TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13085278
Played Sep 6Finished
Dmytro Patalakha
Home
1.50
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
118115117––––
Eduard Populovskyi
Away
2.50
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 24:38 and never touched — 62.9% is still 62.9%
Graded at full timeDmytro Patalakha to win
62.9%
62.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingDmytro Patalakha above · Eduard Populovskyi below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 11-7
Point 53 set 3, 11-7 — our read held Dmytro Patalakha at 62.9%
53 points played in total.
H2H Dmytro Patalakha 43–27 Eduard Populovskyi Eduard Populovskyi has won 27 of their 70 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 24:38What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Patalakha
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
43-27 in 70
Patalakha
Correct
gap of 16 in 70, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Patalakha 1489 vs Populovskyi 1459
Patalakha
Correct
both rated, 30 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Patalakha 60% vs Populovskyi 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Patalakha 70% vs Populovskyi 70%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Patalakha +2 · Populovskyi +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 66% — Clear lean (leans Patalakha) · live re-read · sealed at 63% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Populovskyi form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (40%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPatalakha 1.50 / Populovskyi 2.50
Signal prob.66% / 34%
Edge (Patalakha)+3.2pp
Setka Cup · #13085278
Patalakha1.50
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite59% won 31 of 53
Up 2–0, closes it89% 8 of 9
Up 1–0, closes it70% 14 of 20
Populovskyi2.50
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog33% won 54 of 164
Down 0–1, comes back19% 20 of 103
Down 0–2, comes back8% 6 of 72
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePatalakha8wins
AwayPopulovskyi2wins
5 of 10 to a deciderPatalakha leads 8–2, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePatalakha75%3 of 4
AwayPopulovskyi16.7%1 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Patalakha4Populovskyi6n = 10Populovskyi took 6 of 10
S2Patalakha7Populovskyi3n = 10Patalakha took 7 of 10
S3Patalakha8Populovskyi2n = 10Patalakha took 8 of 10
S4Patalakha3Populovskyi3n = 6split evenly
S5Patalakha4Populovskyi1n = 5Patalakha took 4 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricPatalakhaPopulovskyiPatalakha − PopulovskyiBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match40.235.8+4.4per matchSweeps31+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPatalakhaPopulovskyiBasisWin rate · lifetime124 / 257 vs 342 / 69848.3%49%124 / 257 vs 342 / 698Avg sets wonper match1.91.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.136.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PatalakhaPatalakha 1.50/Populovskyi 2.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
65.7%
Patalakha · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Patalakha won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 2 · 04:30D. Patalakha—711112113E. Populovskyi—11561122
WAug 1 · 19:00D. Patalakha—1111113E. Populovskyi—1780
WJul 11 · 12:30D. Patalakha—61111113E. Populovskyi—117791
WJun 14 · 11:20D. Patalakha—611118113E. Populovskyi—11891162
WJun 13 · 14:50D. Patalakha—1111123E. Populovskyi—99100
WJun 7 · 07:20D. Patalakha—1113113E. Populovskyi—91180
WJun 6 · 14:50D. Patalakha—1081111113E. Populovskyi—12119582
LMay 17 · 12:20D. Patalakha—111471162E. Populovskyi—9121113113
WMay 16 · 20:20D. Patalakha—971111113E. Populovskyi—11113492
LMay 3 · 11:20D. Patalakha—8690E. Populovskyi—1111113
D. Patalakha10
WSep 6 · 10:20D. Patalakha1.73291111113O. Lipeiko2.0011117652WSep 6 · 08:50D. Patalakha2.0011137113A. Kovalenko1.734111171LSep 6 · 07:20D. Patalakha1.73119391S. Solomko2.0071111113LSep 6 · 05:50D. Patalakha1.61781171M. Stetsenko2.2011114113WSep 5 · 18:30D. Patalakha1.73121011113F. Voinarovskyi2.001012591LSep 5 · 16:30A. Kurtenko1.571171163D. Patalakha2.25911621WSep 5 · 15:30D. Patalakha1.8311112S. Solomko1.83690WSep 5 · 14:30V. Smyk2.388118111D. Patalakha1.5311711133WSep 5 · 13:00D. Patalakha3.50111149123O. Tymofeev1.28191111102WAug 13 · 18:35M. Skliar1.671188121D. Patalakha2.1091111143
E. Populovskyi10
WSep 6 · 10:50E. Populovskyi1.91811411143A. Kovalenko1.80114119122WSep 6 · 09:50E. Populovskyi1.301111113M. Stetsenko3.406890LSep 6 · 08:20E. Populovskyi2.202390O. Lipeiko1.611111113LSep 6 · 06:20E. Populovskyi3.25117971S. Solomko1.3381111113WSep 4 · 11:35V. Melnykov1.914660E. Populovskyi1.801111113WSep 4 · 10:35O. Mytsyk1.91119881E. Populovskyi1.8091111113WSep 4 · 09:05K. Klymenko3.4059100E. Populovskyi1.301111123LSep 4 · 07:05A. Kovalenko1.8391111113E. Populovskyi1.83117771WSep 4 · 05:05M. Stetsenko3.406116111E. Populovskyi1.3011911133WSep 3 · 11:00D. Khairov1.734111031E. Populovskyi2.0011612113
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.