipeiko 1.91
Miss
What we said
54.7%
Kurtenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Kurtenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LJul 13 · 10:50A. Kurtenko—12115111O. Lipeiko—14611133
LJul 8 · 11:35A. Kurtenko—79100O. Lipeiko—1111123
WJul 1 · 17:00A. Kurtenko—111168113O. Lipeiko—45111182
WJun 29 · 09:20A. Kurtenko—116912113O. Lipeiko—811111072
WJun 25 · 09:20A. Kurtenko—811311123O. Lipeiko—117115102
WJun 14 · 17:20A. Kurtenko—11911113O. Lipeiko—911861
LJun 11 · 12:50A. Kurtenko—146100O. Lipeiko—1611123
LJun 1 · 12:20A. Kurtenko—1291111122O. Lipeiko—1011138143
LMay 25 · 06:50A. Kurtenko—11981122O. Lipeiko—911118113
WMay 6 · 17:50A. Kurtenko—1111123O. Lipeiko—67100
A. Kurtenko10
WSep 5 · 18:00A. Kurtenko1.8311119113V. Smyk1.83471141WSep 5 · 16:30A. Kurtenko1.571171163D. Patalakha2.25911621LSep 5 · 15:00A. Kurtenko2.10851251O. Tymofeev1.6711111073LSep 5 · 13:30A. Kurtenko1.831112651S. Solomko1.83131011113LSep 5 · 12:00A. Kurtenko3.5011381272F. Voinarovskyi1.286111110113LSep 3 · 11:30A. Kurtenko1.807111131S. Solomko1.9111110153LSep 3 · 09:30I. Emets1.53111111113A. Kurtenko2.38133561LSep 3 · 07:30O. Osadchyi1.6781111113A. Kurtenko2.10114571WSep 3 · 06:30A. Kurtenko1.911111133E. Populovskyi1.8058110LSep 3 · 05:30D. Khairov1.40111313113A. Kurtenko2.753151151
O. Lipeiko10
LSep 7 · 06:05O. Lipeiko2.508460O. Shyshman1.501111113LSep 6 · 12:20O. Lipeiko1.571171091M. Stetsenko2.2511112113LSep 6 · 10:20D. Patalakha1.73291111113O. Lipeiko2.0011117652WSep 6 · 09:20O. Lipeiko1.91611611153S. Solomko1.80111118132WSep 6 · 08:20E. Populovskyi2.202390O. Lipeiko1.611111113LSep 6 · 06:50O. Lipeiko1.83109100A. Kovalenko1.831211123LSep 2 · 12:05O. Lipeiko1.83111011852S. Solomko1.83812711113LSep 2 · 08:05O. Osadchyi1.731111113O. Lipeiko2.003730LSep 2 · 07:05O. Lipeiko1.5315413372E. Populovskyi2.3813111111113LSep 2 · 06:05S. Hryhorenko1.531111113O. Lipeiko2.386690
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