TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13084218
Played Sep 6Finished
Anatolii Kovalenko
Home
1.40
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1210711117119––
Maksym Stetsenko
Away
2.75
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:32 and never touched — 69.8% is still 69.8%
Graded at full timeAnatolii Kovalenko to win
69.8%
69.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingAnatolii Kovalenko above · Maksym Stetsenko below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 11-9
Point 78 set 4, 11-9 — our read held Anatolii Kovalenko at 69.8%
78 points played in total.
H2H Anatolii Kovalenko 19–4 Maksym Stetsenko Maksym Stetsenko has won 4 of their 23 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 19:32What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Kovalenko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
19-4 in 23
Kovalenko
Correct
gap of 15 in 23, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kovalenko 1411 vs Stetsenko 1355
Kovalenko
Correct
both rated, 57 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kovalenko 80% vs Stetsenko 40%
Kovalenko
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kovalenko 60% vs Stetsenko 40%
Kovalenko
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kovalenko +2 · Stetsenko +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 70% — Clear lean (leans Kovalenko)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKovalenko 1.40 / Stetsenko 2.75
Signal prob.70% / 30%
Edge (Kovalenko)+3.5pp
Setka Cup · #13084218
Kovalenko1.40
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite52% won 75 of 144
Up 2–0, closes it94% 32 of 34
Up 1–0, closes it67% 49 of 73
Stetsenko2.75
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog44% won 98 of 221
Down 0–1, comes back24% 30 of 123
Down 0–2, comes back7% 4 of 61
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKovalenko8wins
AwayStetsenko2wins
3 of 10 to a deciderKovalenko leads 8–2, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKovalenko83.3%5 of 6
AwayStetsenko25%1 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kovalenko6Stetsenko4n = 10Kovalenko took 6 of 10
S2Kovalenko4Stetsenko6n = 10Stetsenko took 6 of 10
S3Kovalenko7Stetsenko3n = 10Kovalenko took 7 of 10
S4Kovalenko8Stetsenko2n = 10Kovalenko took 8 of 10
S5Kovalenko2Stetsenko1n = 3Kovalenko took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home660%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricKovalenkoStetsenkoK − SBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match40.636.6+4.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKovalenkoStetsenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime271 / 507 vs 437 / 83753.5%52.2%271 / 507 vs 437 / 837Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.937.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KovalenkoKovalenko 1.40/Stetsenko 2.75
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
69.8%
Kovalenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Kovalenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 4 · 08:05A. Kovalenko—11813113M. Stetsenko—1111171
LSep 3 · 07:20A. Kovalenko—116171M. Stetsenko—81111113
WAug 7 · 10:30A. Kovalenko—119811113M. Stetsenko—81111762
WAug 6 · 06:20A. Kovalenko—1171111113M. Stetsenko—31131382
WJul 31 · 10:00A. Kovalenko—11513113M. Stetsenko—8111171
WJul 26 · 17:30A. Kovalenko—91111113M. Stetsenko—115961
WJul 23 · 09:20A. Kovalenko—21111113M. Stetsenko—114551
WJul 20 · 07:50A. Kovalenko—11114113M. Stetsenko—891171
LJul 13 · 12:20A. Kovalenko—73111192M. Stetsenko—111198113
WJul 6 · 12:20A. Kovalenko—81112113M. Stetsenko—1181071
A. Kovalenko10
LSep 6 · 12:50A. Kovalenko1.83381111S. Solomko1.831111393LSep 6 · 10:50E. Populovskyi1.91811411143A. Kovalenko1.80114119122LSep 6 · 08:50D. Patalakha2.0011137113A. Kovalenko1.734111171WSep 6 · 06:50O. Lipeiko1.83109100A. Kovalenko1.831211123WSep 4 · 12:05A. Kovalenko1.5711611113O. Mytsyk2.25511541LSep 4 · 10:05K. Klymenko1.73881111113A. Kovalenko2.0011118722WSep 4 · 08:05M. Stetsenko2.631111171A. Kovalenko1.4411813113WSep 4 · 07:05A. Kovalenko1.8391111113E. Populovskyi1.83117771WSep 4 · 06:05V. Melnykov2.10961111102A. Kovalenko1.67111129123LSep 3 · 12:50O. Mytsyk2.251111913113A. Kovalenko1.57136111192
M. Stetsenko10
WSep 7 · 05:50V. Korniichuk2.7511470M. Stetsenko1.401311113WSep 6 · 12:20O. Lipeiko1.571171091M. Stetsenko2.2511112113LSep 6 · 11:20S. Solomko1.251211113M. Stetsenko3.7510670LSep 6 · 09:50E. Populovskyi1.301111113M. Stetsenko3.406890WSep 6 · 05:50D. Patalakha1.61781171M. Stetsenko2.2011114113LSep 4 · 11:05M. Stetsenko2.6368120K. Klymenko1.441111143LSep 4 · 09:35M. Stetsenko1.73611831V. Melnykov2.0011311113LSep 4 · 08:05M. Stetsenko2.631111171A. Kovalenko1.4411813113WSep 4 · 06:35M. Stetsenko1.4411714113O. Mytsyk2.636111241LSep 4 · 05:05M. Stetsenko3.406116111E. Populovskyi1.3011911133
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