TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13084213
Played Sep 6Finished
Eduard Populovskyi
Home
2.20
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
211311911––––
Oleksandr Lipeiko
Away
1.62
At publish
Lost last 8Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 8
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:31 and never touched — 55.3% is still 55.3%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Lipeiko to win
55.3%
55.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingEduard Populovskyi above · Oleksandr Lipeiko below
Set 1 · 2-11
Set 2 · 3-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Point 47 set 3, 9-11 — our read held Oleksandr Lipeiko at 55.3%
47 points played in total.
H2H Eduard Populovskyi 16–17 Oleksandr Lipeiko Eduard Populovskyi has won 16 of their 33 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 19:31What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Lipeiko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
16-17 in 33
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Populovskyi 1433 vs Lipeiko 1376
Populovskyi
Wrong
both rated, 56 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Populovskyi 60% vs Lipeiko 0%
Populovskyi
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Populovskyi 50% vs Lipeiko 10%
Populovskyi
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Populovskyi -1 · Lipeiko -5
Lipeiko
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Slight lean (leans Lipeiko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Lipeiko form (0%) is below what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPopulovskyi 2.20 / Lipeiko 1.61
Signal prob.45% / 55%
Edge (Lipeiko)-2.4pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13084213
Populovskyi2.20
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog33% won 54 of 164
Down 0–1, comes back19% 20 of 103
Down 0–2, comes back8% 6 of 72
Lipeiko1.61
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 8
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite53% won 61 of 115
Up 2–0, closes it84% 37 of 44
Up 1–0, closes it74% 49 of 66
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePopulovskyi4wins
AwayLipeiko6wins
4 of 10 to a deciderLipeiko leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePopulovskyin = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayLipeiko75%6 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Populovskyi2Lipeiko8n = 10Lipeiko took 8 of 10
S2Populovskyi2Lipeiko8n = 10Lipeiko took 8 of 10
S3Populovskyi6Lipeiko4n = 10Populovskyi took 6 of 10
S4Populovskyi3Lipeiko3n = 6split evenly
S5Populovskyi3Lipeiko1n = 4Populovskyi took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricPopulovskyiLipeikoP − LBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match34.538.3−3.8per matchSweeps13−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPopulovskyiLipeikoBasisWin rate · lifetime340 / 695 vs 242 / 50448.9%48%340 / 695 vs 242 / 504Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.737.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LipeikoPopulovskyi 2.20/Lipeiko 1.61
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
55.3%
Lipeiko · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Lipeiko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 2 · 07:05E. Populovskyi—13111111113O. Lipeiko—15413372
LAug 24 · 10:20E. Populovskyi—3980O. Lipeiko—1111113
WAug 17 · 12:05E. Populovskyi—591111123O. Lipeiko—111199102
LJul 23 · 11:35E. Populovskyi—481261O. Lipeiko—111110113
WMay 23 · 20:20E. Populovskyi—116115113O. Lipeiko—71131142
LMay 17 · 07:50E. Populovskyi—41011131O. Lipeiko—11129153
LApr 25 · 14:50E. Populovskyi—7450O. Lipeiko—1111113
WApr 24 · 11:35E. Populovskyi—1111123O. Lipeiko—65100
LApr 20 · 08:35E. Populovskyi—88111142O. Lipeiko—111175113
LApr 13 · 08:00E. Populovskyi—4750O. Lipeiko—1111113
E. Populovskyi10
LSep 6 · 11:50D. Patalakha1.501111113E. Populovskyi2.508570WSep 6 · 10:50E. Populovskyi1.91811411143A. Kovalenko1.80114119122WSep 6 · 09:50E. Populovskyi1.301111113M. Stetsenko3.406890LSep 6 · 06:20E. Populovskyi3.25117971S. Solomko1.3381111113WSep 4 · 11:35V. Melnykov1.914660E. Populovskyi1.801111113WSep 4 · 10:35O. Mytsyk1.91119881E. Populovskyi1.8091111113WSep 4 · 09:05K. Klymenko3.4059100E. Populovskyi1.301111123LSep 4 · 07:05A. Kovalenko1.8391111113E. Populovskyi1.83117771WSep 4 · 05:05M. Stetsenko3.406116111E. Populovskyi1.3011911133WSep 3 · 11:00D. Khairov1.734111031E. Populovskyi2.0011612113
O. Lipeiko10
LSep 7 · 06:05O. Lipeiko2.508460O. Shyshman1.501111113LSep 6 · 12:20O. Lipeiko1.571171091M. Stetsenko2.2511112113LSep 6 · 10:20D. Patalakha1.73291111113O. Lipeiko2.0011117652WSep 6 · 09:20O. Lipeiko1.91611611153S. Solomko1.80111118132LSep 6 · 06:50O. Lipeiko1.83109100A. Kovalenko1.831211123LSep 2 · 12:05O. Lipeiko1.83111011852S. Solomko1.83812711113LSep 2 · 10:05A. Kurtenko1.8091111113O. Lipeiko1.91119861LSep 2 · 08:05O. Osadchyi1.731111113O. Lipeiko2.003730LSep 2 · 07:05O. Lipeiko1.5315413372E. Populovskyi2.3813111111113LSep 2 · 06:05S. Hryhorenko1.531111113O. Lipeiko2.386690
Upcoming Matches
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.