TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13072942
Played Sep 4Finished
Kostiantyn Klymenko
Home
1.73
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
811811118117112
Anatolii Kovalenko
Away
2.00
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:38 and never touched — 54.1% is still 54.1%
Graded at full timeKostiantyn Klymenko to win
54.1%
54.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightpick shipped
How it is goingKostiantyn Klymenko above · Anatolii Kovalenko below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 11-7
Set 5 · 11-2
Point 88 set 5, 11-2 — our read held Kostiantyn Klymenko at 54.1%
88 points played in total.
H2H Kostiantyn Klymenko 7–4 Anatolii Kovalenko Anatolii Kovalenko has won 4 of their 11 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 18:38What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Klymenko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
7-4 in 11
Klymenko
Correct
gap of 3 in 11, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Klymenko 1395 vs Kovalenko 1399
Kovalenko
Wrong
both rated, 4 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Klymenko 60% vs Kovalenko 80%
Kovalenko
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Klymenko 40% vs Kovalenko 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Klymenko -2 · Kovalenko +3
Kovalenko
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and the gate let it through as .
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Klymenko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kovalenko form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKlymenko 1.73 / Kovalenko 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Klymenko)+0.3pp
Setka Cup · #13072942
Klymenko1.73
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite61% won 125 of 205
Up 2–0, closes it93% 56 of 60
Up 1–0, closes it78% 88 of 113
Kovalenko2.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog38% won 41 of 108
Down 0–1, comes back19% 12 of 65
Down 0–2, comes back9% 4 of 46
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKlymenko6wins
AwayKovalenko4wins
6 of 10 to a deciderKlymenko leads 6–4, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKlymenko80%4 of 5
AwayKovalenko60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Klymenko5Kovalenko5n = 10split evenly
S2Klymenko8Kovalenko2n = 10Klymenko took 8 of 10
S3Klymenko5Kovalenko5n = 10split evenly
S4Klymenko3Kovalenko5n = 8Kovalenko took 5 of 8
S5Klymenko3Kovalenko3n = 6split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricKlymenkoKovalenkoKlymenko − KovalenkoBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match43.242.0+1.2per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKlymenkoKovalenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime446 / 857 vs 269 / 50452%53.4%446 / 857 vs 269 / 504Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.837.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KlymenkoKlymenko 1.73/Kovalenko 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Klymenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Klymenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 3 · 06:20K. Klymenko—11117143A. Kovalenko—8911121
LAug 10 · 06:50K. Klymenko—111111552A. Kovalenko—134711113
WAug 6 · 08:20K. Klymenko—311119123A. Kovalenko—117411102
WJul 23 · 08:20K. Klymenko—11117113A. Kovalenko—891151
WJun 14 · 06:50K. Klymenko—1111156113A. Kovalenko—99171172
LJan 19 · 06:35K. Klymenko—59111172A. Kovalenko—111186113
LJan 1 · 13:50K. Klymenko—11119992A. Kovalenko—891111113
WDec 29 · 08:20K. Klymenko—811138113A. Kovalenko—116111162
LDec 28 · 19:20K. Klymenko—8880A. Kovalenko—1111113
WDec 24 · 20:50K. Klymenko—1116123A. Kovalenko—614100
K. Klymenko10
LSep 7 · 06:35K. Klymenko2.639780A. Martyniuk1.441111113WSep 7 · 05:05K. Klymenko2.6311139113O. Ovsiienko1.443111191LSep 6 · 19:00K. Klymenko2.638101181O. Ovsiienko1.4411128113LSep 6 · 17:00B. Zaika1.6111113113K. Klymenko2.20831191WSep 6 · 15:00V. Smyk1.5711791192K. Klymenko2.25411113113WSep 6 · 14:00K. Klymenko1.57714146103S. Baranskyi2.251112121172LSep 6 · 13:00O. Leonenko1.611111613103K. Klymenko2.2047111552WSep 4 · 11:05M. Stetsenko2.6368120K. Klymenko1.441111143LSep 4 · 09:05K. Klymenko3.4059100E. Populovskyi1.301111123LSep 4 · 07:35K. Klymenko3.2581311472V. Melnykov1.331111811113
A. Kovalenko10
LSep 6 · 12:50A. Kovalenko1.83381111S. Solomko1.831111393LSep 6 · 10:50E. Populovskyi1.91811411143A. Kovalenko1.80114119122LSep 6 · 08:50D. Patalakha2.0011137113A. Kovalenko1.734111171WSep 6 · 07:50A. Kovalenko1.4012711113M. Stetsenko2.751011791WSep 6 · 06:50O. Lipeiko1.83109100A. Kovalenko1.831211123WSep 4 · 12:05A. Kovalenko1.5711611113O. Mytsyk2.25511541WSep 4 · 08:05M. Stetsenko2.631111171A. Kovalenko1.4411813113WSep 4 · 07:05A. Kovalenko1.8391111113E. Populovskyi1.83117771WSep 4 · 06:05V. Melnykov2.10961111102A. Kovalenko1.67111129123LSep 3 · 12:50O. Mytsyk2.251111913113A. Kovalenko1.57136111192
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