TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13084147
Played Sep 6Finished
Oleksandr Lipeiko
Home
1.83
At publish
Lost last 7Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 7
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
10129111012––––
Anatolii Kovalenko
Away
1.83
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:11 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeAnatolii Kovalenko to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOleksandr Lipeiko above · Anatolii Kovalenko below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 10-12
Point 64 set 3, 10-12 — our read held Anatolii Kovalenko at 54.0%
64 points played in total.
H2H Oleksandr Lipeiko 8–9 Anatolii Kovalenko Oleksandr Lipeiko has won 8 of their 17 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 19:11What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Kovalenko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
8-9 in 17
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Lipeiko 1365 vs Kovalenko 1373
Kovalenko
Correct
both rated, 8 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Lipeiko 0% vs Kovalenko 80%
Kovalenko
Correct
80pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Lipeiko 10% vs Kovalenko 50%
Kovalenko
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Lipeiko -5 · Kovalenko +1
Lipeiko
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Kovalenko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kovalenko form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLipeiko 1.83 / Kovalenko 1.83
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Kovalenko)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #13084147
Lipeiko1.83
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 7
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Kovalenko1.83
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeLipeiko5wins
AwayKovalenko5wins
4 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeLipeiko71.4%5 of 7
AwayKovalenko100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Lipeiko7Kovalenko3n = 10Lipeiko took 7 of 10
S2Lipeiko6Kovalenko4n = 10Lipeiko took 6 of 10
S3Lipeiko5Kovalenko5n = 10split evenly
S4Lipeiko0Kovalenko5n = 5Kovalenko took 5 of 5
S5Lipeiko2Kovalenko2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricLipeikoKovalenkoL − KBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match37.035.6+1.4per matchSweeps32+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLipeikoKovalenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime241 / 504 vs 272 / 51147.8%53.2%241 / 504 vs 272 / 511Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.537.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KovalenkoLipeiko 1.83/Kovalenko 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Kovalenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Kovalenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 6 · 06:50O. Lipeiko—109100A. Kovalenko—1211123
LAug 25 · 12:10O. Lipeiko—1311881A. Kovalenko—15711113
LAug 17 · 07:05O. Lipeiko—7750A. Kovalenko—1111113
LAug 11 · 14:40O. Lipeiko—11118782A. Kovalenko—881111113
WJul 25 · 17:30O. Lipeiko—113119113A. Kovalenko—91191192
WJul 13 · 06:50O. Lipeiko—119134113A. Kovalenko—511111132
LJul 8 · 06:05O. Lipeiko—111184112A. Kovalenko—841111133
WJul 1 · 12:30O. Lipeiko—1111113A. Kovalenko—9640
WMay 31 · 06:50O. Lipeiko—1111113A. Kovalenko—5490
WApr 14 · 16:10O. Lipeiko—1111113A. Kovalenko—7950
O. Lipeiko10
LSep 7 · 06:05O. Lipeiko2.508460O. Shyshman1.501111113LSep 6 · 12:20O. Lipeiko1.571171091M. Stetsenko2.2511112113LSep 6 · 10:20D. Patalakha1.73291111113O. Lipeiko2.0011117652WSep 6 · 09:20O. Lipeiko1.91611611153S. Solomko1.80111118132WSep 6 · 08:20E. Populovskyi2.202390O. Lipeiko1.611111113LSep 2 · 12:05O. Lipeiko1.83111011852S. Solomko1.83812711113LSep 2 · 10:05A. Kurtenko1.8091111113O. Lipeiko1.91119861LSep 2 · 08:05O. Osadchyi1.731111113O. Lipeiko2.003730LSep 2 · 07:05O. Lipeiko1.5315413372E. Populovskyi2.3813111111113LSep 2 · 06:05S. Hryhorenko1.531111113O. Lipeiko2.386690
A. Kovalenko10
LSep 6 · 12:50A. Kovalenko1.83381111S. Solomko1.831111393LSep 6 · 10:50E. Populovskyi1.91811411143A. Kovalenko1.80114119122LSep 6 · 08:50D. Patalakha2.0011137113A. Kovalenko1.734111171WSep 6 · 07:50A. Kovalenko1.4012711113M. Stetsenko2.751011791WSep 4 · 12:05A. Kovalenko1.5711611113O. Mytsyk2.25511541LSep 4 · 10:05K. Klymenko1.73881111113A. Kovalenko2.0011118722WSep 4 · 08:05M. Stetsenko2.631111171A. Kovalenko1.4411813113WSep 4 · 07:05A. Kovalenko1.8391111113E. Populovskyi1.83117771WSep 4 · 06:05V. Melnykov2.10961111102A. Kovalenko1.67111129123LSep 3 · 12:50O. Mytsyk2.251111913113A. Kovalenko1.57136111192
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