TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13079318
Played Sep 5Finished
Andrii Kurtenko
Home
1.57
At publish
Lost last 6Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 6
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
11971111662––
Dmytro Patalakha
Away
2.25
At publish
Won last 6Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 6
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:38 and never touched — 58.9% is still 58.9%
Graded at full timeAndrii Kurtenko to win
58.9%
58.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingAndrii Kurtenko above · Dmytro Patalakha below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 6-2
Point 63 set 4, 6-2 — our read held Andrii Kurtenko at 58.9%
63 points played in total.
H2H Andrii Kurtenko 4–1 Dmytro Patalakha Dmytro Patalakha has won 1 of their 5 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:38What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Kurtenko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-1 in 5
Kurtenko
Correct
gap of 3 in 5, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kurtenko 1446 vs Patalakha 1497
Patalakha
Wrong
both rated, 52 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kurtenko 0% vs Patalakha 100%
Patalakha
Wrong
100pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kurtenko 20% vs Patalakha 60%
Patalakha
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kurtenko -5 · Patalakha +5
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 60% — Slight lean (leans Kurtenko) · live re-read · sealed at 59% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Patalakha form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (44%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKurtenko 1.57 / Patalakha 2.25
Signal prob.60% / 40%
Edge (Kurtenko)+1.2pp
Setka Cup · #13079318
Kurtenko1.57
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 6
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite60% won 156 of 260
Up 2–0, closes it91% 91 of 100
Up 1–0, closes it80% 118 of 147
Patalakha2.25
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 6
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog39% won 19 of 49
Down 0–1, comes back29% 9 of 31
Down 0–2, comes back18% 3 of 17
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomeKurtenko4wins
AwayPatalakha1wins
2 of 5 to a deciderKurtenko leads 4–1, and 2 of those 5 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKurtenko100%3 of 3
AwayPatalakhan = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kurtenko3Patalakha2n = 5Kurtenko took 3 of 5
S2Kurtenko4Patalakha1n = 5Kurtenko took 4 of 5
S3Kurtenko3Patalakha2n = 5Kurtenko took 3 of 5
S4Kurtenko3Patalakha1n = 4Kurtenko took 3 of 4
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home120%
3–1Four sets, home240%
3–2Decider, home120%
2–3Decider, away120%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 5 meetings
MetricKurtenkoPatalakhaK − PBasisWins41+3in 5 meetingsFirst set32+1of 5Avg pointsper match39.234.4+4.8per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKurtenkoPatalakhaBasisWin rate · lifetime339 / 647 vs 122 / 25352.4%48.2%339 / 647 vs 122 / 253Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.037.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KurtenkoKurtenko 1.57/Patalakha 2.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
60.1%
Kurtenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Kurtenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
WSep 5 · 16:30A. Kurtenko—1171163D. Patalakha—911621
WMar 14 · 12:35A. Kurtenko—811119123D. Patalakha—114511102
WMar 15 · 16:20A. Kurtenko—111253D. Patalakha—91020
WFeb 28 · 11:00A. Kurtenko—11119113D. Patalakha—971161
LJan 4 · 17:20A. Kurtenko—81131172D. Patalakha—118118113
A. Kurtenko10
WSep 5 · 18:00A. Kurtenko1.8311119113V. Smyk1.83471141LSep 5 · 15:00A. Kurtenko2.10851251O. Tymofeev1.6711111073LSep 5 · 13:30A. Kurtenko1.831112651S. Solomko1.83131011113LSep 5 · 12:00A. Kurtenko3.5011381272F. Voinarovskyi1.286111110113LSep 3 · 11:30A. Kurtenko1.807111131S. Solomko1.9111110153LSep 3 · 09:30I. Emets1.53111111113A. Kurtenko2.38133561LSep 3 · 07:30O. Osadchyi1.6781111113A. Kurtenko2.10114571WSep 3 · 06:30A. Kurtenko1.911111133E. Populovskyi1.8058110LSep 3 · 05:30D. Khairov1.40111313113A. Kurtenko2.753151151LSep 2 · 11:05O. Osadchyi1.7311711123A. Kurtenko2.006115101
D. Patalakha10
WSep 6 · 11:50D. Patalakha1.501111113E. Populovskyi2.508570WSep 6 · 10:20D. Patalakha1.73291111113O. Lipeiko2.0011117652WSep 6 · 08:50D. Patalakha2.0011137113A. Kovalenko1.734111171LSep 6 · 07:20D. Patalakha1.73119391S. Solomko2.0071111113LSep 6 · 05:50D. Patalakha1.61781171M. Stetsenko2.2011114113WSep 5 · 18:30D. Patalakha1.73121011113F. Voinarovskyi2.001012591WSep 5 · 15:30D. Patalakha1.8311112S. Solomko1.83690WSep 5 · 14:30V. Smyk2.388118111D. Patalakha1.5311711133WSep 5 · 13:00D. Patalakha3.50111149123O. Tymofeev1.28191111102WAug 13 · 18:35M. Skliar1.671188121D. Patalakha2.1091111143
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